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β’οΈ NFL THURSDAY FULL 6-0 SWEEP 9/24 π§Ήπ§Ή
β’οΈ WE WENT 6-0 ON OUR NUKES AND POTDS TODAY LFGGGπ₯π₯π₯
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Atlanta Falcons +6.5 β
Christian Watson over 4.5 Receptions β
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Jordan Love over 1.5 Passing TDS β
Drake London over 5.5 Receptions β
Matthew Golden over 50+ Receiving Yards β
WE ARE UP 50+ UNITS ON THE DAY, AND WE GOT NFL SUNDAY COMING UPβΌοΈπ
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π CASH OUR THIRD POTD BANGGGG β
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Jamal Murray over 34.5 PRA β
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THIS WAS FREE EATS EVEN WITH FOUL TROUBLE π€ LETS GOOO
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π CASH OUR THIRD POTD BANGGGG β
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Jamal Murray over 34.5 PRA β
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THIS WAS FREE EATS EVEN WITH FOUL TROUBLE π€ LETS GOOO
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π NBA WEDNESDAY POTD 11/11 π―
Jamal Murray Over 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists π
JAMAL MURRAY HAS ABSOLUTELY DOMINATED MEMPHIS, CLEARING THIS LINE IN HIS LAST 4 MATCHUPS (100%)! He's averaging 38.3 PRA against the Grizzlies during that stretch and 39.2 PRA over his last 5 games. Murray just EXPLODED for 38 POINTS on 23 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS against Houston, finishing with 42 PRA in 39 minutes. Now he faces a Memphis defense allowing 53.4 POINTS PER GAME to opposing guards, the 10TH-MOST in the NBA, with Denver entering as a narrow 4.5-point favorite βΌοΈπ
Murray's last 5 games, over in 3/5 (60%):
38 PTS + 2 REB + 2 AST = 42 PRA β
16 PTS + 6 REB + 8 AST = 30 PRA β
14 PTS + 5 REB + 7 AST = 26 PRA β
35 PTS + 5 REB + 6 AST = 46 PRA β
39 PTS + 8 REB + 5 AST = 52 PRA β
THE H2H HISTORY IS EXTREMELY ENCOURAGING. Murray has cleared 34.5 PRA in ALL FOUR of his most recent meetings with Memphis, averaging 24.3 POINTS, 6.0 REBOUNDS, and 8.0 ASSISTS:
Murray's last 4 vs Memphis, over in 4/4 (100%):
26 PTS + 7 REB + 5 AST = 38 PRA β
19 PTS + 8 REB + 12 AST = 39 PRA β
23 PTS + 6 REB + 7 AST = 36 PRA β
29 PTS + 3 REB + 8 AST = 40 PRA β
THE SHOT VOLUME AND PLAYMAKING OPPORTUNITIES ARE ELITE. Murray is averaging 25.8 PPG, 5.1 RPG, and 5.7 APG in 36.9 minutes this season, combining for 36.6 PRA. He's also knocking down 4.0 THREES per game on nearly 8 attempts, shooting 50.7% from beyond the arc. Over his last 5 games, he's averaging 28.4 POINTS on 16.8 FGA, with three performances of 35+ POINTS π
THE MURRAY-JOKIC TWO-MAN GAME CREATES MULTIPLE WAYS TO ATTACK DEFENSES. Denver frequently utilizes ball screens, dribble handoffs, and off-ball screening actions to free Murray for pull-up jumpers and downhill attacks. When defenses send additional help toward Murray, his chemistry with Jokic creates passing opportunities out of those same actions. NBA tracking has recorded 123 POTENTIAL ASSISTS for Murray across eight tracked games, averaging 15.4 potential assists per game, the 3RD-HIGHEST average in that sample βΌοΈ
MEMPHIS HAS BEEN ALLOWING SUBSTANTIAL SHOT VOLUME TO OPPOSING BACKCOURTS. Across its first 10 games, players classified as point guards have combined to average:
29.5 POINTS PER GAME
24.2 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS PER GAME
8.3 ASSISTS PER GAME
THE GAME SCRIPT SUPPORTS A FULL WORKLOAD. Denver enters 5-4 while Memphis sits at 7-3, with the Nuggets favored by just 4.5 POINTS and a 228.5 game total. Murray is averaging nearly 37 minutes per game and has logged 37+ minutes in four of his last six appearances. With both teams fighting for positioning in the Western Conference, the competitive spread creates a favorable opportunity for Murray to maintain his heavy offensive involvement π
