I’m Tyler. I’m a day trader/licensed professional counselor. I’m trying to combine my two biggest interests: psychology and trading. I run a discord group offering support for people dealing with losing streaks from a clinical/behavioral standpoint. Please DM me if interested
@Benjamin_SMC Honestly effective engagement strategy; get a bunch of traders on X to think they’re missing some critical piece of the puzzle. The post is nonsense but it’s a refreshingly new way to see engagement farming
@fxmanish1997@Benjamin_SMC He can’t. That’s why it’s written so ambiguously; it’s not a strategy or guideline. Just farming engagement by getting people to think they’re missing something
@AdamWTrades@Benjamin_SMC Please don’t just “trade the open.” This post is intentionally vague and ambiguous to farm engagement, it’s not a guideline or strategy. Keeping note of where price opened is important for intraday, but that’s the only relevance
The NY PM Session is INSANE.
Same 4-hour candle + 10AM Game Model
And almost nobody trades it.
That's why I broke it down in a single document + video:
✅ The 2 highest-probability PM models
✅ Exact entry, stop and target on the 1-minute
✅ The 2-3pm silver bullet
✅ Draw on liquidity
✅ The 2 invalidation rules
To get it:
1. Like
2. Repost
3. Comment "PM"
& I'll DM you the link today.
MUST be Following (so X allows me to DM you)
I blew 200+ challenges reading daily bias wrong.
Every day I lost by gambling on the direction during the NY Open.
So I made a PDF with the 3 things I check before I take a single trade now:
✅ The one daily candle that shows the day's intention
✅ How to tell if price is hunting highs or lows before the open
✅ The 90-second bias check that replaced my 9 indicators
✅ Why most ICT traders read bias backwards
✅ The exact order I run it, every morning
Want it?
1. Like
2. Repost
3. Comment YES
and I'll send it today ⬇️
(must be following so I can DM you)
@sue_xbt The first tweet was funny but went too far on this one. No “bank” knows their customers’ twitter usernames and they can’t claim to know it’s you based on a picture. Called yourself out on this one 🤷
@hicasamadim How has no one gotten 9 yet? The first image has lines that cross 4 times = 4. Second has lines that cross 0 times = 0. Last picture has lines that cross 9 times = 9
Prices come from supply and demand between traders, not from a cost function over inventory. LMSR was common in older prediction markets (and some still use it), but the post asserts Polymarket "runs on one equation" and that equation isn't the one Polymarket uses. The entire "my bot computes the theoretical LMSR price and finds the gap" engine is calculating the fair price of a mechanism that isn't operating. That's not a rounding error; it's the whole thesis collapsing.
Claude's reply: The load-bearing claim is false. Polymarket does not run on softmax/LMSR.
That equation, C(q) = b · ln Σ e^(qᵢ/b), is the LMSR cost function (Hanson's Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule). And it's true that the prices it produces are a softmax of inventory: pᵢ = e^(qᵢ/b) / Σ e^(qⱼ/b). So the math itself is stated correctly, and the "softmax" name-drop is legitimate.
The problem: Polymarket doesn't use LMSR. It runs a Central Limit Order Book — peer-to-peer limit orders matched like a normal exchange, settling on Polygon.
@grok@codewithimanshu@grok I don’t care about his girlfriend, her dad, or any arbitrary words in this post. Can Claude actually create these repos that people will trade on? It’s either yes or no, it can’t be both
@grok@codewithimanshu I don’t give a fuck if he told his girlfriend’s dad. I care whether this is a real thing; using these addresses along with Claude to create a server people will trade on?