KOSTIANTYNIVKA: Despite Russian claims to control the city, Russian milbloggers acknowledge that Ukrainian forces still operate in the city. The UKR General Staff maintains the city remains under Ukrainian control, with Russian presence limited to scattered infiltrators (estimates: ~100–250 Russians within the urban area).
Ukraine will never be defeated!🇺🇦
Another day passed; overnight, another 300 drones headed toward Russia with the aim of weakening its energy resources and infrastructure.
Economic pressure is forcing the Russians to slow down their aggressive offensive operations.
(Map. Prof. Bonk)
Russia military bloggers noticed that Irkutsk is the only major oil refinery Ukraine hasn’t struck yet.
Do you think Ukraine could put it out of action? 🤔
Yes or No?
📍Geography of Russian Oil Refineries vs. Ukrainian UAV Strikes
🔵 – Oil refineries that have been attacked;
🟠 – Oil refineries that have not been targeted.
Some statistics:
🟢 32 out of 44 oil refineries have been attacked (73%);
🟢 A total of 167 successful strikes on Russian oil refineries have been recorded since 2022.
🟢 Most frequently targeted refineries:
Saratov Oil Refinery — 15 attacks;
Ryazan Oil Refinery — 13 attacks;
Volgograd Oil Refinery — 13 attacks.
NEW: Ukraine’s intermediate-range strike campaign against a multitude of diverse targets, including Russian air defenses, petroleum product transport, other logistics, and electrical substations, is collapsing logistics in occupied Crimea.
Other Key Takeaways:
Ukraine’s successful intermediate- and long-range strike campaigns have forced a reckoning within the Russian ultranationalist information space, causing commentators to blame the Russian federal government for failing to create a cohesive air defense system that can adequately protect private businesses and critical infrastructure from Ukrainian long-range strikes.
The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) reportedly arrested the commander of the Russian 114th Motorized Rifle Brigade (51st Combined Arms Army [CAA], formerly 1st Donetsk People’s Republic Army Corps [DNR AC], Southern Military District [SMD]) on corruption charges.
Ukrainian forces conducted long-range strikes against Russian military assets and energy infrastructure in Russia.
Ukrainian forces recently advanced or maintained positions in Kostyantynivka.
‼️‼️🔥🇺🇦🇷🇺 BIG | Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces just wiped out another nine Russian fuel tankers in the Sea of Azov, bringing the total to a staggering 21 vessels neutralized in just 72 hours.
🔻This isn't just a series of strikes; it’s a systematic, industrial-scale strangulation of Russia's logistics. By targeting the fuel artery feeding occupied Crimea—simultaneous with a massive blackout campaign across the peninsula—Kyiv is effectively putting the region on life support.
📍Moscow’s inability to protect its own "shadow fleet" in its own backyard is a humiliation that speaks volumes about the state of their rear-guard defenses. While the Kremlin tries to play down the damage, the reality is that the logistical backbone of their southern occupation is snapping. If Russia can’t secure these tankers, they can’t fuel their war machine in the south. We’re witnessing a masterclass in asymmetric warfare: why fight on the front lines when you can simply turn the enemy’s supply chain into a burning liability?
‼️‼️🇺🇦🇷🇺 BIG | Russia’s energy heart has stopped: Omsk is offline.
The Omsk refinery—the largest in Russia—is paralyzed. Following Ukrainian drone strikes that crippled its primary refining units (CDU-10 and CDU-11), operations have ceased completely, and market sales are suspended. This facility was the primary artery for fuel distribution across the country.
This isn’t just a localized outage; it’s a strategic blow causing a critical fuel supply crunch across Russia. When a facility 2,500 kilometers from the border is left wide open, it raises a glaring question: Is there any Russian strategic infrastructure actually safe, or is total fuel collapse now inevitable?
Do you think Russia can actually recover from this, or are we witnessing the start of an energy-fueled breakdown?
LYMAN-SLOVIANSK: UKR strikes on Ru ground lines of communication (GLOCs) & logistics nodes exacerbate fuel and supply strains for Russian units in the Lyman direction. Overall, Russian momentum in this AO appears constrained compared to earlier phases of the 2026 campaign.
The Battle for Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine.
05 JUL 2025 - 05 JUL 2026
Over 2100 @GeoConfirmed datapoints mapped.
(every point = footage)
Russian army advanced roughly 15km in a year with a huge amount of losses based on all this footage.
https://t.co/Ys1gTKUuWH
Between August 2024 and February 2026, there was a large increase in reported Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle (UAV) sightings over a dozen European states.
