BREAKING: Multiple Iranian-flagged oil tankers carrying 7 million barrels of oil to China successfully broke through the US blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, the first breach since April 17, per Kpler.
Big Oil sees shortages coming
Exxon: We're nearing inventory levels that are truly unprecedentedly low.
ConocoPhillips: critical shortages of oil on the horizon.
Chevron: shortages in oil supply will begin appearing.
Saudi Aramco: fuel stocks are heading for critically low levels.
Meanwhile, markets are hitting all-time highs...
Apparently shortages don't matter until they do.
IRAN ENTERS LEBANON WAR: TRUMP'S CEASEFIRE COLLAPSES IN HOURS
Donald Trump announced that a ceasefire in Lebanon would hold and open the door to serious negotiations with Iran. That announcement has already collapsed. Iran now confirms it will come to Lebanon's defense and strike Israel directly if the attacks continue. The battlefield is moving far faster than any diplomatic timeline from Washington.
THE CEASEFIRE THAT NEVER HELD
➡️ Hezbollah rejected the US-backed ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel without hesitation.
➡️ The group made clear that any acceptable deal must begin with a full Israeli withdrawal from all Lebanese territory.
➡️ Return of displaced people and release of Lebanese prisoners were listed as non-negotiable conditions.
➡️ Hezbollah was never even part of the talks that produced this supposed agreement.
THE IRAN INTERVENTION CONFIRMED
➡️ Iran sent clear diplomatic messages to the United States demanding an immediate end to attacks on Lebanon.
➡️ Iranian officials stated they would have taken action already if the strikes had continued.
➡️ Iran expects at least 50 percent of its frozen assets to be released right after any agreement is signed.
➡️ While Washington talks of progress, Iran is openly preparing to enter the fight on Lebanon's side.
THE QUDS FORCE DEMAND
➡️ The Iranian Quds Force commander declared that Israel must withdraw to positions held before the 40-day war began.
➡️ "The basic demand of the resistance is the withdrawal of the occupation regime to the position before the start of the 40-day war."
➡️ He added that Lebanese fighters would soon reap the fruits of their resistance.
THE BATTLEFIELD REALITY
➡️ Israeli airstrikes continued today in southern Lebanon near Nabatieh.
➡️ Hezbollah struck back with drone attacks on Israeli soldiers and vehicles in the southern town of Al-Qantara.
➡️ Reports also confirm an attack on the vehicle of the Israeli Northern Command chief.
➡️ The ceasefire is broken and the fighting is expanding in real time.
THE TRUMP DIPLOMACY GAP
➡️ President Trump claims negotiations to end the war with Iran are underway and he hopes for an agreement this weekend.
➡️ He stated the ceasefire with Iran will be maintained and US military action would only follow if Iranian forces kill American soldiers.
➡️ He is expected to present a new version of a possible peace deal tonight.
➡️ These words come as Iran prepares to widen the conflict and the Lebanon front reignites.
THE BOTTOM LINE
Trump keeps selling the idea that words and weekend deals can contain the war. The reality shows Iran stepping into Lebanon, Hezbollah striking back hard, and the ceasefire lying in ruins. Every hour the gap between the negotiating table in Washington and the battlefield in Beirut and Tehran grows wider and more dangerous.
This is the sound of a diplomatic house of cards collapsing in real time.
#IranEntersLebanon #CeasefireCollapse #TrumpIranTalks #HezbollahRejection #QudsWarning #LebanonWar #EscalationNow
🚨BREAKING NEWS: Conservative MP Dean Allison Announces Inquiry into COVID-19 Vaccines🚨
Today in Ottawa, alongside Shawn Buckley and Teresa Buckly, MP Dean Allison breaks with the narrative and announces an inquiry into the impact of the COVID-19 vaccines on Canadians. This is a huge step forward for the vaccine-affected, injured, and dead.
"Canadians deserve transparency, Canadians deserve accountability, and above all, Canadians deserve to know their experiences matter."
This September, Canadians will be heard.
To get involved, go to the following website and apply to be a witness
https://t.co/9EMCmV2Z1Y
Godspeed.
Santa Monica police chief Darrick Jacob refused to file hate crime charges after a criminal attacked a Jewish couple with a bat. While screaming anti-Semitic slurs. And urging his dog to bite the Jews. Members of The Tribe would be wise to avoid Santa Monica while Jacob is chief.
Iran just called Trump’s bluff.
Its supreme leader was assassinated. Its nuclear sites were bombed. And it is winning the war that is left.
Washington walked into a trap with three locked doors. Trump cannot settle: a tentative 60-day ceasefire has stalled for a week while he demands changes Iran rejects. He cannot walk away: the strait stays shut and the bill keeps running. And the House just voted 215 to 208 to rein him in, with the Senate one vote behind.
But the door he can least afford to open is escalation, and this is the part no one is pricing. America is draining two reserves at once. It has pulled its Strategic Petroleum Reserve down 12% to 365 million barrels to hold the oil price down, and it has fired roughly 1,100 Tomahawks and 1,200 Patriots, weapons it needs years to rebuild. Both gauges fall on the same clock. Neither refills fast: the oil reserve is not projected back to pre-war levels until 2028. And Iran can see all of it.
That is why Iran will not move. A country this battered is winning the only contest left, the contest of who can afford to wait.
The screen still looks calm. Brent is back above $100. US stocks sat at record highs days ago. But that calm is bought with a draining reserve and a spent arsenal, and neither comes back for years.
Trump called the vote meaningless. The market shrugged. Iran read it as a green light.
This war is not being won on the battlefield. It is being won by whoever outlasts the other’s reserves. For the first time, that is not Washington.
U.S. Senator John Fetterman (D-PA) says he is growing increasingly concerned that President Donald Trump may make a deal with Iran.
"Nuclear dust, that’s the reason why we’re here. This is why I was reasoned and ok with setting myself politically on fire to be the only Democrat for the last 90 days voting against these war powers acts. Presidents always talk about their legacy. At this point, if you cave just for political convenience, what kind of legacy is that?"
(Jewish Insider)
As a longtime fan of President Trump, this is painful to see.
One of Trump's greatest successes was his "peace through strength" foreign policy.
He now risks throwing his entire foreign policy legacy away.
Iran attacked four Gulf countries yesterday. The attacks resulted in casualties and significant material damage.
Trump is not only minimizing it, not only excusing it, and not only failing to respond to it, but he's also forcing Israel's hand against Hezbollah, all in a futile attempt to reach what seems to be a capitulationist deal.
Iran is more arrogant and emboldened than ever, and it's not hard to see why.
Trump begging them for a deal, allowing them to drag out negotiations, and failing to respond to blatant provocations makes him look weak and pathetic.
Our deterrence is practically nonexistent.
I wish I was wrong. I hope there's something more to it than we can see. But I'm afraid there isn't.