Topher Spiro

Senior Fellow @amprog. Former White House Office of Management and Budget. Adjunct Professor of Law. Opinions my own.

[The Wall Street Journal @WSJ]

Breaking: Elon Musk ordered the Starlink slowdown that blindsided Ukraine https://t.co/bbLQBC4sbA

[Nikki Haley @NikkiHaley]

Not laughing. Just seeing what we tried to tell everyone back then. He’s a bad guy. It’s a shame he continues to get away with it.

[Mallory McMorrow @MalloryMcMorrow]

As one of the candidates featured in these polls - the infamous one in late June that showed me plummeting into single digits (which was at odds with our internals) - here's the impact of this "experiment"

- Donations dried up
- Volunteers were devastated and pleading for guidance on what to do
- Reporters hounded me with calls to drop out

Sure, a point was proven. Polling is broken. But tens of thousands of people poured their hearts, time, energy, hard-earned money into something they believed in - for a year-and-a-half, and it was treated like a game. Our volunteers gave their all. And then some. I felt like I had let so many of them down.

To be extremely clear, Michigan Democrats are locked in to beat Mike Rogers. We WILL send @AbdulElSayed to the US Senate.

But between crap like this, endless fundraising texts that drive supporters away with spammy fake deadlines and trash "match" claims, scam PACs run rampant for firms to grift without actually supporting candidates, undisclosed content creators pushing content out either misrepresenting themselves as residents of states they don't live in or hiding whether they were paid and by who so they could make a buck, and the tidal wave of dark money ads -- I hope Democrats are ready to blow up the system with campaign finance and transparency reforms.

Trust is already at an all-time low. We don't get out of this mess without rebuilding trust.

And media - who loves to ride the drama of a pollercoaster - needs to take a hard look at what's legitimate and what's not.

If this teaches us anything - DON'T GET COMPLACENT AND DON'T TRUST THE POLLS.

LOCK IN. SIGN UP FOR A CANVASSING SHIFT. LEAVE NOTHING TO CHANCE OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS.

[Topher Spiro @TopherSpiro]

The AI crash is coming

[More Perfect Union @MorePerfectUS]

BREAKING: Anthropic reports an $80 billion net loss in the first half of 2026.

[Tommy Vietor @TVietor08]

Hey @ADL who used the term recently? Anyone notable?

[Drew Savicki @DrewSav]

Wow, I wonder who said it

[Adam Carlson @admcrlsn]

I am shocked — shocked I tell you — that @JGreenblattADL has not spoken out about this.

[Topher Spiro @TopherSpiro]

This is totally 100% undignified; you are far, far less a Democrat for not supporting a Democrat who could swing control of the Senate. Lock in, people.

[Lon Johnson @LonJohnson48226]

For me, the only dignified choice is to leave the Senate race blank—an undervote representing a rejection of ideological absolutism. This makes me no less a Democrat. I refuse to be complicit in excusing or accepting extremism to beat extremism. The madness has to stop somewhere.
https://t.co/UVoe7r8sDF

[Adam Carlson @admcrlsn]

It actually does make you less of a Democrat.

You are choosing a MAGA Senator who will vote to confirm the next right wing Supreme Court justice that strips away the rights of millions & enable Trump for the final two years of his term & block the next Dem president’s agenda.

[Karen Finney @finneyk]

No Jan - you got caught red handed trying to help prop up a paid GOP operative who was there to spread false, racist lies about Abdul because he is Muslim. Shame on you.

[Adam Parkhomenko @AdamParkhomenko]

Quiet Piggy

[Norman Ornstein @NormOrnstein]

I had to read this twice to make sure of a cringeworthy fact; this Washington Post story on the el-Sayed exchange w “Tommy“ does not even mention that Tommy is a paid right wing political operative, a staffer for Josh Hawley. Journalistic malpractice.

https://t.co/oRSer08FeL

[Joe @electionsjoe]

Holy fucking shit this is insane

[Tommy Vietor @TVietor08]

This selective media outrage is so stupid. They are grown adults saying much worse things about each other in paid TV ads. Give me a break with this shit.

[Brian Schatz @brianschatz]

Netanyahu speaking to Americans, direct to camera, to justify this war and scold us about being upset about gas prices is a wildly disrespectful and super aggravating closing message.

[Dr. Abdul El-Sayed @AbdulElSayed]

This is Tommy. Tommy had a question about my allegiances. Listen to the end to hear about his.

[Dan Pfeiffer @danpfeiffer]

The inclusion of @ossoff is very notable

[Topher Spiro @TopherSpiro]

@jdcmedlock @yimbyism This is hospital rates at 120% of Medicare? The current all payer average is ~140%. Seems reasonable, but could be tight

The bigger problem is the 5% payroll tax is going to be a net hit for upper middle income families. Frustrating no one has modeled the breakeven point

[Topher Spiro @TopherSpiro]

@jdcmedlock I think the political benefit will last about a week under the spotlight of a presidential campaign