I've decided to start a Substack to write about my favourite tech stocks. The first deep dive on $U can be found here, completely free to read:
https://t.co/euxyMarKVa
Agility Robotics and Boston Dynamics to Unitree: “Go back to China!”
Leading US robotics companies have expressed support for the restrictions.
Agility CEO Peggy Johnson issued a statement endorsing the GUARD Act, saying it “sends an important market signal as US robotics companies continue investing in resilient supply chains, domestic manufacturing capabilities, and trusted technologies.” In a recent interview with futurist Peter Diamandis, she said the Oregon-based robotics firm has been working with the Trump Administration.
“We have an administration that’s very focused on the humanoid robots not going the way drones did,” she said. “We used to actually have a drone industry in the US and it’s largely gone offshore. They’re trying to prevent that same thing from happening to humanoids.”
Earlier this year, Boston Dynamics sent its VP of software, Matthew Malcano, to Washington to testify before Congress about its biggest overseas rival.
“Unitree is rapidly capturing market share in the US university, research, and law enforcement markets,” he said. “Researchers have reported crucial Unitree cybersecurity vulnerabilities. Unitree’s robots have also been seen in PLA military exercises and its ties to Chinese military have been noted by the House Select Committee on China as well as the Department of War.”
Back in 2021, Unitree joined Boston Dynamics, Agility, ANYbotics and others in signing a pledge to not weaponize its autonomous machines. The company insists that its robots, including its new $650,000 rideable Mecha, are for civilian use only.
News from $AMAZN featuring its Proteus robot with the eyes of a LiDAR sensor from the $OUST Ouster. Amazon owns over 3M warrants with the price over $50.
Street high target for OUST is $75 per share https://t.co/xNz4p7VEtx
@569sjsjsjs As I replied to the other person: I think he's a great hire, but there's been a lot of movement within $NU's leadership team over the past few years. Something to watch.
Not liking this management carousel at $NU. The CFO, COO, CPO, CLO, IR & Brazil CEO roles have all seen turnover or leadership changes in the last 2-3 years...
LARRY ELLISON: AI IS RAPIDLY COMMODITIZING BECAUSE MOST MODELS ARE TRAINED ON THE SAME PUBLIC INTERNET DATA.
THE REAL COMPETITIVE EDGE ISN’T THE MODEL ANYMORE — IT’S ACCESS TO EXCLUSIVE, PROPRIETARY DATASETS.
THAT MAY BE THE ONLY MOAT LEFT.
$AXON is evolving into a broader "robotics + autonomous systems" platform.
Their likely path forward:
• Drones
• Autonomous surveillance systems
• Ground robotics for tactical and public safety applications
• An AI coordination layer connecting all devices and sensors
That could eventually include autonomous drones, robot dogs, remote tactical units, sensor towers and automated emergency response infrastructure.
Big picture: Axon becoming the nervous system of autonomous public safety.
Last night, I attended @ousterlidar ‘s rev8 tech talk, their first notable public appearance since their $OUST SPAC IPO. Here are some things I learned:
1. Expect them to be more vocal about partnerships and new client wins, NDA/stealth mode is over. I suspect there also has been a change in the legal terms surrounding this disclosure with the rev8 iteration
2. Ouster has been learning a lot about working with the department of war to secure military contracts, since their BlueUAS approval. They have ongoing talks with Army, Navy, Airforce, etc, the sales team has been busy traveling, and obtaining security clearance and speaking the language is important.
3. Im incredibly bullish on their drone partnerships- I expect a proliferation of drones not just for surveillance, but increasingly for counterUAS (Argus) and increasingly in drone vs drone warfare. Recall that there are ethical complications for targeting people, but drone vs drone warfare is already here. $OUST is working with Anduril, Rheinmetall, and every country is already looking to see how they can deploy a combination of drones and humanoids to decrease human operators. The LTV of supporting a US marine is well in excess of $1M. Forget exoskeletons, save money and heartbreak with robots.
4. The developer community is growing and they have a nice GitHub resource center- they are willing to work with startups for full turn key solutions, and also agree to let the companies own the data, which is super important in some fields where there are privacy concerns. In other places, their entire SDK is open source and we should expect more communal data and premade onboarding tools to reduce the friction to “hello world”.
5. I continue to see their biggest bottleneck as the lack of qualified lidar engineer operators at the client level to handle larger Fortune 500 company deployments. This will ease over time as the sector and technology grows. The reason why ITS has been so successful is that there is an embedded group of nerds and engineers who work on behalf of the DoTs and can onboard and retrofit legacy camera solutions. This is massively profitable and I love the SaaS/r&m/long term sticky contracts with good margins.
6. Right now for retail/security usage, their customers are still learning about the technology and it’s about getting in front of the right people with the right narrative and vision, vs geeking out on hardware. Here I think rev8 makes the biggest difference, as native color is an emotional and foundational light switch in front of an investment committee. It’s easy for ppl to now see the vision of what Ouster can do.
7. A lot of speculation about insider sales, most notably from Mark Frichtl the CTO. He was absent at the event, which I found notable, but I maintain that the preplanned sales we now see from recent 144 filings from him, Cyrille and others represents a 2025 year where many long time insiders finally broke even and achieve some type of meaningful liquidity event. SF is not a cheap place to live!
8. The event was 1/3 ouster employees, some developers and prospects (I spoke to someone from $TMUS ) who has been talking to Ouster. Unfortunately I was probably one of 3-4 investors, so for what it’s worth the company is still in stealth mode from a capital markets visibility standpoint. Probably better that they don’t know how excited and bullish the retail community is on their story.
9. $HSAI and the Chinese competitors will remain in auto, where the multinationals have to play nice with China. Increasingly outside of auto, there is a bigger geopolitical push for secure supply chains and made in America. Compared to last year when more customers were in startup mode, I think as they achieve scale and think about volume $OUST is a no brainer. There is a reason why we haven’t seen $MVIS, $AEVA, or $INVZ will real sales volumes- you can’t trick people into buying an inferior lidar product!
10. Physical AI is here to stay. I’m LONG