Trot Stats

Statistician and harness racing punter who builds models to rate horses.

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@MackayIM So why are most Australians under 75 not eligible to receive the RSV vaccine?

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@kevinbonham I suspect there will be some regional seats with primaries split quite evenly 4+ ways that will keep you busy

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@TheTrotsComAu How can you possibly call this a brilliant card? 7 of 9 races have odds on favourites, 5 of them under 1.50, only 2 races have enough horses for 3 place divs, many horses with limited form. 8 of 9 races are heats. 🤮🤮🤮

Need I say more, it has all the features that punters hate

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@tommyhud9 Heats don't work in harness racing because the drivers/stables cannot be trusted

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@jezzaseal @aus_sportpunter @CraigNottTrots That's the root cause of all this, taxes mean it isn't worth putting the effort in most of the time for either bookmakers or punters.

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@Moorie62527 I said the same thing 😂

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@MackayIM As well as the seasonal pattern being wrong for flu the weekly numbers don't look right for the 3000 stated, 26 weeks by average of around 200 per week is much more than 3000.

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@MackayIM They've plotted covid, not flu

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@MackayIM The thing is you don't need to understand anything about the science behind PCR to be confident they worked very well for Covid in Australia - hundreds of thousands of negative tests in a row apart from clusters of positives from close contacts of others who tested positive.

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@KonishikisWORLD Less than 43 years actually, so not that long ago at all!

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@tonytone2017 Is he on course for many of the meetings he calls?

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@tonytone2017 That's not even his main problem, he is probably the slowest caller at noticing when a horse from behind is making ground and being able to judge if they are a chance to win or not.

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@nwh91088 Well currently tab reluctantly do but limit the damage by letting the AI bots on before they go public

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@nwh91088 No bookmaker has the ability to set accurate enough early markets without getting smashed by the early smarties even with high % on their side.

So of course they all prefer to wait for someone else to get hit first.

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@razibkhan Joe a centrist? https://t.co/rWTqjj3RPn

[Chris Kavanagh @C_Kavanagh]

Thank God Joe clarified this. I mean fawning over Trump in a 3.5hr interview and repeating every single right wing conspiracy for the past 8 years simply had left many unsure. I mean isn’t he just a non ideological centrist who likes to ask questions? 😉

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@Chris_arnade He's not so smart.

These guys have done quite a few podcast episodes delving much deeper into his "ideas" too

https://t.co/iqBEYncZPx

[Chris Kavanagh @C_Kavanagh]

Bad Stats is absolutely on the money with this. Lots of examples from long before covid that Bret was a conspiratorial narcissist. One bonus example: Bret created a university course on the necessary skills to survive in nature after an apocalypse- basically a prepper course.

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@arbit_jeroen Even stupider that they only do it for the races where the most people are watching too

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@carlton_hero @mleppard11 Any rivalry happening now?

"Such state government rivalry over gambling revenues has long been a noteworthy aspect of Australian states’ gambling taxation (Rubner 1966)."

[Trot Stats @TrotStats]

@carlton_hero @mleppard11 "...governments have been pressured to reduce their tax rates as gambling competition has intensified and profitability declined (McMillen 1996b)."