Tien Nguyen

Cin

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Good to finally see some relief in the cryptoverse.

Usually BTC finds strength shortly after 50% drawdowns.

The strength usually lasts anywhere from a few days to a few weeks.

Historically, many countertrend rallies by BTC during midterm years have topped during early March

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

A lot of #BTC bear markets saw countertrend rallies that topped during the 1st week of March.

[Tien Nguyen @Tienads998]

@ThuanCapital Cảm ơn a Thuận rất nhiều ạ
Trên người ai cũng có nhiều sẹo trước khi tới nơi mình muốn đến.

[ThuanCapital @ThuanCapital]

Gần đây, tâm lý của phần lớn mọi người khá nản, và Thuận hiểu vì sao. Thuận không khuyến khích đầu tư riêng vào một thứ gì, nhưng luôn khuyến khích mọi người tìm hiểu về đầu tư nói chung, vì Thuận vẫn tin đây là con đường để bảo vệ tài sản và cải thiện tài chính cá nhân.

Năm nay Thuận đã 41 tuổi rồi, nhìn lại chặng đường đầu tư của mình, sai lầm lớn nhất của Thuận không phải là thua lỗ ở tuổi 25, mà là chán nản, buông xuôi và không màng đến đầu tư trong nhiều năm sau đó.

Bạn có biết:
🔹 Năm 2010, ai lỗ tổng cộng khoảng 30K USD tiền học phí đại học vì trade forex ở tuổi 25 ← Thuận
🔹 Sau đó ai mua cổ phiếu Blockbuster để gỡ vốn, rồi công ty phá sản ← Thuận
🔹 Ai chán nản, bỏ đầu tư suốt 3 năm, đúng vào giai đoạn vàng son của thị trường chứng khoán ← Thuận
🔹 Ai đã mua BTC dưới 1K USD, ETH 15 USD, nhưng không bán ở đỉnh 2017 khi BTC ~20K USD, để rồi nhìn BTC rơi về ~3500 USD cuối năm 2018 ← Thuận
🔹 Sau đó mới thật sự hiểu BTC là gì và vì sao vẫn đứng top 1 trong crypto
🔹 Ai đã không chốt lời khi BTC hồi từ 3K USD lên 14K USD năm 2019 rồi nhìn BTC rớt về ~$5K năm 2020 khi đại dịch ập tới ← Thuận
🔹 Ai đã không chốt lời khi BTC lên đỉnh 63K USD hè 2021, rồi rơi nhanh về 28K USD trong vòng vài tháng ← Thuận

Mãi đến cuối năm 2021, Thuận mới thật sự học được bài học về chốt lời và quản lý vốn.

Ai cũng phạm sai lầm trong đầu tư, và bạn sẽ còn phạm thêm nhiều sai lầm nữa. Quan trọng không phải là tránh hết sai lầm, mà là mỗi lần sai, bạn học được gì và trưởng thành ra sao.

Hãy nhớ: thời điểm đen tối nhất trong đêm chính là ngay trước bình minh.

Take care, my friends.

[Tien Nguyen @Tienads998]

@phamduydong179 Đồng quan điểm với bác Đông.
Trước có nhắn tin hỏi bác sao k live mà bác bảo vì tình trạng sức khoẻ. Giữ sức khoẻ nhé bác.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

@roamwithmax I think ALT/BTC pairs will drop from 0.35 to 0.25, which represents a 30% drop on their BTC pairs

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Last cycle, ALT/BTC pairs found a major low at 0.25, which corresponded to the end of QT.

Perhaps, and I know this may sound crazy, ALT/BTC pairs go to 0.25, and then QT ends in December

[Tien Nguyen @Tienads998]

@ThuanCapital A Thuận hài tiếp 😂

[Tien Nguyen @Tienads998]

@ThuanCapital A Thuận hài 😂

[Tien Nguyen @Tienads998]

@Tuyen_Crypto10 Ông Powell chứ k phải Powel bác ạ

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

To those that keep calling for ALT Season:

In order for ALT Season to happen, ETH needs to go to $5k+ and hold it as support.

