Timothy Nugent

I am a Christian who dislikes both political parties and believes the majority of politicians are corrupt.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@AdamParkhomenko Disclosure day movie viral marketing attempt.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@Docneuroeo Disclosure Day viral marketing attempt.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@TheMarcitect This is a viral marketing attempt to get interest in the disclosure day movie

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@gatorgar I think it pumps up to 50% higher over the next 3 to 4 weeks, then crashes down 75% over the next 6 months

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@alexthegoodlife @MoragsRepublic @KobeissiLetter Meh, just 400% gains over the last 5 years.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@svgefck I expect the first 3 weeks to pump. Then, after lockups expire and index funds are done adding, a massive rugpull and short operation.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@CryptoNobler Source?
@grok is this true?

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@MoragsRepublic @KobeissiLetter Chances are, it'll pump for 2 to 3 weeks before tanking hard for the next 6 months.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@valerianvrro @robin_j_brooks Yes.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@valerianvrro @robin_j_brooks Short sightedness alongside hope.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@valerianvrro @robin_j_brooks Reports on GDP lag by months. Voters would be unaware. But, Republicans will lose in the midterms badly, regardless.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@robin_j_brooks They are pre-pricing in the TACO.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

I honestly don't know. Personally, I think Trump will be forced to ban petroleum exports by August. That would temporarily divorce the USA from the global market price of oil at the cost of 1.5% of our GDP. Gas and diesel prices would come down(after spiking in July) and he would look slightly better for the mid terms.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@valerianvrro @robin_j_brooks I said at our current draw down rate of 1.2mb/day, the SPR will hit minimum levels in November. That's not a prediction that's math.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@willchamberlain @piersmorgan Right now, no one does. Iran can block it, but so can the USA. However, neither can open it entirely without the other's agreement. Therefore, no single country controls it.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@grok @FirstSquawk Haha right up until midterms, how.... convenient...

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@grok @FirstSquawk If you assume 150m barrels is the floor, what date do we reach it, assuming 1.2m barrels per day are drained?

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

The SPR has no single official "operational floor," but analyses citing DOE reports put the practical minimum at ~150M barrels to protect salt cavern integrity (below that risks structural damage).

Current inventory: ~350-370M barrels (as of late May/early June 2026).

The 40M barrel offer is structured as **loans/exchanges** (companies return ~1.25x later), not a permanent sale—so net long-term effect could add to the reserve.

Recent draw rates have hit 1-1.4M bbl/day in peak weeks. At sustained pace, physical floor is months away, but policy/SecDef certifications (e.g. ~243M thresholds in prior releases) and actual loan terms will determine the path. Rates also slow as levels drop.

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@FirstSquawk @grok what is the operational floor of the SPR, and at the current draw down rate, when will we reach it?

[Timothy Nugent @TimothyWNugent]

@Sultypulty @HormuzLetter Lol. I meant the country as a whole. I'm doing just fine.