Trump said the One Big Beautiful Bill Act would “take care of people.” A year later, millions have lost food aid — including many in red states. @Erika_D_Smith warns Republicans that SNAP cuts could become a costly political own goal (via @opinion) https://t.co/WSA2j3okyz
The probability that the Fed hikes rates in a few days is 38%
It has been decades since the Fed gave no clear guidance between a hike and staying on hold
For as long as I have followed the Fed, it was almost always close to 0% or close to 100%
The coming days will be volatile
@texasrunnerDFW Also who post a chart that stops in 2022 in 2026 during a war and a energy crisis? And bond yields spiking and 6.5 percent interest with a likely coming hike if events persist. Oh and tariffs.
Understand much of the real estate assets from late nineties to now have air in the values that will deflate if rates and bond yields raise to a normal level.
Every financial guru that taught cooky low interest nonsense will look crazed.
⚡️JUST IN
Iran's Military Spokesperson explain why the United States has not Attacked Iran in the past Two days:
"Americans have lost their way and don't have a clear strategy
Their goals to open the Strait of Hormuz and destroy Iran's Military Capabilities have Failed
The United States may go for Three options now: Withdraw from the War, Carry out a big Air Campaign or send Ground Forces
We are Prepared for all the Three Scenarios"
Long-Term Treasury Yields Jump as Bloodied Bond Market Gets Edgy about Inflation, Massive New Debt.
During last debt scare, 10-yr yield hit 5%, and the floodgates of demand opened. Now the debt is $6 Tn bigger; no guarantee 5% will open floodgates again
https://t.co/zZgDxnl7C5
Understand much of the real estate assets from late nineties to now have air in the values that will deflate if rates and bond yields raise to a normal level.
Every financial guru that taught cooky low interest nonsense will look crazed.
If you want to know who “the boss” of The Fed is, allow me to enlighten you:
It’s not Trump, it’s the bond market.
Based on 2s and 10s, the Fed isn’t cutting rates anytime soon.
In fact, if yields on the 2-year go any higher, they’ll be raising.
Have a wonderful weekend! 😊
BREAKING: US media report President Donald Trump has ordered the US military to hold off on strikes on Iran after 13 days of fighting, amid concerns a wider war could deplete the country's air defence missile stockpiles.
🔴 LIVE updates: https://t.co/TY1LJft5TM
Breaking News: President Trump has set aside, at least for now, plans to sharply escalate the American military assault against Iran. https://t.co/qvWp4egLZd
President Donald Trump had gone mostly quiet on trade wars since the Supreme Court struck down his tariffs. This was the week everything changed. https://t.co/nCn9E4onfq
BREAKING: President Trump is still considering what he described as a “massive” new military operation against Iran, with a final decision expected in the coming days.
According to reports, the proposed operation could involve coordination with Israel as Washington considers expanding its campaign. Speaking in an interview with LCI, Trump warned that if Iran does not agree to “100% of what we demand,” he is prepared to authorize a full return to military operations.
The remarks come amid growing speculation that diplomacy may be nearing its end, with officials signaling that preparations for a wider escalation remain underway.
The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is now at its lowest level since March 1983. Over the past 5 years we've seen a drawdown of 310 million barrels, a 50% decline.