I'M SMASHING JAMAL MURRAY OVER 34.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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β’οΈ CASH THIS NUKEE FREE THATS 2-0 TODAY β
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Andrew Nembhard over 23.5 PA β
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EASY READ VS THE WIZARDS LFGGG LETS KEEP GOING π₯
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β’οΈ CASH THIS NUKEE FREE THATS 2-0 TODAY β
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Andrew Nembhard over 23.5 PA β
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EASY READ VS THE WIZARDS LFGGG LETS KEEP GOING π₯
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β’οΈ NBA WEDNESDAY NUKEEEE 11/11 β’οΈ
Andrew Nembhard Over 23.5 Points + Assists π
NEMBHARD HAS CLEARED THIS LINE IN 5/6 GAMES WITHOUT HALI THIS SEASON (83%)! He's averaging 26.2 PA and 8.5 ASSISTS without Haliburton, compared to just 21.7 PA and 5.7 assists with him. Nembhard has also cleared this line in 4/5 recent games (80%) and now faces a Washington defense allowing opposing point guards to combine for 20.3 POINTS and 9.1 ASSISTS per game. T.J. McConnell is also QUESTIONABLE, potentially leaving Indiana even more dependent on Nembhard's playmaking βΌοΈπ
Nembhard's last 6 without Haliburton, over in 5/6 (83%):
12 PTS + 12 AST = 24 PA β
9 PTS + 8 AST = 17 PA β
22 PTS + 4 AST = 26 PA β
23 PTS + 4 AST = 27 PA β
22 PTS + 9 AST = 31 PA β
18 PTS + 14 AST = 32 PA β
THE UNDERLYING PLAYMAKING VOLUME IS ELITE. Nembhard has generated 100 POTENTIAL ASSISTS through 8 tracked games, averaging 12.5 per game. He's also recorded 504 PASSES MADE, equivalent to 63.0 per game, while creating 144 ASSIST POINTS for teammates. His expanded on-ball responsibilities have produced 8.5 APG without Haliburton, including a massive 14-assist performance against Philadelphia and 12 assists against Dallas on Monday π
WASHINGTON HAS BEEN GIVING OPPOSING BACKCOURTS PLENTY OF OFFENSIVE OPPORTUNITIES. Through 11 games, opposing players classified as point guards and shooting guards have combined to average:
53.7 POINTS PER GAME
17.5 ASSISTS PER GAME
46.6 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS PER GAME
Point guards: 20.3 PPG | 9.1 APG | 19.6 FGA
Shooting guards: 33.4 PPG | 8.4 APG | 27.0 FGA
NEMBHARD'S EXPANDED PICK-AND-ROLL ROLE IS PARTICULARLY IMPORTANT. With Haliburton sidelined, Indiana has relied on Nembhard to initiate more possessions, attack off ball screens, and create scoring opportunities for Pascal Siakam and the rest of the offense. He's averaging 14.2 FGA in games without Haliburton compared to 9.7 with him, while his assist average has climbed by nearly 50%. His combination of increased shot creation and passing volume gives him multiple paths to accumulate PA βΌοΈ
I'M NUKING ANDREW NEMBHARD OVER 23.5 POINTS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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π CASH THIS IN THE FIRST HALF SWEAT FREE β
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Sandro Mamu over 13.5 PR β
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CASH THIS SO EASY IN THE FIRST HALF ππ 1-0 βΌοΈ
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π CASH THIS IN THE FIRST HALF SWEAT FREE β
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Sandro Mamu over 13.5 PR β
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CASH THIS SO EASY IN THE FIRST HALF ππ 1-0 βΌοΈ
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π NBA WEDNESDAY LAST PLAY 11/11 π’
Sandro Mamukelashvili Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds π
QUENTIN GRIMES IS OUT, MYLES TURNER IS OUT, AND MILWAUKEE IS ALLOWING THE 3RD-MOST POINTS TO POWER FORWARDS IN THE NBA! The Bucks are surrendering 29.9 PPG to the position while ranking 29TH in defensive rating (122.6). Mamu JUST EXPLODED for a SEASON-HIGH 23 POINTS + 8 REBOUNDS = 31 PR against Atlanta, playing 32 MINUTES and knocking down 5 THREES on 8 attempts βΌοΈπ
