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$SPY Let’s start with the daily, it is critical that we close over 742.15 into this long weekend, on the 5min, critical that we conquer this 746.77 zone if you’re planning a quick morning bull scalp, in my opinion. Conversely, we fail this 737.36 expect a 730 zone visit.
$NQ Not a bad move here, targeting this 30525, using the Nasdaq is my canary in the coal mine, needs over the latter for continuation.
$QQQ 734.95 on watch for a quick morning scalp, need to get over this. If this scenario happens expect a 741 zone test before close.
We Post Everyday, it's free, we do not sell anything, we do it to better our skillset. Keep us accountable.
$AAPL Sellers firmly in control here on all 3 charts, Daily, Hourly and on the 5min. Watch this 298 for any loto bull entries on the weekly and any consolidation over 300.
$MSFT Remains bearish here under 379.70, no bull entries under for me, would like to see 376.91 failure for any bear scalps.
$NVDA Best setup here if we can remain over 207.85, watching this level.
$SPCX The bottom is falling out, we are headed to 0? This was a giant scam? I don’t think so, we are seeing here a pullback and potentially a test of this 183 support zone, I wouldn’t panic here, very bearish on the 5min, let’s see if buyers step in.
We post everyday, it’s free, we do not sell anything, we do it to better our skillset. Keep us accountable.
$SPY We are out of yesterday’s chop zone, however, this double top worries me, cautiously, I’d wait until we get over 660.73 for any bull entries on the monthly.
$NQ Same situation here, double top, we need over 24521.75 for any real momentum. Conversely watch for any loss of this 24365.25, it would be a depiction of a possible bear pattern formation on the broader market.
$QQQ 587.84 needs to hold here, no bull entries for me under 591.33.
$RTY Bleed off here on the Russel. Nothing on watch here for me, RTY needs over 2566.7.
We post everyday, it’s free, we do not sell anything, we do it to better our skillset. Keep us accountable.
$AAPL Yesterday’s move was a hard one to read, not much of a setup here also, we would need over this 254.75 for a 256.00 run.
$MSFT 376 critical support level, or this heads back to towards 372.8 zone. In my opinion.
$NVDA Another choppy morning on this, no entries under 178.32
For those of you who are struggling, let me tell you a story about how drawdown control saved my life.
I used to think I had a winning problem, but I didn't... I had a losing problem that I refused to acknowledge.
For years, I believed trading was about finding the next big winner, stacking green days, and chasing the upside with relentless focus.
I thought if I could just find more setups, study more patterns, and stay glued to the screens longer, I'd finally crack the code and everything would click.
...but that wasn't my issue at all, because my real issue was that I had no idea how to protect what I'd already made.
I didn't respect risk
I didn't control my drawdowns
and because of that fundamental flaw, I kept blowing myself up over and over again while wondering why I couldn't sustain any momentum, no matter how many winners I had.
I've blown multiple accounts in the past, I'd be up a decent chunk in a matter of weeks, only to give most of it back in a handful of impulsive, oversized, emotionally driven trades.
I'd tell myself it was just part of the learning process, that every trader goes through this, that I'd figure it out eventually, but deep down I knew the truth.
I wasn't learning anything.
I was repeating the same destructive pattern where I'd win, get overconfident, size up too aggressively, stop respecting my stops, add to losers because I "knew" I was right, and then watch my account bleed back down to where I started or worse...
The most painful part wasn't even the money I lost, but rather the realization that I was my own worst enemy in this entire process.
The market wasn't beating me... I was beating myself, because I had the setups, I had the edge, I had the work ethic, but I didn't have the one thing that actually mattered:
the ability to control my downside.
Without that crucial skill, none of the rest of it mattered, no matter how hard I worked or how much I studied. It wasn't until last year that I truly understood the power of limiting drawdown, and I'm not exaggerating when I say this might be the most important lesson I've learned in my entire trading journey.
For the longest time, I approached trading like I was trying to hit home runs because I wanted the big wins, the explosive days, the validation that I could do this. And what I didn't realize was that my obsession with the upside was killing me because I wasn't protecting the downside, I wasn't managing risk, and I wasn't treating my capital like it was the most valuable asset I had.
I remember one specific period earlier in my journey where I had a 5 month stretch that felt like I'd finally figured it out, and I was up over 150% on my account with every trade working.
I felt invincible, so I started sizing bigger because I thought I was "in the zone," and I stopped using hard stops because I convinced myself that my conviction was strong enough to override the need for risk management.
