Rajat Saini

[Money Mantra Hindi (NISM CERTIFIED) @Money_Mantra25]

PRIZOR VIZTECH.......CCTV

TAILWIND IN BUSINESS, CPPLUS +1

TO LEARN MORE JOIN OUR TELEGRAM - https://t.co/TUI4QTbYAN

[Ayushi Chky @kuttrapali26]

Earnings vs Capacity: Stanley Druckenmiller’s Lesson on Bank and Chemical Stocks

In the stock market, different industries move for different reasons.

For banks,earnings are the main driver.If profits grow,bank stocks usually rise.If profits fall, the stocks often struggle. It is quite straightforward.

But chemical companies work differently.

In chemicals,the most important factor is not today’s earnings. It is capacity. Capacity means how much a company or the whole industry can produce.

The best time to buy chemical stocks is usually when many factories have shut down or reduced production, and there is a clear reason to believe demand will increase.When supply is low and demand starts rising, prices and profits can improve strongly.

On the other hand,the best time to sell chemical stocks is often when companies start announcing many new plants and expansion projects.Even if profits still look strong, these new factories mean that supply will increase in the future. Too much supply usually pushes prices and profits down later.

The stock market does not wait for the problem to show up in earnings. It tries to guess the future. When it sees too much new capacity coming, it knows profits may fall two or three years later. So prices adjust early.

The market is always looking ahead. What matters is not just how much a company earned yesterday, but how much it is likely to earn tomorrow.

That is why in chemicals, watching capacity is often more important than watching current earnings.

End…

[Ayushi Chky @kuttrapali26]

Most traders start with Charts. Institutions start with Macro

• Macro tells you where money will flow
• Fundamentals tell you which business deserves it
• Technicals tell you when it starts
• Price action confirms it

Reverse this order and your returns will be reversed.

[Ayushi Chky @kuttrapali26]

Index Review: Data doesn’t lie. Call writing increased since opening

• Nifty 25600 CE: OI up 344% |Premium down 53%
• Bank Nifty 61200 CE: OI up 108% |Premium down 52%

When premiums crash while Oi explodes, bearishness is on air.

Delayed analysis: but can be used next time

[Money Mantra Hindi (NISM CERTIFIED) @Money_Mantra25]

Why Auto and Auto ancillary will be investors favourite in coming years ....a must read

[Intrinsic Compounding @soicfinance]

Valuation ratios to be used sector by sector in India with the reason

[Rajat Saini @Therajaat]

@Money_Mantra25 Kirloskar Eng Oil - Rounding Bottom

[Intrinsic Compounding @soicfinance]

Here is how the 2W Auto Ancs can be stacked up -

1. Powertrain: Involves high-precision machining for engines, transmissions, and exhaust systems. Key players here include companies like Endurance Technologies, Sansera, and Rico Auto, known for their aluminum die-casting and forging capabilities.

2. Chassis & Suspension: The structural integrity and ride quality rely on frames and shock absorbers. Gabriel and Munjal Showa are prominent in suspension, while Endurance plays a major role in braking systems and forks.

3. Rims & Tyres: Alloy wheels are supplied by players like Enkei and Rico, while the tyre market is an oligopoly dominated by household names like MRF, CEAT, and TVS Eurogrip

4. The Tech & Aesthetic Layer (Electronics & Body): This segment has seen the highest value migration recently due to "premiumization" (LEDs, digital clusters, better ergonomics). Uno Minda, Varroc, and Pricol control the market for lighting, switches, and instrument clusters and Suprajit Engineering (cables) and SJS (aesthetic decals/graphics) are niche leaders here
"As bikes get smarter, the content per vehicle for these companies increases."

5. The EV Pivot (The Emerging Chain) - As the pivot happens and EV form a major chunk in the 2W market a lot of engine agnostic companies can do well as naturally content per vehicle is higher in EVs vs ICE. Also in batteries there are companies like Exide, Amaraja plus a lot of legacy players like endurance, motherson, unominda, rico etc are also pivoting in EV specific products.

Disclaimer - Not a recommendation to buy/sell

[Rajat Saini @Therajaat]

@Money_Mantra25 Kirloskar Eng Oil - Rounding Bottom

[Nitin Tyagi @iNitinTyagi]

#UPGB में सैंकड़ों पद खाली पड़े हैं लेकिन बैंक रिजर्व लिस्ट जारी नहीं कर रहा और अध्यक्ष महोदय बीमा बेचने में मस्त है!

भर्ती पूरी हुए महीनों बीत चुके हैं, लेकिन रिज़र्व लिस्ट आज तक जारी नहीं!

🔹 शाखाएँ स्टाफ़लेस
🔹 कर्मचारी दो-दो लोगों का काम कर रहे
🔹 ग्रामीण जनता सेवाओं से वंचित
🔹 और प्रबंधन “सब ठीक है” का नाटक कर रहा!

