💙 Bills +7.5
• Josh Allen’s offense averaging 27.6 PPG over last 5 games.
• Defense healthy again—should keep it within a score.
• Getting over a TD in what projects as a one-possession game = value.
👑 Patrick Mahomes 2+ Passing TDs
• Has thrown 2+ TDs in 5 of last 6.
💥 Zach Ertz 25+ Receiving Yards
Ertz remains a steady target in Washington’s short passing game — with consistent routes and red-zone usage, he only needs a couple of catches to clear this number.
💥 Travis Kelce TD
Mahomes favorite weapon near the goal line. Kelce continues to dominate red-zone looks and has a strong track record producing vs Washington.
💥 Patrick Mahomes TD
Mahomes legs are always live-QB sneaks, scrambles, and designed runs make him a real threat
Tight end thread⬇️
🦅 Dallas Goedert vs. Giants
• Spike in red-zone targets lately ✅
• Giants have struggled to contain TEs lately
• Eagles’ offense runs through efficient scoring drives — Goedert is right in that mix
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 🎯 Over 6.5 Receptions
• Averaging 7.0 catches per game this season 📈
• 9+ targets per game and clear WR1 in Seattle’s offense
• Texans allow heavy volume to top WRs — JSN should feast underneath routes
Dalton Schultz 🏈 Anytime TD
• 2nd on Texans in red-zone targets this season 🔥
• Reliable safety blanket for Stroud — high catch rate in tight spaces
• Seahawks defense struggles vs TEs in the red zone 👀