Then, over the course of three days, I gave back more than half of those gains, going from feeling like a genius to feeling like a complete failure. The worst part was that I knew exactly what I was doing wrong while I was doing it, but I just couldn't stop myself because my ego had taken over.
That's what happens when you don't have drawdown control... you know the right thing to do, but your ego, your emotions, and your need to be right override your discipline completely.
You tell yourself that this time is different, that you're not going to let a small loss turn into a big one, but then you add to the position because you "know" it's going to work, or you move your stop because you don't want to take the loss.
You convince yourself that conviction is more important than control, but it's not conviction at all... it's ego, and ego doesn't survive in this game.
What changed everything for me was realizing that drawdown control is the actual superpower in trading, not finding the best setups, not having the highest win rate, and not making the most money in a single trade.
It's about surviving, because if you can survive, you can recover, and if you can recover, you can become consistent. None of that is possible if you keep blowing yourself up every time you hit a rough patch, which is why managing losses became my primary focus.
Every trader faces losses (that's a given) but the difference between the traders who make it and the traders who don't isn't who avoids losses, but rather who manages them effectively.
It's who can take a 2% loss and move on instead of turning it into a 10% loss because they're trying to prove they were right, and it's who can recognize when they're off and size down instead of doubling down out of stubbornness.
When I finally started treating drawdowns as information instead of a personal attack on my abilities, that's when everything shifted in a meaningful way.
I started asking myself different questions during drawdowns:
...instead of "How do I make this back as fast as possible?"
I asked "What am I doing wrong?
What can I control right now?
Where am I deviating from my process?"
More often than not, the answer was that I was sizing too big, forcing trades that weren't there, or holding onto losers too long because I didn't want to admit I was wrong.
I also started to recognize my own emotional states and how they affected my trading decisions in real time.
When I felt off, when I was frustrated, when I was trying to "get it back," I sized down or sometimes stepped away completely, because I knew from painful experience that trying to trade your way out of a hole in one move is how you turn a manageable drawdown into a catastrophic one.
I simplified, went back to the basics, focused on protecting the downside, and let the upside take care of itself.
Now, when I'm in a drawdown, my goal isn't to make it back immediately but rather to stabilize and slow down, to stop the bleeding before it becomes something worse. This is the part of the game that no one talks about, because social media makes it seem like everyone's printing money 24/7 with screenshots of big wins and percentage gains.
What you don't see are the sleepless nights, the accounts bleeding lower, the self-doubt, and the questioning of whether you're even cut out for this, all of which I've experienced multiple times.
Those periods don't define you.
How you respond to them does, and the only way to respond well is to have a process for managing drawdowns before they happen.
You can't "wing it" or rely on motivation or willpower in the moment, because you have to have rules, you have to have structure, and you have to know before you ever place a trade what you're going to do when things go wrong.
Things will go wrong (that's guaranteed) so the question is whether you're going to let a small loss stay small or whether you're going to let it spiral into something that sets you back months.
I've done well the past few months, but when I look back, I can't help but think about how much pain I could've avoided if I had learned this lesson earlier. If I had focused on the downside from day one, I would've saved myself tens of thousands of dollars and, just as importantly, years of mental and emotional frustration from the cycle of running it up and giving it back.
Now, my first question before any trade isn't "How much can I make?" but rather "How much am I willing to lose and still be okay?"
That's the shift that separates consistent traders from the ones who keep blowing up, because if you focus on the downside, the upside takes care of itself.
If you protect your capital, you give yourself the opportunity to be there for the moves that matter, and if you control your drawdowns, you can recover faster, learn faster, and build the confidence that comes from knowing you're not going to destroy everything you've worked for in a moment of weakness.
I have to give credit where it's due: @CFlanders7 and @AsymTrading are two traders I've learned an incredible amount from when it comes to drawdown control and risk management.
If I had found them earlier in my journey, I probably could've saved myself from a lot of mistakes and a few gray hairs, because the wisdom they share about protecting the downside and treating trading like a business instead of a casino is the blueprint for longevity in this game.
The flashy trades come and go, and the big wins are exciting but temporary, while what keeps you in the game long enough to become great is mastering your emotions, protecting your capital, and controlling your drawdowns.
If you're an inconsistent trader, if you keep running it up and giving it back, if you feel stuck in a cycle and don't know how to break it, the answer you're looking for is risk management.
It's not sexy and it's not exciting, but it works if you commit to it fully... so focus on small losses, focus on protecting your downside, focus on surviving the bad stretches without blowing yourself up, and the upside will take care of itself.
Winners are temporary, but survivors endure, and I plan to endure. - @AsymTrading