Mamuβs last 5 games:
23 PTS + 8 REB = 31 PR β
7 PTS + 3 REB = 10 PR β
7 PTS + 3 REB = 10 PR β
2 PTS + 6 REB = 8 PR β
13 PTS + 3 REB = 16 PR β
Grimes is officially ruled out after also missing Mondayβs matchup against Atlanta. With Grimes and Austin Reaves both unavailable in that game, Mamu played a SEASON-HIGH 32 MINUTES and responded with 23 POINTS, 8 REBOUNDS, and 13 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS. Grimes remaining sidelined keeps another rotation spot open, giving Mamu an opportunity to maintain a meaningful role in the Lakersβ second unit π
MYLES TURNER BEING OUT MAKES MILWAUKEEβS INTERIOR MATCHUP EVEN MORE INTERESTING. Turner is officially ruled out for rest after playing 27 minutes against New York last night. The Bucks will now have to rely more heavily on Kelβel Ware and Jericho Sims at center. Losing their starting rim protector creates potential opportunities for Mamu to attack inside, finish around the basket, and compete for rebounds against Milwaukeeβs adjusted frontcourt βΌοΈ
THE PERIMETER MATCHUP ALSO SUPPORTS MAMUβS SCORING PROFILE. Milwaukee is allowing opposing forwards to knock down 5.1 THREES PER GAME, the 3RD-MOST in the NBA and approximately 23% ABOVE the league average. Mamu is coming off his best perimeter performance of the season, going 5/8 FROM THREE against Atlanta. His floor-spacing ability makes him an interesting matchup against a defense that has consistently allowed perimeter production from opposing forwards π
Milwaukee is allowing 121.2 POINTS PER GAME, the 3RD-MOST in the NBA, and enters on the second night of a back-to-back. Meanwhile, the Lakers have won 6 STRAIGHT games and are averaging 125.7 PPG during that stretch. Mamuβs combination of perimeter shooting and rebounding provides another offensive option in a Los Angeles attack that has been generating substantial production π
IβM LOCKING IN SANDRO MAMUKELASHVILI OVER 13.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code βTURTLEBETSβ with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
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π NBA WEDNESDAY LAST PLAY 11/11 π’
Sandro Mamukelashvili Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds π
QUENTIN GRIMES IS OUT, MYLES TURNER IS OUT, AND MILWAUKEE IS ALLOWING THE 3RD-MOST POINTS TO POWER FORWARDS IN THE NBA! The Bucks are surrendering 29.9 PPG to the position while ranking 29TH in defensive rating (122.6). Mamu JUST EXPLODED for a SEASON-HIGH 23 POINTS + 8 REBOUNDS = 31 PR against Atlanta, playing 32 MINUTES and knocking down 5 THREES on 8 attempts βΌοΈπ
Mamuβs last 5 games:
23 PTS + 8 REB = 31 PR β
7 PTS + 3 REB = 10 PR β
7 PTS + 3 REB = 10 PR β
2 PTS + 6 REB = 8 PR β
13 PTS + 3 REB = 16 PR β
Grimes is officially ruled out after also missing Mondayβs matchup against Atlanta. With Grimes and Austin Reaves both unavailable in that game, Mamu played a SEASON-HIGH 32 MINUTES and responded with 23 POINTS, 8 REBOUNDS, and 13 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS. Grimes remaining sidelined keeps another rotation spot open, giving Mamu an opportunity to maintain a meaningful role in the Lakersβ second unit π
MYLES TURNER BEING OUT MAKES MILWAUKEEβS INTERIOR MATCHUP EVEN MORE INTERESTING. Turner is officially ruled out for rest after playing 27 minutes against New York last night. The Bucks will now have to rely more heavily on Kelβel Ware and Jericho Sims at center. Losing their starting rim protector creates potential opportunities for Mamu to attack inside, finish around the basket, and compete for rebounds against Milwaukeeβs adjusted frontcourt βΌοΈ
THE PERIMETER MATCHUP ALSO SUPPORTS MAMUβS SCORING PROFILE. Milwaukee is allowing opposing forwards to knock down 5.1 THREES PER GAME, the 3RD-MOST in the NBA and approximately 23% ABOVE the league average. Mamu is coming off his best perimeter performance of the season, going 5/8 FROM THREE against Atlanta. His floor-spacing ability makes him an interesting matchup against a defense that has consistently allowed perimeter production from opposing forwards π
