Undead

Games and Trades
Follow for reviews, Threads on trading and Videos on games.

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@0xSurferX Awesome Guide. One of the most comprehensive.

Should be the basic to follow to build bots.

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@polybacktest Down wins because of market condition.

I don't think this will hold true over a period of a couple of years

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@0x_Punisher I hope they fix this. Causes a lot of unnecessary loss.

And today already has been terrible.

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@0x_Punisher Same story. Bot has gone nuts

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@AnthropicAI has such stupid system on billing.

1) Once you hit your weekly limit in pro . You cant upgrade to max and continue. Wait 3-4 days for it to reset even after you upgrade to max.

2) If you wanna go back to pro . Theyll still keep you in max plan for the month without adjusting it to pro plan.

Very predatory. Be careful with how you use Anthropic.

Bad service.

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@rb_tweets @elonmusk Decimated :)

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@GoogleLabs When will it keep the logo untouched and text perfect.

Right now many images are unusable.

Even banana 2 has issue with text.

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@0Lucky51 Albert Wesker is the best.

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@0Lucky51 Looks interesting

[Undead @Undeadrises]

@grok Questions were related to News and some queries regarding the banks card. All answered with accuracy.

[Undead @Undeadrises]

4.20 @grok is so smart and fast and gives better answers.

I think it's a vast improvement over 4.1 .

Also shines in the latest news with accuracy.

[Undead @Undeadrises]

The AI vs. Insider

Is AI "cheating" at prediction markets?

A developer just cleared $75,000 in a single day on @Polymarket using an AI bot to sniff out betting patterns before news broke.

it raises a massive question: Is this just efficient research, or is AI making these markets impossible for humans to play?

Smart Money and Machine Frontrunning is getting very thin.

[Gipp 🦅 @gippp69]

https://t.co/oGnBf4VodQ

[Undead @Undeadrises]

Yes I agree this is 20% free money at the end of the month.

Just park and wait.

[AshenSoul @0xashensoul]

17% odds on claude 5? market is hallucinating.

claude opus 4.6 just shipped this week

yet the order book is still bidding 17c for a full version jump by Feb 28

think about the shipping latency

gap between 4.5 and 4.6 was months

now you expect a full version jump in 3 weeks? lol

opus 4.6 already benchmarks higher than Gemini

if they had 5 ready, they wouldn't waste the cycle on a point release

that's just burning marketing efficiency

retail is buying the hopium

i'm sweeping the liquidity on "No"

locking a clean 15% arb on reality

NFA DYOR

market: https://t.co/oPdsPJn2z0

[Undead @Undeadrises]

Excellent article on how to trade in polymarket.

Thesis is solid.

[Vraj Desai @vrajdesai78]

https://t.co/VPDROcqX2F

[Undead @Undeadrises]

This has resolved to 99c. If anyone had entered. Can safely exit at 12% profit.

Polymarket is about percentages and probability.

[Undead @Undeadrises]

Free 11-12% parked for the month :

Nvidia + apple + Alphabet= 89 .

89c to a $ guaranteed end of month.

Link below

[Undead @Undeadrises]

While the story is kinda true but it's dramatic and imagination was used liberally.

The said person entered long before. Probably a day before.

He couldn't exit cause he was praying that he'll recover. He went negative from the time he bought in.

[Gipp 🦅 @gippp69]

Lost 500k$ dollars in 3 minutes.

Because of a single human weakness of greed

>Trader Gamble8 on Polymarket put $500,000 on NO in the market "Musk will write 90-114 tweets from February 2 to 4, 2026"

-The counter showed 87

-There were minutes left before the close

The profit was already glowing in six figures, and it was safe to take ~$400k+ clean.

But greed whispered, "What if he's done? What if it goes quiet?"
He didn't come out

And then Elon turned on spam mode.

Result:
The position burned down
Minus $494,896
There is $300 left in the account

Profile: https://t.co/dntVZN36zP

The moral in 2026 is simple:

When the market gives you a fat profit, take it and run

Elon never forgives greedy people

[Undead @Undeadrises]

https://t.co/OaDryuDIgD

[Undead @Undeadrises]

Free 11-12% parked for the month :

Nvidia + apple + Alphabet= 89 .

89c to a $ guaranteed end of month.

Link below

[Undead @Undeadrises]

Very interesting read.

Read the rules.

Basic we always forget

[Vitalinho @vitaliinho]

How I lost $11,000 arbitraging prediction markets

It was a normal day.
I was scanning spreads, hunting small inefficiencies — nothing fancy.

Then one market caught my eye:

“Who will Trump talk to in January?”

Kalshi - Polymarket.
Spread: 5–7%. Free money, right?

On Kalshi, someone placed a massive sell wall at 90c.
Next liquidity was at 99c.

My first thought:

“Someone forgot to cancel their order.”

I went aggressive.

> YES on Kalshi at 90c
> NO on Polymarket at 5c

Perfect arb. Locked in.
Total size: $11,000.

But then something felt off.

Instead of tightening, the spread kept widening.
No one rushed to close it.
No smart money stepping in.

That’s when the alarm bells rang.

I re-read the rules.

And that’s where everything broke.

On Polymarket, confirmation requires:

> consensus of credible reporting.

On Kalshi, the rules were different:

> Only US media outlets count.

I started digging.

Turns out:

The conversation was confirmed only by French media. Zero confirmation from US side.

Result?

Same market.
Different outcome.

Kalshi settled it as NO
Polymarket settled it as YES

Arb wasn’t arb.

I lost $11,000.

That’s a big hit for me.
And it happened because I sized up, thinking the risk was near zero.

Arbitrage is a PvP race.
This time, rushing to catch the spread cost me five figures

Lesson learned the hard way:

Read the rules. Every word. ALWAYS

Hope this saves someone else money.