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New look, new features, and addition of feature tutorials. Projections, probabilities, and advanced data for every prop available - all in one place.
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🏀 NBA Player Prop Projections (11/12/26)
LeBron James has a 59% probability of staying under 23 P+A tonight, along with nine other props and the projection behind each one!
What if I told you the best Thursday night prop has nothing to do with either quarterback?
Cam Skattebo O 52.5 Rush Yards (-109)
He's cleared that number in 5 of the 6 games he's played start to finish this year. The only miss was a 28-6 blowout in LA where the Giants threw all second half.
I'll start with the hamstring, since that's the first thing people will think about. He hurt it on the 42-yard run against Houston and sat out the for the Philly game. This week he was limited Monday, then full practice on both Tuesday and Wednesday, and the Giants took him off the injury report completely. Harbaugh said that he is a full go.
When he plays, he gets the ball and his carry counts in those full games were 18, 12, 20, 18, 13 and 17. The Toad Sports app has him projected for about 15 carries and 60 yards. At 15 carries he needs about 3.5 yards per, and he’s averaging around 3.9 if you remove the long run.
He's already done this to Washington once. Week 5 was the 27-27 tie, and he ran for 59 yards on only 13 carries. Most people remember that game for his fumble late in the fourth, which got him benched the next week (six snaps, zero touches against the Saints). The week after that, Harbaugh gave him 17 carries at Houston and he went for 124. He called the fumble a "hiccup" and now he gets the same defense again.
Washington's defensive line is thinner now than it was in October, with Daron Payne and Javon Kinlaw both being on IR. In the two games since they last played, Washington allowed 91 and 124 rushing yards on 29 carries each time. Backs are averaging around 79 rushing yards a game against them. Their 4.0 yards per carry allowed is about league average, so Skattebo doesn't need a great matchup. He needs his normal workload and a normal night.
For those who are curious, the weather helps too. MetLife is looking at temps around 50, gusts near 30 mph and a decent shot at rain. The Giants are 2.5-point home favorites with a 40.5 total. I don't see Harbaugh asking J.J. McCarthy to throw 40 times into that wind a week after a hip scare. If New York gets a lead, the second half is going to be handoff after handoff.
What could go wrong: The hamstring tightens up or they limit his snaps in his first game back, and Singletary (21 carries last week) is there to take work. Another fumble or an early Washington lead would also hurt.
At -109 the book is pricing this around 52%. The Toad Sports app has it at 57.2%. The best price is 52.5 at -109 on DraftKings, and the lowest line is 49.5 at -120 on Fanatics.
🏈 NFL Defense Vs Position (Week 10)
How every defense has done against each position this season, with target players.
Keep these in mind for this week! 📚👇
🏈 NFL Defense Vs Position (Week 10)
How every defense has done against each position this season, with target players.
Keep these in mind for this week! 📚👇
We simulated Monday’s Bills @ Vikings using the Toad Sports projections!
Every single drive is built from the player projections inside the app.
Here’s how the game could play out... 👇
🏈 NFL Player Prop Projections (Week 9)
Joe Burrow has a 61% probability of throwing for 275 or more yards, along with nine other props and the projection behind each one!
A few early looks for touchdowns and their current probability...
🦁 Amon-Ra St. Brown (59.1%)
🐻 Luther Burden (37.5%)
🏹 Rashee Rice (49.5%)
🐏 Puka Nacua (62.9%)
⚜️ Chris Olave (41.3%)
Who else is worth a look?
🏈 NCAAF Projections (Week 10)
Projected score and win probability for 15 of Saturday's biggest games!
Notre Dame is projected to win 60% of the time against #1 Miami. George vs Ole Miss is looking like a coin flip at 50/50.
🏈 NFL Key Matchups (Week 9)
HOU: #1 Receiving Yards To WR
DET: #1 Receiving Yards To TE
SF: #1 Receiving Yards To RB
BUF: #1 Touchdowns To WR
DET: #1 Touchdowns To TE
NO: #1 Touchdowns To RB
DAL: #1 Rush Yards To QB
DET: #1 Pass Yards To QB
DET: #1 Receptions To TE
🏀 NBA Player Prop Projections (11/6/26)
Luka Doncic has a 58% probability of hitting five or more threes - along with nine other props and the projection behind each one!