Milwaukee is allowing 121.2 POINTS PER GAME, the 3RD-MOST in the NBA, and enters on the second night of a back-to-back. Meanwhile, the Lakers have won 6 STRAIGHT games and are averaging 125.7 PPG during that stretch. Mamuβs combination of perimeter shooting and rebounding provides another offensive option in a Los Angeles attack that has been generating substantial production π
IβM LOCKING IN SANDRO MAMUKELASHVILI OVER 13.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code βTURTLEBETSβ with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
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π NBA WEDNESDAY BANGER 11/11 π«
Stephon Castle Over 10.5 Rebounds + Assists π
CASTLE HAS ABSOLUTELY DOMINATED CHICAGO IN HIS LAST TWO MATCHUPS, AVERAGING 17.0 RA AND CLEARING THIS LINE IN BOTH (100%)! He recorded 18 RA and 16 RA against the Bulls last season, averaging 10.5 ASSISTS in those meetings. Now he faces a Chicago defense ranking DEAD LAST in defensive rating (124.4) while playing at the FASTEST PACE in the NBA (104.0). The Bulls are also allowing the 2ND-MOST PRA to opposing guards per 100 possessions, creating an extremely favorable matchup for Castle's rebounding and playmaking βΌοΈπ
Castle's last 5 games, over in 3/5 (60%):
8 REB + 7 AST = 15 RA β
7 REB + 5 AST = 12 RA β
3 REB + 7 AST = 10 RA β
10 REB + 3 AST = 13 RA β
5 REB + 4 AST = 9 RA β
THE H2H HISTORY IS THE BIGGEST SELLING POINT. Castle has recorded DOUBLE-DIGIT ASSISTS in both of his most recent meetings against Chicago, including a 10-assist performance in March and an 11-assist performance in November:
Castle's last 2 vs Chicago, over in 2/2 (100%):
8 REB + 10 AST = 18 RA β
5 REB + 11 AST = 16 RA β
CHICAGO HAS BEEN ONE OF THE MOST FAVORABLE DEFENSES FOR OPPOSING BACKCOURTS. Through nine games, the Bulls are allowing opposing point guards and shooting guards, combined, to average per 100 possessions:
16.5 REBOUNDS | 5TH-MOST
16.1 ASSISTS | 4TH-MOST
93.7 PRA | 2ND-MOST
Those guard-group rebounding and assist numbers are both above the league average. Chicago is also allowing 129.3 POINTS PER GAME, the MOST in the NBA, while opponents are grabbing 49.6 rebounds per game against them. The combination of extra possessions, defensive breakdowns, and rebounding opportunities supports Castle's two-way production π
Chicago's pace creates a particularly useful opportunity for Castle's playmaking. The Bulls are generating approximately 104 possessions per 48 minutes, and San Antonio ranks among the NBA's highest-scoring offenses at 118.7 PPG. Castle has already recorded 7+ assists in four games this season, while grabbing 7+ rebounds in five, demonstrating his ability to accumulate RA through either category π
I'M LOCKING IN STEPHON CASTLE OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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π NBA WEDNESDAY BANGER 11/11 π«
Stephon Castle Over 10.5 Rebounds + Assists π
CASTLE HAS ABSOLUTELY DOMINATED CHICAGO IN HIS LAST TWO MATCHUPS, AVERAGING 17.0 RA AND CLEARING THIS LINE IN BOTH (100%)! He recorded 18 RA and 16 RA against the Bulls last season, averaging 10.5 ASSISTS in those meetings. Now he faces a Chicago defense ranking DEAD LAST in defensive rating (124.4) while playing at the FASTEST PACE in the NBA (104.0). The Bulls are also allowing the 2ND-MOST PRA to opposing guards per 100 possessions, creating an extremely favorable matchup for Castle's rebounding and playmaking βΌοΈπ
Castle's last 5 games, over in 3/5 (60%):
8 REB + 7 AST = 15 RA β
7 REB + 5 AST = 12 RA β
3 REB + 7 AST = 10 RA β
10 REB + 3 AST = 13 RA β
5 REB + 4 AST = 9 RA β
