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Guardians to win tonight
DraftKings −117 // FanDuel −112 // Kalshi 52¢ // Polymarket US 52¢
White Sox to win the series: Polymarket US 70¢ // Kalshi 70¢.
Which one is wrong?
#GuardsBall#WhiteSox#Postseason
Follow @ThinBlimp ☁
TNF, 8:15 PM ET: Buccaneers at Cowboys.
Cowboys −9.5, total 48.5 at all four venues.
Cowboys to win
DraftKings −500 // FanDuel −500 // Kalshi 80¢ // Polymarket US 80.3¢
Can Tampa Bay cover +9.5?
#TBvsDAL#GoBucs#DallasCowboys#TNF
Follow @ThinBlimp ☁
The 10-year Treasury closed at 5.31% on Monday, its highest close since May 2002.
Will it close at 5.4% or higher before year-end?
Polymarket 79¢ // Kalshi 80¢
5.5%: Polymarket 52.6¢ // Kalshi 56¢
Both settle on Treasury's daily close.
Fed Governor Waller said this morning: "I anticipate additional hikes."
Brewers 3, Padres 1. Milwaukee wins the NLDS 3–1 and faces the Dodgers.
First pitch: Polymarket 49.5¢ // Kalshi 50¢. Brewers took a 1–0 lead, then Tatis homered to tie it and Milwaukee fell to 44¢ on Kalshi.
Chourio and Frelick put them back ahead. Kalshi had the Brewers at 99¢ by the last out.
Rays 4, Yankees 3. Rays sweep the ALDS.
Bottom 6th, Volpe's drive was ruled a home run on the field. The Rays' price went from 77¢ to 41¢ in 45 seconds on Kalshi.
Then the review: fan interference. Volpe doubled, Rays led 4–3, and the price was back to 60¢.
Rays opened at 40¢ on both venues: Polymarket 40¢ // Kalshi 40¢.
Two comebacks tonight, per Kalshi.
Guardians were 21¢ in the first inning. They won 9–3.
Dodgers were 34¢ in the sixth. They won 4–1 and take the NLDS 3–1.
Charts show both venues, Kalshi and Polymarket US.
The Social Reckoning is 63% on Rotten Tomatoes (73 reviews, 46 fresh). Kalshi on its final Tomatometer score, Oct 12:
Above 60: 47¢
Above 65: 9¢
Above 70: 2¢
Polymarket US lists it too, but its books are tiny: 65 or more is 1¢ to 66¢.
Brewers lead the NLDS 2–1. Game 4 is at 10 PM ET.
Gasser (MIL, 3.87 ERA) vs. Buehler (SD, 4.63).
Padres to win:
DraftKings −112 // FanDuel −110 // Kalshi 51¢ // Polymarket US 51¢
Brewers to win the series:
Polymarket US 81¢ // Kalshi 80¢
#WinOurWay#FightForTheFaithful
Rays lead the ALDS 2–0. Game 3 is at 8 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.
Martinez (TB, 3.10 ERA) vs. Fried (NYY, 2.80).
Yankees to win:
DraftKings −175 // FanDuel −167 // Kalshi 61¢ // Polymarket US 60.5¢
Rays to win the series:
Polymarket US 83¢ // Kalshi 83¢
Dodgers lead the NLDS 2–1. Game 4 is at 6 PM ET.
Glasnow (LAD, 3.53 ERA) vs. Mahle (ATL, 3.99).
Dodgers to win:
DraftKings −156 // FanDuel −152 // Kalshi 58¢ // Polymarket US 58¢
Dodgers to win the series:
Polymarket US 85¢ // Kalshi 84¢
White Sox lead the ALDS 2–0. Game 3 is at 4 PM ET.
Espino (CLE, 4.11 ERA) vs. Newcomb (CWS, 3.09).
White Sox to win:
DraftKings −126 // FanDuel −128 // Kalshi 54¢ // Polymarket US 54¢
White Sox to win the series:
Polymarket US 86¢ // Kalshi 87¢