bitcoin:native update 6th June 2026
These video updates are for educational purposes only and should never be considered as investment or trading advice. Consult and expert and take responsibility for your actions.
In the last Bitcoin update I explained that on 12th May a negative energetic force had entered into the crypto market. That data told us that the final two neutral cycle components would therefore be a downtrend and that any rally attempts would fail. That has now played out. That video is attached below.
The sum of the evidence still suggests that this is a period of risk and that any upside attempts will struggle to gain traction and due to the Principal of Synchronicity velocity can still enter this market place. The ideal targets would sit external to value as explained on this video.
Long term followers will know that for many many weeks I have said be very careful into late May / early June because there is potential for a hard sell.
I track several sectors in DC and there is a syncing in all sectors, which indicates that there could be some exceptional offers available later this year. Patience is a position.
As always, thanks to those few who support the feed. It is greatly appreciated and this feed is often shadow banned so comments do help spread accurate non-biased and educational focused analysis.
$BTC
Trading below the key level of 76s 2 week comp low once again.
Both weekly and daily 12/25 ema bands exhibit sellers still continue to remain in control.
When both are shaped this way, its generally the direction I want to flow with not against - until theres a meaningful push away from the bands into a key level, often confluent with a decent enough liquidation event.
Some signs of aggressive buying on perps around these lows - but spot selling flow appears to be the dominant factor.
73.7s - previous month vwap
71s - previous months value area low
Overall - I continue to remain short from 81.5s
What gives...
Over the last 12 months, one of the biggest areas I’ve been working on in my own trading is understanding the relationship between execution quality and data collection.
It is easy to think you are reviewing one setup across 100 trades, but when I started looking deeper, I realised how quickly that sample can become contaminated.
Some trades may have used structure-based stops. Others may have used wider discretionary stops. Some may have been cut early. Some may have been held too long. Some may have followed the plan perfectly, while others were influenced by emotion, hesitation, or live-market pressure.
At that point, I am no longer reviewing one clean strategy sample.
I am reviewing a mixture of strategy, execution, emotion, market conditions, and inconsistent risk decisions.
That has been a major realisation for me.
Profit and loss only tells me what happened. It does not always explain why it happened.
This is why I’ve become much more focused on categorising my trades properly. Not just by whether they were winners or losers, but by the type of setup, the market environment, the stop model, the target model, the quality of execution, the position size, and whether I actually followed the plan.
The cleaner the data, the better the questions become.
Did a certain stop model perform better in trend conditions? Did mean-reversion trades work better inside balanced sessions? Was the trade idea weak, or was the execution poor? Did I lose because the setup failed, or because I failed to capture the planned R?
These are the questions I’ve been thinking about a lot over the past year.
The more I go through this process, the more I realise that trading improvement does not come from simply reviewing outcomes. It comes from building clean feedback loops, removing execution drift, and understanding exactly what part of the process needs work... food for thought
$BTC 1D
Price going up on a weekend has generally led to a Monday Morning drop.
Plus we have bear divs RSI, MACD, & at diagonal resistance.
All still with macro bearish price action.
Again - tough for me to be bullish on this when every sign here says exhaustion.
On this Kentucky Derby day, here’s your reminder that Secretariat was faster than any horse who has ever lived. The year is 1973 and this is his track record run. Untouched for 53 years. The GOAT.
$BTC
Price traded into and held the key 75.7 area highlighted yesterday, producing a reasonable reaction / absorption of sellers.
One scenario that remains in play is a rotation back higher to trade the recent highs into 80-81.
Scenarios I'll trade:
If price accepts above that area, continuation becomes possible. If not, a failure above those highs could set up another sell opportunity - thats how I'll be looking to play it - key is watching the flows for me.
Reminds me of the PA around Aug 2022
Key htf levels Im watching / trading
Support 75.7 - HVN node and 2 weekly vah
Resistance - Singles between 80-81k