T23

Trader. Speaker. Innovator. Thinker. Leader.

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@qualtrim Some hope in the current setup, showing strength in moving fro $85 to $117, 200W SMA at $204 would be great...

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@JohannBiermann1 Stats on IPO performance over 12 months after listing is worth a look...

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@WillBiddy_ Defensive for me, basic food supplies and a 10.65% dividend!

https://t.co/dMxJ6ZYuty

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@WillBiddy_ Defensive for me, basic food supplies and a 10.65% dividend!

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@DollarCostAvg $CAG

[T23 @Tramayne23]

$SE looking good on the weekly, holding support from two trends that go back to 2019.

SE is sitting directly at the long-term horizontal resistance-turned-support dotted line (~$85) — the same level that capped price from 2018 through mid-2020 before the blow-off rally to $372.

After the parabolic collapse from the 2021 peak, price has built a higher-low structure since mid-2022, underpinned by a clearly ascending blue trendline.

SE is a real business with real revenue, so full swing allocation is defensible with tiered entries.

[T23 @Tramayne23]

The AI trade has already bifurcated — and the unglamorous side is winning quietly. Cooling, HVAC, pipelines, grids and chip-equipment chokepoints (Vertiv +86%, Comfort Systems +99%) are absorbing rotated capital. Own AI through what it physically consumes, where the multiple risk is lower.

$VRT

[T23 @Tramayne23]

And $VXX

[T23 @Tramayne23]

Time to nibble on $QID

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@S_Nomoyi Crypto will still go down for the 4 year cycle. Waiting to buy in October.

[T23 @Tramayne23]

The AI trade already made the obvious winners obvious.

GPUs. HBM. Intra-datacenter optics. All moved. In some cases 1,000%+.

What the market still hasn't priced: the infrastructure required to connect distributed AI campuses to each other.

AI clusters are hitting power ceilings inside single facilities. The solution isn't bigger data centers — it's distributed campuses linked by high-bandwidth optical networks. That creates a new bottleneck: inter-datacenter connectivity.

One research house flagged a European optical supplier this week. $100–750M market cap. 46% insider ownership. Already winning neo-cloud contracts. Still valued like a niche telecom vendor.

Lumentum re-rated when the market connected the dots on intra-datacenter optics. The structural setup here is identical — just one layer up.

Meanwhile: Berkshire is buying homebuilders. Jensen Huang is talking up MRVL. SoftBank just dropped €75B into AI infrastructure in France.

The capital knows where it's going. The question is whether you're positioned before the re-rate or after.

What part of the AI infrastructure stack is your portfolio actually exposed to?

[Hopper @zeroXhope]

🚨 S&P 500 MAX DRAWDOWN IN EVERY MIDTERM ELECTION YEAR:

1962: -28.0%
1966: -22.2%
1970: -36.1%
1974: -48.2%
1978: -14.1%
1982: -27.1%
1986: -9.4%
1990: -19.9%
1994: -8.9%
1998: -19.3%
2002: -33.8%
2006: -7.7%
2010: -16.0%
2014: -7.4%
2018: -10.2%
2022: -25.4%

NOT A SINGLE POSITIVE RETURN IN 60 YEARS

2026 WON'T BE DIFFERENT

[T23 @Tramayne23]

$NVDA Into Intel's Territory Is a Scenario-Defining Move If Nvidia enters CPU/datacenter chip categories, the competitive dynamics for Intel become existential — not just difficult. Intel is mid-turnaround, burning cash on the foundry business, and already losing data centre GPU share. A Nvidia competitive push into traditional CPU categories compresses the one area Intel still has defensible margin. This is not priced. The market is treating NVDA and $INTC as separate stories. They won't be for much longer.

[T23 @Tramayne23]

MSFT executed a textbook recovery off the 200W SMA + yellow horizontal support confluence (~$364–374) in March/April. That double-floor held precisely — the bounce was sharp, sustained, and now accelerating. Price has broken decisively above the prior consolidation range ($418–432), closing today at $460.52 with strong momentum candles.

[T23 @Tramayne23]

$MSFT bounced off the most important floor on its chart and never looked back — the only question now is whether $460 is the pause before $510 or a near-term top that gives you a cheaper add.

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@TheLongInvest Same. Nike has the div though.

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@Tristanrhee3 Red flags abound and seem to be ignored. But it’s good to prepare for it with some cash stored.

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@Sumanly0 Yes. Build is ubiquitous. Customer problem solving, distribution, monetisation. That’s founder stuff.

[T23 @Tramayne23]

@mdnghtmss I’d also likely diversify. US macro fundamentals are tricky. With 30 years a good dividend payer is not a bad idea.