@zakariaornot@bernhardsson If the first were true you’d expect that maybe a third of the predicted ETA would actually be longer than reality. But the actual wait virtually never goes down from predicted, and often increases by 3x +
@MunstaMasta Someone charted the ‘83 playoffs and he shot 50% on the sky hook. It was unblock-able but not that efficient. Wemby spamming 3’s at 33% is same points per possession.
@TonySoprano1973@TourSwingsTommy *can* hit it that far. You’re thinking the average distance of the ones they hit square and roughly straight. The average of their potential.
Include their low left screamer, the near-top burner, high right floater, and their average is not 250
@tenobrus@_job01 Facebook was a “can’t miss” company at IPO in 2012 but the opening price was the issue. It dropped 50% early and it was still trading below opening price at 1 yr anniversary after a very volatile year.
@MuskieAngler98@MattZirwas Eh, the most beloved cardiologists with the most loyal patients are practicing the worst medicine I’ve ever seen.
“Doc keeps saving my life with all these stress tests and coronary stents. He catches it before I even have a problem.”
@YipStrickler@scrub68@TheHannaRay Uh, this makes sense.
A 15 hcp and a 2 hcp both shoot 43 on the front before lightning delays their round. You think they have the equal odds of shooting another 43 on the back?
9 hole score posting is trying to predict “real golf,” 18 hole rounds.
@NetGamma@runliftrunlift The population would have to be “among men who run for exercise multiple times weekly” because no way a sub 20 5k is only 60th percentile among any other grouping.
@eighteenholes18@bentgrassdoctor Having a 2-footer downhill that won’t stop if you miss, rolling 6+ feet by no matter how light you tap it, is not fair.
Also creates possibility of the uphill putt stopping near hole, turning around, and rolling back away from hole. Which I hope everyone agree is unfair.
@MattZirwas@itchdoctor So much basic computing and computational power COULD be very usefully integrated into the EMR, and it was predicted that would happen starting in 2010, and almost none of it happened.
Healthcare is a tightly regulated aircraft carrier. No 100x turns happening in 10 yrs.
@Kentuckyfan86@devenmorgan Always wild to see a 99% success rate on stealing second (the kid who was out over ran the base), and somehow everyone just goes along with it. Like they’re “learning.”
Learning their noodle arm can’t throw out a guy at 2nd mostly.
@threeputtcity@john_kuhry@YipStrickler It’s def unlikely.
Shut everyone up and post some legit tourney results you’ve played.
As Hogan said (ish), golf and tournament golf are different sports.
Guy is likely a legit 0.2 casual golfer. Just not a tourney golfer.
@MitchSchwartz71 When greens are stimping 12 and faster, they def do not place pins on a 3% grade. Ball wouldn’t stop.
There is actual data (from Arccos) of regular Joes playing Augusta and Oakmont and about half do better half worse. Fast greens tend to be pure-> harder lag, easier makes.
@treydividends@hannahbggg Oft debated. Actual mathematically knowledgeable people (@LouStagner ) put it at around a +4 to +5 competition hcp (actual state golf and USGA qualifiers) to actually hang in on LPGA.
+2 who plays mostly casual rounds gets worked no matter length. LPGA ladies are golf robots.
@TeeTime_Tommy@TourSwingsTommy Here’s the actual data for scratch players up-and-down. First column labeled 00 is scratch (columns for each hcp level, rows for distance bucket)
Actual data from Arcoss on normal courses. It’s not even remotely close to 85%
@JasonHaskell
@American_Grown@drakesmith__ This is in Mark Broadie’s “Every Shot Counts.” Guy who invented strokes gained.
At about 25+ ft, pros correctly will center their miss pattern at the hole. Leads to fewest overall putts.
I’d take a pic for ya but lent my copy out.
@themiddlerage42@GreensPro Tons of man hours to make bunkers playable every time it rains. Average player might be in a bunker once per round.
Shout out to Pioneers golf course in Lincoln, NE. Wonderful muni with no bunkers and you definitely don’t miss em. Some guys aren’t aware of it until I mention.
@Dr_R_Kurzrock **on cases that have clear answers, especially if those answers are not common problems.
In my experience it recs overly broad workups and differentials for minor, undifferentiated elderly who will get better with minimal intervention.
@phlegmfighter