For ETH to go to $5k *AND* hold it as support, it means BTC needs to also go to all time highs.

The process of BTC going to all time highs would make BTC dominance go higher, just like it has all cycle.

So the only way to get an "ALT Season" is for BTC.D to first go up as BTC goes to new highs.

If that does not happen, then ALT Season does not happen.

So while the gurus sit out here and yap about BTC.D dropping now and they shill their shitcoins once again, just remember in order to get what they want, they first have to be wrong.

AGAIN.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Bitcoin dominance should head back above 60%.

Weakness for Alt/btc pairs expected for next month or so.

ETH should eventually hit new highs again, but liquidity should flow back to BTC for now

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

I was bullish on ETH from April until it made ATHs. Now I just think it will drop to the 21W EMA before putting in new ATHs.

I am bullish on ALT/ETH pairs in September.
I am bearish on ALT/BTC pairs as BTC.D is bullish.

BTC.D is likely going to go up.
BTC/USD will likely find a low and head back up into October to new highs. It's possible the low for BTC is in already but we will have to see how it does here at the 20W SMA.

Sorry that my actual thoughts don't align with your narrative.

I guess after you were wrong most of the cycle, you must feel the need to spend your time adjusting the actual thoughts of others to make yourself feel better.

The truth is you would have been better off being bullish on BTC.D this cycle and sticking with BTC until April.

Instead here you are, probably with a basket of shitcoins that have bled for 4 years

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

When ETH went home in April I said it would rally to All Time Highs but get rejected on the 1st attempt. I even called for new highs in August before going lower in September.

While I told people to expect this pullback, you were tweeting out at the ATH that ETH was not bearish.

ETH is now down 12%.

I bull posted ETH non-stop for 6 months and am calling for a 1 month pullback before new highs.

Notice how you don't mention that to your followers, you just paint me out to be the bad guy by saying:

"Look he's bearish and I'm bullish! Side with me!!"

Instead of saying I'm wrong, why don't you admit you were wrong about the current pullback that ETH is in, because you seemed incapable of imagining it a few weeks ago?

I have called the current path by ETH pretty well, and I had a feeling some of you guys would jump on the hate train the minute I called for a brief pullback before a continuation.

https://t.co/w4jq1NNwAq

As always, you never let me down.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

We are now in week 3 of #ALTs going up against #ETH after ETH hit its ATH.

Trend to likely continue until ETH tags the 21W EMA.

Once ETH tags the 21W EMA, ALTs will probably start bleeding to ETH again.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

#ETH ran the highs in August, and the current pullback should bring ETH back to its 21W EMA.

After ETH drops to the 21W EMA, it then should rally to new All Time Highs.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

#ALT / #ETH pairs literally found their local low the same week that ETH hit an ATH.

And during that time, ALT/BTC pairs also went down, and BTC Dominance went up.

Basically ALTs are bleeding less than ETH right now.

We should see ETH hit its 21W EMA by late September/early October, and then rally again back to All Time Highs.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

The rotation back to #BTC should continue here through September and October.

I know dominance still has not really moved much, but it should be back above 60% in the coming weeks

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Some people seem to think that ALT/ETH pairs going up means BTC.D goes down.

But what I am suggesting is that:

ALT/ETH pairs go up

BUT

ALT/BTC pairs bleed

So BTC.D goes up while ALT/ETH pairs go up.

It's possible that ETH just drops back to the 21W EMA, and during that time, ALTs don't drop as much, causing their valuation against ETH to go up (temporarily).

But after ETH/USD hits the 21W EMA, ALT/ETH pairs likely go down again.

https://t.co/3TUyHsmhKl

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

1 week warning

Bitcoin Dominance is likely going to move higher in Sep/Oct.

As noted in the post below, ALTs tend to find tops against BTC in late August.

Liquidity will flow back to the king.