बड़ौदा यूपी बैंक - 500 में से सिर्फ़ 354 ने ज्वाइन किया
प्रथमा यूपी ग्रामीण बैंक - 218 में से 91
आर्यावर्त बैंक - 320 में से 198

यानी 500 से ज़्यादा पद खाली हैं! फिर भी रिज़र्व लिस्ट जारी नहीं की गई!

प्रश्न:
- क्या यह “प्रशासनिक देरी” है या “जानबूझकर की गई हेराफेरी”?
- क्या सी “लॉबी” को खुश करने के लिए रिज़र्व लिस्ट दबाई गई है?
- या फिर अध्यक्ष महोदय रिटायरमेंट तक मामला ठंडे बस्ते में डालना चाहते हैं?

सैकड़ों युवा रोज़ आँसू बहा रहे हैं जिनका सपना था ग्रामीण भारत की सेवा करना, अब वही सपने धूल खा रहे हैं।

- रिज़र्व लिस्ट तैयार है, पर जारी नहीं!
- शाखाएँ कर्मचारियों के बिना हांफ रही हैं,
- और हज़ारों अभ्यर्थी रोज़ वेबसाइट रिफ्रेश कर-करके उम्मीद खो रहे हैं।

क्या यही है “नेतृत्व”, जहाँ युवाओं के भविष्य से खिलवाड़ किया जा रहा है? क्या क चलाना अब सिर्फ़ बीमा बेचने तक सीमित रह गया है?

अध्यक्ष महोदय, आपकी चुप्पी अब क्रूरता बन चुकी है।

जनता, कर्मचारी और युवा तीनों पूछ रहे हैं:

❓रिज़र्व लिस्ट कब जारी होगी?
❓और अगर नहीं होगी तो फिर आप अध्यक्ष क्यों हैं?

अगर नेतृत्व करने की हिम्मत नहीं बची, तो कुर्सी छोड़ दीजिए। यह बैंक आपका नहीं जनता का है।

#UPGraminBank #ReserveListNow #RuralBanking #YouthVoice #bankersvoice #BankReform #AccountabilityNow

[Sunil Tinani @SunilVTinani]

Defense Items 18% to 0% GST

Here's a list of small caps that supply to the major defense manufacturers

High Energy Batteries (India) Ltd — silver-zinc/thermal batteries for missiles/UAVs (Lines 13, 19).

Premier Explosives — solid propellants/rocket motors/warheads feeding BDL & rockets (Lines 17–18).

Supreme Engineering — specialty alloys, Ni/Ti fasteners for aero/defence hardware (Lines 7–9, 20).

Investment & Precision Castings (IPCL) — investment-cast aero/valve/impeller parts (Lines 9, 20).

Sanghvi Forging & Engineering — heavy forgings for launchers, gun parts, valves (Lines 17–18, 20).

Krishanveer Forge (KV Forge) (SME) — precision forgings for defence/oil-&-gas; candidates for launcher/vehicle parts (Lines 17–18, 20).

RIR Power Electronics (Ruttonsha) — high-power diodes/thyristors for radar/ATE/power cards (Lines 7–8, 14, 20).

Hind Rectifiers — power rectifiers/transformers for radars, test rigs, shipboard power (Lines 7–8, 20).

Shivalik Bimetal Controls — shunts/bimetal strips for hi-rel electronics used by BEL/Data Patterns (Lines 7–8, 14).

Cords Cable Industries — defence-grade control/instrumentation cables; feeds shipyards/avionics harnessers (Lines 7–9, 20).

Paramount Communications — specialty/defence cables; shipboard & land systems (Lines 8, 20).

Birla Cable — optical-fibre/tactical cable inputs for SDR/satcom backhaul (Line 14).

Aksh Optifibre — FO cables & telecom assemblies with defence spillover (Line 14).

Everest Kanto Cylinders — HP steel cylinders used in rebreathers/diving & SCBA (Line 15).

Time Technoplast — composite cylinders for breathing/industrial air sets (Line 15).

Sika Interplant Systems (SME) — aerospace tooling/GSE & test jigs (explicitly covered under tools/testing in Line 20).

TAAL / Taneja Aerospace — aero structures & spares; materials/parts into transport aircraft MRO (Lines 9, 20).

Precision Electronics Ltd — RF/comm modules & sub-assemblies supplying SDR/ship/air systems (Line 14).

Aeroflex Industries — flexible metallic hoses/bellows for aerospace/engines/ground systems (Lines 9, 20).

Steelcast Ltd — high-manganese & alloy steel castings for heavy defence/naval hardware (Lines 20, 10–11).

[ASAN @Asan_research]

Some people may have missed my old tweets related to cash flow importance.

So sharing again, these 4 tweets may solve their cash flow puzzles.

#caahflow

[Rajat Saini @Therajaat]

@academy_share 151% in Radico
And 1000% in HSCL