THE H2H HISTORY IS THE BIGGEST SELLING POINT. Castle has recorded DOUBLE-DIGIT ASSISTS in both of his most recent meetings against Chicago, including a 10-assist performance in March and an 11-assist performance in November:
Castle's last 2 vs Chicago, over in 2/2 (100%):
8 REB + 10 AST = 18 RA β
5 REB + 11 AST = 16 RA β
CHICAGO HAS BEEN ONE OF THE MOST FAVORABLE DEFENSES FOR OPPOSING BACKCOURTS. Through nine games, the Bulls are allowing opposing point guards and shooting guards, combined, to average per 100 possessions:
16.5 REBOUNDS | 5TH-MOST
16.1 ASSISTS | 4TH-MOST
93.7 PRA | 2ND-MOST
Those guard-group rebounding and assist numbers are both above the league average. Chicago is also allowing 129.3 POINTS PER GAME, the MOST in the NBA, while opponents are grabbing 49.6 rebounds per game against them. The combination of extra possessions, defensive breakdowns, and rebounding opportunities supports Castle's two-way production π
Chicago's pace creates a particularly useful opportunity for Castle's playmaking. The Bulls are generating approximately 104 possessions per 48 minutes, and San Antonio ranks among the NBA's highest-scoring offenses at 118.7 PPG. Castle has already recorded 7+ assists in four games this season, while grabbing 7+ rebounds in five, demonstrating his ability to accumulate RA through either category π
I'M LOCKING IN STEPHON CASTLE OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
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π NBA WEDNESDAY LAST PLAY 11/11 π’
Sandro Mamukelashvili Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds π
QUENTIN GRIMES IS OUT, MYLES TURNER IS OUT, AND MILWAUKEE IS ALLOWING THE 3RD-MOST POINTS TO POWER FORWARDS IN THE NBA! The Bucks are surrendering 29.9 PPG to the position while ranking 29TH in defensive rating (122.6). Mamu JUST EXPLODED for a SEASON-HIGH 23 POINTS + 8 REBOUNDS = 31 PR against Atlanta, playing 32 MINUTES and knocking down 5 THREES on 8 attempts βΌοΈπ
Mamuβs last 5 games:
23 PTS + 8 REB = 31 PR β
7 PTS + 3 REB = 10 PR β
7 PTS + 3 REB = 10 PR β
2 PTS + 6 REB = 8 PR β
13 PTS + 3 REB = 16 PR β
Grimes is officially ruled out after also missing Mondayβs matchup against Atlanta. With Grimes and Austin Reaves both unavailable in that game, Mamu played a SEASON-HIGH 32 MINUTES and responded with 23 POINTS, 8 REBOUNDS, and 13 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS. Grimes remaining sidelined keeps another rotation spot open, giving Mamu an opportunity to maintain a meaningful role in the Lakersβ second unit π
MYLES TURNER BEING OUT MAKES MILWAUKEEβS INTERIOR MATCHUP EVEN MORE INTERESTING. Turner is officially ruled out for rest after playing 27 minutes against New York last night. The Bucks will now have to rely more heavily on Kelβel Ware and Jericho Sims at center. Losing their starting rim protector creates potential opportunities for Mamu to attack inside, finish around the basket, and compete for rebounds against Milwaukeeβs adjusted frontcourt βΌοΈ
THE PERIMETER MATCHUP ALSO SUPPORTS MAMUβS SCORING PROFILE. Milwaukee is allowing opposing forwards to knock down 5.1 THREES PER GAME, the 3RD-MOST in the NBA and approximately 23% ABOVE the league average. Mamu is coming off his best perimeter performance of the season, going 5/8 FROM THREE against Atlanta. His floor-spacing ability makes him an interesting matchup against a defense that has consistently allowed perimeter production from opposing forwards π
Milwaukee is allowing 121.2 POINTS PER GAME, the 3RD-MOST in the NBA, and enters on the second night of a back-to-back. Meanwhile, the Lakers have won 6 STRAIGHT games and are averaging 125.7 PPG during that stretch. Mamuβs combination of perimeter shooting and rebounding provides another offensive option in a Los Angeles attack that has been generating substantial production π
IβM LOCKING IN SANDRO MAMUKELASHVILI OVER 13.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code βTURTLEBETSβ with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
