I made $97K on the $TIND launch today.. sniping like a true degen! 🫡💰
Got in at a god-tier entry thanks to my settings, but of course, insider trading had to ruin the "send it to Valhalla potential". 🚀💀
Sold at 3x, lost some to slippage, so walked away with 2.8x gains.
Not complaining tho..profit is profit. 😎 Now off to refresh Dexscreener like a true addict in the hunt for a 50x. 📉📈
Just saw a trading guru on YouTube drop the classic “You can be profitable with just a 50% win rate if your RR is high” cheat code. Now, it sounds nice in theory until you actually run the math, so I decided to debunk this.
With a 50% winrate system, the probability of having at least one 10 loss streak is around 62% over 1000 trades and around 99% over 5000 trades (calculated using runs in Bernoulli trials, probability theory for consecutive failures). At 5% risk per trade, one such streak equals roughly a −40% drawdown which would then require a +67% gain on the reduced balance just to go breakeven.
So, in other words, long losing streaks are not an unlikely event, infact they’re mathematically inevitable. And once you recover from one, statistics say another will follow very soon.
And even if somehow you work out the math in your favour, what about the psychology part? How many of you are honestly going to continue trading the same system after 10 losses in a row even if you know statistically it’s fine to have that? You are most likely going to cut sizes at the worst time, skip the next big winners, revenge trade or change your system entirely before you reach the positive expectancy part.
So, expectancy looks good on paper but remember that trading is not lived on a spreadsheet, it has so many real life variables that you cannot control and having a higher winrate certainly helps alot. For an 80% winrate system, probability of 10 losses in a row is around 0.00001% for every 10 trades and over 1000 trades, chance of at least one 10 loss streak is practically 0%. Even over 5,000 trades, the probability remains extremely small.
And this is exactly why you don’t just need a system with a high RR, you also need a strategy with a higher winrate to make it both profitable and psychologically sustainable in a longer run.
6 days ago I said $CHILLGUY would get you a new car within 1 week. Today, the engine’s purring and my dream’s parked outside.
80% Accurate Signals in BIO
#BTC $TRUMP #Bitcoin#Crypto $SOL $TAO
I've done the math 📊
Holding, trading memecoins , copying traders…
I’ve made the most money copying futures traders 💸
And I reckon it’ll stay that way for now.
Futures trading it is then!
I'll be honest!
Spent 2 years learning to trade, only to realize I make more copying the pros.
That’s why I follow the best traders’ signals.....
and that’s how I was able to quit my job and move to Spain
$BTC: We’re Cooked.
Been tracking this since early 2024, no tampering. Caught the local bottom & mapped the giga run. Now, I’m shorting the red zone for months.
TP1: $74K (short-term bounce).
Local bottom: $63K - $53K, then a run to $100K - $120K.
Save this. Hope I’m wrong.
Crypto’s tanking hard?
People are freaking out, but me? I feel nothing.
Been through every cycle, I’m numb now.
Highs, lows, panic – seen it all.
Just another chapter.
I wait, watch, play long.
Market can do its worst, I’m still standing.
$Tao $BTC
$TAO Price Targets for the Upcoming Bullrun 🚀
$TAO price predictions are all over the place, but what’s actually possible? 🤔
Some focus on charts & TA 📉, others on TAO’s massive potential 📈. Let’s look at both:
🔹 Trading Perspective
Using conviction Fibs (highly probable), we get $1,400 - $3,600 as realistic targets if the market repeats past cycles.
🔹 +Fundamental Perspective
Factor in TAO’s product potential + an AI narrative boom, and higher targets emerge. A $6,000 - $10,000 price range is feasible if 3 key conditions align.
🔹 Long-Term Belief
Regardless of where TAO lands this cycle, it’s undervalued compared to its 10-20 year potential.
This is just my opinion and not financial advice, but I’ve learned from my mistakes last cycle.... I won’t be fading top-tier projects... like #Bittensor
What’s your TAO price target? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
If $TAO hits $500 this week, I’ll give 1 TAO each to 2 people who:
-like
-repost
-follow me
When the market crashes, the only thing I buy is $TAO. 💎👐
Secured this entry by staying cool during the big Feb 3 dump. ❄️📉