TradingMotives

Pro Trader since 2007. Publish Market Reports, charts & eCourses - EW & Median Lines. Ideas that work. Sharing experience to help others be successful too. 🙂

[Holger Zschaepitz @Schuldensuehner]

If history repeats itself, ARK Innovation has almost hit the bottom. The Cathie Wood fund has lost 78% from the top. That was also the Nasdaq's loss from 2000-2002.

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

A 60/40 Portfolio of US Stocks/Bonds is down 21.6% in 2022, on pace to become the 2nd worst year in history after 1931.

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

With total return data going back to 1928...

# Years in which both the S&P 500 and 10-Year Treasury Bond were down?

5 --> 1931, 1941, 1969, 2018, 2022

# Years in which both the S&P 500 and 10-Year Treasury Bond were down more than 10%?

1 --> 2022

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

Years in which the S&P 500 was down more than 2022 at this point in time (198 trading days)...
1931 (Great Depression)
2008 (Global Financial Crisis/Recession)
1937 (Recession)
2002 (Bursting of dot-com bubble/Recession in '01)
1974 (High Inflation/Recession)

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

US National Debt hits $31 trillion for the first time, an increase of $8 trillion (35%) over the last 3 years.

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The S&P 500 is down 23.6% in the first 187 trading days of 2022, the 4th worst start to a year in history. $SPX

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

This is now the longest S&P 500 correction (peak to trough) since the March 2009 low at 269 days and counting. $SPX

[TradingMotives @TradingMotives]

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#Crypto #Bitcoin #ADA #ETH #Solana #Doge & more

M&E #XAUUSD #XAGUSD #Oil $HG_F & more

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[Holger Zschaepitz @Schuldensuehner]

QT? Not in the Eurozone! #ECB balance sheet has risen by >€20bn in the past week to €8,777.4bn, just €58.6bn shy of an ATH. Total assets now equal to 81% of Eurozone GDP vs Fed's 35.4%, BoJ's 128.1%, BoE's 39%.

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The US Money Supply decreased 0.1% over the last 5 months, the first decline over a 5-month period since 2004.

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The S&P 500 fell another 1% today, its 31st decline of the year of between 1% and 2%. That's the most we've seen since 2008 which had 34. $SPX

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

British Pound #Cable $GBPUSD retesting all time low established 37 years ago

[TradingMotives @TradingMotives]

All premium weekly #tradingmotives reports posted
#trading opportunities & updates
#Crypto #Bitcoin #ADA #ETH #Solana #Doge & more

M&E #XAUUSD #XAGUSD #Oil $HG_F & more

#Indices #SPX500 #NASDAQ #DAX & more

#forex #USD #EURUSD #AUDUSD #NZDUSD & more

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

The 1X target in the U.S. Dollar Index $DX_F is 119-plus. The 2X target is 135.
The global financial system remains historically short U.S. Dollars.

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

There are two aspects to every trade
-Timing
-DIrection

Be wrong any either, and the trade is wrong.

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The S&P 500 is down 17.7% in the first 169 trading days of 2022, the 4th worst start to a year in history. $SPX

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The only years with higher volatility in stocks at this point than 2022 (169 trading days):
-1930s (Great Depression, World War II)
-2002 (Dot-Com Crash)
-2009 (Global Financial Crisis)
-2020 (Covid Crash)

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

In case you were wondering, yes, there's an ETF that tracks the Dry Bulk Shipping market via freight futures (there's an ETF for almost anything you can think off these days). It peaked last year and is now 80% below its high, giving back nearly all of its gains from 2021. $BDRY

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

Global container freight rates have hit a 16-month low, down 52% from their peak. Still 4x higher than pre-pandemic levels but continuing to move in the right direction.

[Holger Zschaepitz @Schuldensuehner]

Good Morning from #Germany, which is heading toward an electricity crisis. The 1y ahead power price has skyrocketed to almost €1,000 per megawatt hour. The electricity price has risen by 720% ytd. Such increases will bankrupt many energy-intensive firms.