US Poll Watch

Nonpartisan tracking of USA polls & political-related news. Daily updates. Pollsters must have minimum grade of B/C & be nonpartisan. No generative AI used.

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#Election2026 - Midterm Coverage
(New pinned post)

Hello, all! Below is the plan for my personal coverage of the 2026 midterm elections.
🟨 Updates every 10 minutes on called House seats and a forecast of what's to come with the House.
🟨 Calls for ALL Senate seats (and updates on tossups/leans)
🟨 Calls for ALL Governor seats.

See below for more info. Only 37 days until Election Day!

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Generic Ballot 2026

🟦 Democratic Party, 53% (+9)
🟥 Republican Party, 44%

Ipsos

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - South Carolina Senate 2026

🟥 Graham, 47% (+1)
🟦 Andrews, 46%

Targoz

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - South Carolina Governor 2026

🟥 Wilson, 51% (+10)
🟦 Johnson, 41%

Targoz

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Alaska Governor Final Round 2026

🟦 Kreiss-Tomkins, 53% (+6)
🟥 Wilson, 47%

Alaska Survey

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - North Carolina Senate 2026

🟦 Cooper, 52% (+9)
🟥 Whatley, 43%

Quantus

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Michigan Senate 2026

🟦 El-Sayed, 48% (+2)
🟥 Rogers, 46%

MSU

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Michigan Governor 2026

🟦 Benson, 53% (+12)
🟥 James, 41%

MSU

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

NEWS: If Trump does not fire him first, 🟦 House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries will push for impeachment proceedings to remove SecDef Pete Hegseth if Democrats flip the house.

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Generic Ballot 2026

🟦 Democratic Party, 53% (+9)
🟥 Republican Party, 44%

Focaldata

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Generic Ballot 2026

🟦 Democratic Party - 53% (+8)
🟥 Republican Party - 45%

YouGov

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

NEWS: 🟦 Mary Peltola, the Democratic candidate for Alaska Senate, has sustained minor injuries in a car accident. She says she’s in good spirits and has rescheduled some campaign events.

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#Election2026 - House Forecast

Seat count: 🟦 236 🟥 199. My last update was on October 10; Republicans have gained 3 seats in my projection since then. That being said, the House is still heavily tilting towards Democrats. We are only 10 days away from the election!

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Oregon Governor 2026

🟦 Kotek, 46% (+2)
🟥 Drazan, 44%

DHM

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Ohio Senate 2026

🟦 Brown, 47% (+3)
🟥 Husted, 44%

InsiderAdvantage

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Michigan Senate 2026

🟦 El-Sayed, 47% (+1)
🟥 Rogers, 46%

InsiderAdvantage

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Iowa Senate 2026

🟥 Hinson, 47% (+2)
🟦 Turek, 45%

InsiderAdvantage

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Texas Governor 2026

🟥 Abbott, 51% (+3)
🟦 Hinojosa, 48%

Slingshot

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

#NewPoll - Texas Senate 2026

🟦 Talarico, 51% (+4)
🟥 Paxton, 47%

Slingshot

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

PERSONAL NOTE: SoCal Strategies has also been proven to be highly likely a “pollster” who fabricated data as well. I did not use any of these polls at any point.

That makes 3 this cycle. Please take any poll you see with a grain of salt and only trust reputable firms. Any pollster that qualifies for my model has met the required scrutiny; if a firm I have used turns out to be illegitimate, it will immediately be removed. That has not happened yet, however. It’s a shame this is even happening.

[US Poll Watch @USPollingWatch]

NEWS: Trump admin sues in Alaska to block certification of a Democratic victory, citing that an investigation would be required before certification due to “confusion around there being multiple Dan Sullivans.”