A #RoyalAscot memory that only gets better with time!
@zpurton recalls that King's Stand post-race interview, and how HKJC CEO Winfried Engelbrecht-Bresges made sure he caught his flight back to Hong Kong. 😅
He also revealed LITTLE BRIDGE's connections considered staying to take on Black Caviar, before ultimately deciding against. 😲
Very excited about 2 upcoming events on my Betting on Horse$ (available at https://t.co/Jm6VRWEKxM ) book tour:
July 24th at @Saratoga1863
Aug 22nd @DelMarRacing
Should be fun. If you plan to be at either location, please stop by and say hello.
Some good discussion about race and pool selection from @BeemieAwards on his podcast. I appreciate the Betting on Horse$ book plug. You can still get it at the early-bird discount price at https://t.co/Jm6VRWEKxM
This week on the Sport of Kings podcast sponsored by @AmWager, I will be joined once again by special guest @CraigMilkowski , developer of the speed and pace figures used in TimeformUS PPs, to discuss the Belmont stakes and 4 other G1 races (9-13) on Saturday @Saratoga1863 Race Course.
Craig nailed his analysis of the Preakness so make sure that you catch what he has to say about the Belmont.
Pod should drop Thursday afternoon.
The CAWs are eating the pools even with doing more to assist with late odds drops. NYRA is taking the customer seriously.
Tournament prize structures are broken. What should the prize pool distribution look like at the top? $1M for NHC? $440K for BCBC?
Today on The Price Is Wrong (~930am PST)- I say the quiet part out loud, to make hardcore horseplayers think hard about when it's worth it to play.
🎙️ https://t.co/Lp5bsgVvXO
#HorseRacing #ThePriceIsWrong #BeatTheCAWs
This week’s Sport of Kings podcast sponsored by @AmWager, is now up.
Joining me is special guest, Jason Beem (@Beemieawards ) author, podcaster, and race caller, to discuss some Derby/Preakness/Belmont thoughts, and races 7-11 @ChurchillDowns on Saturday, which are part of Stephen Foster preview day.
We talk about books, baseball, cheese, rodeos, and life along with some handicapping and betting.
Links to podcast and Timestamp below. Note that the podcast is also available on many other platforms including Apple, Spotify, and YouTube.
https://t.co/aRE19YXBO5
This week on the Sport of Kings Podcast sponsored by @AmWager, special guest, 2015 NHC runner up, Ken Jordan @arjklj16 , will join me to discuss some post-derby thoughts and the Saturday Stakes races at BAQ, which includes the traditional Belmont prep, the G3, Peter Pan stakes.
The pod should drop Thursday afternoon so stay tuned.
This week on the Sport of Kings Podcast sponsored by @AmWager, special guest, 2015 NHC runner up, Ken Jordan @arjklj16 , will join me to discuss some post-derby thoughts and the Saturday Stakes races at BAQ, which includes the traditional Belmont prep, the G3, Peter Pan stakes.
The pod should drop Thursday afternoon so stay tuned.
Most people seem to think that the Kentucky Oaks race is wide open this year and a very tough race to analyze but if you look at pace information in TimeformUS, Racing Flow, and OptixEQ a clear picture unfolds and the most likely winner and best value plays emerge from the confusion.
See the table below showing some pace information for selected Oaks preps.
Note that Zany was in a race that was as unfavorable to closers as possible (CFR of 1 on 1-100 scale of favorability to closers) and was run with the short Keeneland stretch (first wire). Her other 2026 prep was in a prep with a CFR of only 3, which she still won easily!
She will get a much better setup in the Oaks with a TimeformUS pace projector predicting a fast pace. Her fastest race as a 2yo (113 TFUS) was as fast or faster than any of the Oaks contenders have run as 3yos. Her 3yo races have not earned fast figs because of the same slow paces that compromised her chances of winning as a closer. Zany is clearly the most likely winner of the Oaks.
Lovely Grey and Search Party are two others that have been extremely compromised by slow paces and tough trips in their 2 most recent preps and should run much better with the expected much faster pace in the Oaks and will likely offer value in most pools.
You can get additional confirmation of this from the OptixEQ plot of the race which shows Zany as a huge square in the middle of the plot and Search Party and Lovely Grey as relatively large squares in Quadrant 4.
Zany, Lovely Grey, and Search Party are probably the three key horses to use if you want to unlock some value in this year’s Kentucky Oaks.
You can get more information from TimeformUS PPs for the race and from https://t.co/6ezMDWJBGt and https://t.co/ehvRjnPv5M.
Good luck and enjoy the races.
Japan racing rep @KeibaKate chats with @TheBrownAndrew about SATONO REVE’s chances against KA YING RISING in the G1 Chairman’s Sprint Prize at Sha Tin this weekend.