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@PropsEdge LETS CASHHHH CMONπ₯
π NBA WEDNESDAY POTD 11/11 π―
Jamal Murray Over 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists π
JAMAL MURRAY HAS ABSOLUTELY DOMINATED MEMPHIS, CLEARING THIS LINE IN HIS LAST 4 MATCHUPS (100%)! He's averaging 38.3 PRA against the Grizzlies during that stretch and 39.2 PRA over his last 5 games. Murray just EXPLODED for 38 POINTS on 23 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS against Houston, finishing with 42 PRA in 39 minutes. Now he faces a Memphis defense allowing 53.4 POINTS PER GAME to opposing guards, the 10TH-MOST in the NBA, with Denver entering as a narrow 4.5-point favorite βΌοΈπ
Murray's last 5 games, over in 3/5 (60%):
38 PTS + 2 REB + 2 AST = 42 PRA β
16 PTS + 6 REB + 8 AST = 30 PRA β
14 PTS + 5 REB + 7 AST = 26 PRA β
35 PTS + 5 REB + 6 AST = 46 PRA β
39 PTS + 8 REB + 5 AST = 52 PRA β
THE H2H HISTORY IS EXTREMELY ENCOURAGING. Murray has cleared 34.5 PRA in ALL FOUR of his most recent meetings with Memphis, averaging 24.3 POINTS, 6.0 REBOUNDS, and 8.0 ASSISTS:
Murray's last 4 vs Memphis, over in 4/4 (100%):
26 PTS + 7 REB + 5 AST = 38 PRA β
19 PTS + 8 REB + 12 AST = 39 PRA β
23 PTS + 6 REB + 7 AST = 36 PRA β
29 PTS + 3 REB + 8 AST = 40 PRA β
THE SHOT VOLUME AND PLAYMAKING OPPORTUNITIES ARE ELITE. Murray is averaging 25.8 PPG, 5.1 RPG, and 5.7 APG in 36.9 minutes this season, combining for 36.6 PRA. He's also knocking down 4.0 THREES per game on nearly 8 attempts, shooting 50.7% from beyond the arc. Over his last 5 games, he's averaging 28.4 POINTS on 16.8 FGA, with three performances of 35+ POINTS π
THE MURRAY-JOKIC TWO-MAN GAME CREATES MULTIPLE WAYS TO ATTACK DEFENSES. Denver frequently utilizes ball screens, dribble handoffs, and off-ball screening actions to free Murray for pull-up jumpers and downhill attacks. When defenses send additional help toward Murray, his chemistry with Jokic creates passing opportunities out of those same actions. NBA tracking has recorded 123 POTENTIAL ASSISTS for Murray across eight tracked games, averaging 15.4 potential assists per game, the 3RD-HIGHEST average in that sample βΌοΈ
MEMPHIS HAS BEEN ALLOWING SUBSTANTIAL SHOT VOLUME TO OPPOSING BACKCOURTS. Across its first 10 games, players classified as point guards have combined to average:
29.5 POINTS PER GAME
24.2 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS PER GAME
8.3 ASSISTS PER GAME
THE GAME SCRIPT SUPPORTS A FULL WORKLOAD. Denver enters 5-4 while Memphis sits at 7-3, with the Nuggets favored by just 4.5 POINTS and a 228.5 game total. Murray is averaging nearly 37 minutes per game and has logged 37+ minutes in four of his last six appearances. With both teams fighting for positioning in the Western Conference, the competitive spread creates a favorable opportunity for Murray to maintain his heavy offensive involvement π
I'M SMASHING JAMAL MURRAY OVER 34.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
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@Theonlyrt1 cmonnn letβs cash
β’οΈ NBA WEDNESDAY NUKEEEE 11/11 β’οΈ
Andrew Nembhard Over 23.5 Points + Assists π
NEMBHARD HAS CLEARED THIS LINE IN 5/6 GAMES WITHOUT HALI THIS SEASON (83%)! He's averaging 26.2 PA and 8.5 ASSISTS without Haliburton, compared to just 21.7 PA and 5.7 assists with him. Nembhard has also cleared this line in 4/5 recent games (80%) and now faces a Washington defense allowing opposing point guards to combine for 20.3 POINTS and 9.1 ASSISTS per game. T.J. McConnell is also QUESTIONABLE, potentially leaving Indiana even more dependent on Nembhard's playmaking βΌοΈπ
Nembhard's last 6 without Haliburton, over in 5/6 (83%):
12 PTS + 12 AST = 24 PA β
9 PTS + 8 AST = 17 PA β
22 PTS + 4 AST = 26 PA β
23 PTS + 4 AST = 27 PA β
22 PTS + 9 AST = 31 PA β
18 PTS + 14 AST = 32 PA β
