HawkTrading

Group of Traders working together for common growth
Email to join our Slack community for free [email protected] #crudeoil $es_f #cl_f #futures

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@TrumpDailyPosts @realDonaldTrump is tge biggest fucking threat. Fuck that insane fucker

[MeidasTouch @MeidasTouch]

Iran’s official military spokesperson Ibrahim Al-Fiqar shared this AI-generated image of Donald Trump bowing before Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei with the caption “The end..”

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@TrumpDailyPosts Donald Trump is our real enemy

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@realDonaldTrump @realDonaldTrump what about you being the worst president in history?

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@realDonaldTrump will go down as the single worst President in American history. On every front. Polling, sentiment, economy, inflation, general happiness, and eventually even from a stock market perspective. All of it!! He is already 75 percent there!!! Get this corrupt ass hole out of there!!!

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@realDonaldTrump I wouldn't bet the republicans walk away with the mid terms. Middle America and independents officially hate you!!!!!! You only care about the top 1 percent and the whole country knows it. The 1 percent love you.... we hate you!!! And I voted for you twice!!! I will not again nor will anyone I know. I don't think you quite understand the level of disgust! The polls suggest it ... but in reality it's worse. You will go down has the worse president in history. And that is a fact at this point. Every dollar the market goes up and makes your friends richer the resentment grows exponentially!!! The fact that you think America even likes you is beyond my comprehension!!!

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@dampedspring @dampedspring where do I go to find this type of information?

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@jam_croissant likely to be out soon with something about flows and the period of weakness coming soon ... 25%-35% by August🤣🤣.

[Robert P. Balan @RobertPBalan1]

"It’s quite another to see smile collapse during a sharp rally, as market participants abandon hedges and fire‑sale insurance into a market‑wide squeeze. This is not the sign of organic risk improvement."

Untrue -- evidence shows the exact opposite of “abandoning hedges and fire-selling insurance.”

Customers have remained heavy put buyers + call sellers all the way from May 4 through the May 15 monthly/weekly expiry and into late May (see Net Customer Positioning chart — large positive red put bars + large negative green call bars).

This flow forces dealers short puts / long calls, producing the full spectrum of dealer Greek exposures:

Net MM Gamma Exposure → strongly positive (long convexity) in key expiries

Net MM Delta Exposure → significant positive delta requiring hedging buys

Net MM Vanna Exposure → meaningful skew-related flows

Net MM Charm Exposure → massive negative net charm (especially around May 8 and May 15)

Result: As time decays, dealers must mechanically buy SPX/futures daily just to stay delta-neutral. Positive gamma provides a bid on dips. Together this supports the rally and collapses the smile / compresses implied vol — precisely what we’re seeing.

Customers are actively adding put protection, not abandoning it. The smile collapse is a mechanical dealer-hedging byproduct, not evidence of capitulation or fake “organic risk improvement.”

This dynamic stays dominant until the week after May 15. Then the flows roll off.

(Charts: Options Depth — Net Customer Position + Net MM Gamma / Delta / Vanna / Charm Exposures by Expiration, May 4–22)

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@TrumpDailyPosts @realDonaldTrump is the biggest threat. Completely fucking liar

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@WhiteHouse @POTUS Lying fat fuck

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@WhiteHouse @POTUS Lying fat fuck

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@realDonaldTrump kick this lying market manipulating fat ass out of office. Will go down as the worst president in history!!! Period!!!

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

White House to announce there will be no negotiations with Iran this weekend but will wait until after the market closes to report as to no shake up the market during trading hours. $es $iran

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

Explosion seen in Straight or Hormuz

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@themarketear @zerohedge @grok summarize this article

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@zerohedge @grok what is the level reference by this article

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@zerohedge @grok summarize this article

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@jam_croissant Because I am a desperate. I am awful period.

[HawkTrading @TradingOhana]

@jam_croissant @jam_croissant I wish you would stop. The average guy can not predict the flow. Listening to you has cost me darn near everything. 25-35 percent lower by August. Stair step down. We are at the freaking highs man. Just stop.