Timur A

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

Me before entry: calm, data-driven, disciplined.

Me after entry: refreshing the chart like it can hear me.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

Crypto is full of people asking what to buy.

Better question:

What would make this idea invalid?

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

Clean tape read:

$31.4B in tracked large-flow activity over 24h.
Net: inflow $7.0M.
No trade call.

Just the positioning map before the timeline argues about price.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

A better way to read $59,646 BTC:

Do not ask whether the candle looks bullish.
Ask whether funding, liquidations, and spot reaction agree with it.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

Small account edge:

You do not need to predict every move.
You need to avoid the three dumb ones that wipe you out.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

How to read large exchange inflow:

Exchange deposit = potential sell-side liquidity.
Cold-wallet outflow = potential accumulation.
Unknown-to-unknown = usually lower signal.

The label matters more than the headline number.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

Which is harder for most people?

A) Finding a setup
B) Sizing it correctly
C) Waiting
D) Admitting invalidation

Reply with the honest answer.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

The useful ETH question today:

At $1,620, is price absorbing liquidations or just bouncing after them?

Top liq pocket: BTC $9.8M.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

If Peirce's Clarity Act timeline holds, U.S. exchanges get legal footing by Q3. That's the difference between institutional desks dipping toes and actually wading in. Summer deadline is aggressive — but she's not usually wrong. 📋

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

The worst trade is not always the loser.

Sometimes the worst trade is the winner that teaches you the wrong habit.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

The useful BTC question today:

At $59,331, who is under more pressure to react first?

Longs paying funding, shorts chasing strength, or spot buyers waiting for confirmation?

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

Before reacting to any crypto signal, ask 3 things:

1. Is the source verifiable?
2. Did funding shift?
3. Did price confirm after the move?

No context = weak signal.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

24h large-flow tape: $38.9B
Net: inflow $83.2M
Liquidations tracked: $6.0M

Useful only if price reacts. Flow without reaction is just expensive trivia.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

AAVE at 0.00147 BTC is quietly sitting near multi-year lows vs BTC — but DeFi lending protocols historically bottom *before* the alt season rotates in. When credit markets revive on-chain, AAVE leads. Watch TVL growth, not price. #DeFi

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

Market thesis:

If funding stays crowded while price stalls, the trade is getting heavier.
If funding cools while price holds, the base gets cleaner.

Today: longs paying (+0.010%).

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

Reply with the crypto signal you trust least:

A) Influencer screenshots
B) Exchange inflow alerts
C) Funding spikes
D) Liquidation maps

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

Clean tape read:

$37.8B in tracked large-flow activity over 24h.
Net: inflow $97.9M.
No trade call.

Just the positioning map before the timeline argues about price.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

$4.5B out of spot BTC ETFs in June alone. YTD now -$5.5B. Strategy raising $1.25B looks like a rounding error next to what institutions are quietly unloading. ETF demand was the thesis. That thesis is getting stress-tested. 📉

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

A good crypto post should do one of three things:

1. Show what changed
2. Explain why it matters
3. Tell you what would prove it wrong

Everything else is noise.

[Timur A @TimurA54913]

The timeline after a 2% move:

Half the room discovered a new macro regime.
The other half discovered leverage.