THE UNDERLYING PLAYMAKING VOLUME IS ELITE. Nembhard has generated 100 POTENTIAL ASSISTS through 8 tracked games, averaging 12.5 per game. He's also recorded 504 PASSES MADE, equivalent to 63.0 per game, while creating 144 ASSIST POINTS for teammates. His expanded on-ball responsibilities have produced 8.5 APG without Haliburton, including a massive 14-assist performance against Philadelphia and 12 assists against Dallas on Monday π
WASHINGTON HAS BEEN GIVING OPPOSING BACKCOURTS PLENTY OF OFFENSIVE OPPORTUNITIES. Through 11 games, opposing players classified as point guards and shooting guards have combined to average:
53.7 POINTS PER GAME
17.5 ASSISTS PER GAME
46.6 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS PER GAME
Point guards: 20.3 PPG | 9.1 APG | 19.6 FGA
Shooting guards: 33.4 PPG | 8.4 APG | 27.0 FGA
NEMBHARD'S EXPANDED PICK-AND-ROLL ROLE IS PARTICULARLY IMPORTANT. With Haliburton sidelined, Indiana has relied on Nembhard to initiate more possessions, attack off ball screens, and create scoring opportunities for Pascal Siakam and the rest of the offense. He's averaging 14.2 FGA in games without Haliburton compared to 9.7 with him, while his assist average has climbed by nearly 50%. His combination of increased shot creation and passing volume gives him multiple paths to accumulate PA βΌοΈ
I'M NUKING ANDREW NEMBHARD OVER 23.5 POINTS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
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@flexprops πππ
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β’οΈ NBA WEDNESDAY NUKEEEE 11/11 β’οΈ
Fred VanVleet Over 16.5 Points + Assists π
FRED VANVLEET HAS CLEARED THIS LINE IN 7/9 GAMES THIS SEASON (78%), INCLUDING 4/5 RECENTLY (80%)! He's averaging 18.8 PA in 30.1 minutes per game and now faces a Golden State defense allowing the 9TH-MOST ASSISTS to opposing guards at 14.6 per game. The Warriors are also WITHOUT JIMMY BUTLER, MOSES MOODY, AND GARY PAYTON II, leaving them shorthanded defensively on the perimeter. VanVleet has also cleared this line in his LAST 4 PLAYOFF MEETINGS against Golden State (100%), averaging 29.0 PA βΌοΈπ
VanVleet's last 5 games, over in 4/5 (80%):
12 PTS + 2 AST = 14 PA β
16 PTS + 4 AST = 20 PA β
18 PTS + 3 AST = 21 PA β
8 PTS + 9 AST = 17 PA β
16 PTS + 6 AST = 22 PA β
THE UNDERLYING PLAYMAKING OPPORTUNITIES ARE ENCOURAGING. VanVleet has generated 75 POTENTIAL ASSISTS through 8 tracked games, averaging 9.4 per game. He's also averaging 56.4 PASSES MADE and 10.9 DRIVES per game, with 66 passes generated directly from those drives. His ability to penetrate, draw defensive attention, and distribute to Houston's scorers gives him another avenue to accumulate PA beyond his own scoring π
THE H2H HISTORY AGAINST GOLDEN STATE IS EXTREMELY IMPRESSIVE. During Houston's 2025 playoff series against the Warriors, VanVleet cleared this line in each of their final FOUR meetings, averaging 24.3 POINTS and 4.8 ASSISTS while attempting 13.0 field goals per game:
VanVleet's last 4 playoff games vs GSW, over in 4/4 (100%):
17 PTS + 3 AST = 20 PA β
29 PTS + 8 AST = 37 PA β
26 PTS + 2 AST = 28 PA β
25 PTS + 6 AST = 31 PA β
VANVLEET'S PERIMETER VOLUME HAS BEEN CONSISTENT. He's averaging 7.6 THREE-POINT ATTEMPTS per game this season, with 8+ attempts in 5/9 games. He's knocked down 4 THREES in three of his last four appearances, including 4/9 against Minnesota and Phoenix. With Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, and Jabari Smith Jr. alongside him, Houston has multiple scoring options for VanVleet to create opportunities for.
The game script also supports a competitive matchup. Both Houston and Golden State enter at 8-3, with the Rockets favored by 5.5 POINTS and a 223.5 game total. VanVleet has played 29+ minutes in 8/9 appearances this season, providing a consistent workload against a Warriors team riding an eight-game winning streak π
I'M NUKING FRED VANVLEET OVER 16.5 POINTS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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