Using a combination of data from ACLED and news reporting, IISS experts have compiled a dataset of 144 such incidents. From this dataset, a pattern emerged: approximately 48% of sightings occurred over military facilities, 18% over civilian airports, and 26% over critical infrastructure including ports, energy installations and industrial sites.
✏️ Charlie Edwards, Rex Fox O'Loughlin & Louis Bearn
For more insights, read the full report: https://t.co/d49nwglG6j
‼️‼️🇺🇦🇷🇺 BIG | Ukraine’s drone fleet just struck the absolute heart of Russia’s energy sector, knocking out one of the Kremlin's largest and most critical oil refineries in a massive overnight raid.
A swarm of 14 Ukrainian FP-1 type kamikaze drones successfully bypassed regional air defenses to devastate the strategic Omsk oil refinery deep inside Russian territory. The highly coordinated strike scored direct, catastrophic hits on both primary crude distillation units, the AVT-10 and AVT-11, immediately knocking them out of operation. As a facility that processes 20 to 22 million tons of crude annually and single-handedly accounts for a staggering 10% of Russia's total refining capacity, the structural damage has effectively crippled the plant's production capabilities for the foreseeable future.
This is a massive tactical victory that hits Putin exactly where it hurts—his war chest and his military's fuel supply. By taking out 10% of Russia's refining capacity in a single blow, Ukraine is proving that no economic asset is safe, systematically choking off the Kremlin's domestic fuel reserves and exposing the absolute helplessness of Russian air defenses.
See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo
POKROVSK: UKR conducted a precision strike on a Russian “Rubicon” Center, detsroying a high-rise building/base in Pokrovsk city. Up to two UAV crew operation points, one communications node, and ammunition caches disrupted.
“There's no place to hide in Crimea,” said Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges, a retired commanding general of U.S. Army Europe. “The Ukrainians have the ability to touch every single place where there’s an air defense weapon or a logistics hub or an airfield or headquarters.”
In Strike After Strike, Ukraine Is Bringing the War to Crimea https://t.co/dti7sZTlhF
Russian 🇷🇺 VS Ukrainian 🇺🇦 mid/long range strikes since the start of the year mapped :
-> Count Shahed/Geran strikes (overwhelmingly)
-> Does not count missiles/short range strikes with FPV/Molniyah (fewer strikes)
-> Count Ukraine mid-range strikes
-> Does not count all long-range Ukrainian strikes
Ukrainian strikes are based on Geoconfirmed impacts only, Russian strikes are based on claims/media/telegram informations mainly. Russian chanels are not very helpful to know what was hit, but Ukrainian chanels say a lot.
-> Current Ukrainian 🇺🇦 priority : trucks, energies (mainly electricity and oil) and warehouses
-> Current Russian 🇷🇺 priority : warehouses, gas stations, electric substations.
Own work in collaboration with @ShahedTracker for Russian strikes.
Russia's overnight situation indicates a large-scale Ukrainian attack, with multiple regions reportedly affected!
🇺🇦- Zelensky: "These are entirely justified responses to what the Russians are doing. We will increase the range and frequency of our strikes."
Solution for Russians?
Leave Ukraine!🇺🇦
(Map: prof.Bonk)
KONSTIANTYNIVKA: Geolocated footage (2 July) shows UKR forces engaging a Ru infiltration position/group. Multiple pedestrian job losses, at least one vehicle externally malfunctioned, and Russian forces assessed to have submitted 20–40 1st time unemployment claims in the contact.
According to recent satellite images, the Ukrainian 🇺🇦counter-attack in the Komar direction continues
Based on airstrike analysis, Russian forces were pushed back in the whole northern part, close to the Vovocha river. They still hold the forest near Filia (which is between Ivanivka and Novopavlivka) but lost nearly all their infiltrators in both towns which are under Ukrainian control.
With the importance of artillery and airstrikes (~30 in the area), we can confirm Russia lost control over the situation and the main forces remains behind the Mokri Yali river. Southwards, the Ukrainians entered Piddubne and there are some rumours about Myrne, that I was unable to confirm. For now, Komar is 100% Russian controled.
Interestingly, there are massive airstrikes targeting north and west of the Vovocha river, with Russia attempting to target Ukrainian drone teams, artillery positions and roads used by Ukrainian infantry to reach the area.
On the other hand, Russian infiltrations and so called "flag operations" continue in the area (videos in Iskra), to give an illusion of control to the command. We will probably get a more precise picture in the coming weeks, with more videos from the area, so I kept for now a large grey zone, but consider areas with red points as high Ukrainian infiltrators presence.