Unfiltered Bull

Data-driven insights on money, markets & nations.

Making sense of the world through numbers.

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

Most retail investors track stock prices.

Smart investors track smart money signals.

Here are 15 signals FIIs leave before big stock moves 👇

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

3️⃣ Global Risk-Off Mood
US markets also corrected as investors reacted to rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions.

When global risk rises:

• FIIs reduce exposure to emerging markets
• Liquidity tightens
• Volatility increases.

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

🚨 3 BIG things moving the Indian stock market today

1️⃣ Crude Oil Rising
2️⃣ FII Selling Intensifying
3️⃣ Global Markets Under Pressure

Let’s decode what’s actually happen

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

2️⃣ FIIs Are Dumping Indian Stocks

Foreign investors have sold roughly ₹11,000–12,000 Cr in just two trading session this week. But here’s the interesting part:

Domestic institutions are absorbing the selling.

DII buying is preventing a sharper market fall.

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

If Nifty IT index doesn't close above 30500 this week, will this stop directly at 26000 which seems to be a hard support?

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

@REDBOXINDIA https://t.co/0I5LC5LFjt

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

Most retail investors track stock prices.

Smart investors track smart money signals.

Here are 15 signals FIIs leave before big stock moves 👇

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

@KobeissiLetter Time to accumulate good stocks? Use these filters!

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

Most retail investors track stock prices.

Smart investors track smart money signals.

Here are 15 signals FIIs leave before big stock moves 👇

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

1. Block deals by global funds
If large funds buy in block deals, they usually have a multi-year view.

2. FII stake increases for 2–3 quarters consecutively
This often signals accumulation phase.

3. Promoter stake rising along with FII stake
One of the strongest bullish signals.

4. Mutual funds buying when FIIs sell
Domestic funds often buy value during global risk-off phases.

5. Sovereign wealth funds entering midcaps
These funds rarely invest for short-term trades.

6. Rising institutional ownership while price consolidates
Classic smart money accumulation zone.

7. Management increasing guidance while institutions accumulate

8. High delivery volume during sideways markets

9. Institutional buying after sharp corrections

10. Sector-wide accumulation
Often indicates a macro theme emerging.

11. Rising promoter pledges getting removed

12. FII ownership rising in cyclicals

13. Institutional buying before capex cycles

14. Increasing analyst coverage on previously ignored companies

15. Large funds entering through QIPs

Markets move months after smart money positions itself.

Retail usually notices only when the rally is already underway.

Follow the money, not the noise.

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

Most retail investors track stock prices.

Smart investors track smart money signals.

Here are 15 signals FIIs leave before big stock moves 👇

[Bloomberg @business]

India’s rupee weakened to a record low and bonds fell on concern that rising crude prices, amid the escalating conflict in the Middle East, could stoke inflation and widen the nation’s trade deficit https://t.co/91otzpv34v

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

Industrials / Manufacturing

5️⃣ Aether Industries
6️⃣ Asahi India Glass
7️⃣ HBL Engineering

Theme: India manufacturing + capex cycle

⸻

Energy / Infrastructure

8️⃣ Adani Ports

Global funds increased exposure after correction.

⸻

Technology / Exporters

9️⃣ Infosys

Preferred by foreign funds due to global revenue exposure.

⸻

Specialty / Midcap Opportunity

🔟 Gland Pharma

Accumulation by large sovereign wealth funds.

⸻

💡 Important observation

FIIs usually accumulate early in capex cycles.

That’s why you see buying in:
•industrials
•engineering companies
•manufacturing suppliers

This often signals multi-year themes, not short-term trades

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

10 Stocks Where FIIs Quietly Increased Stakes (Recent Filings)

These came from shareholding pattern changes and institutional disclosures.

Banking / Financials

1️⃣ Bank of Maharashtra
2️⃣ Bank of India
3️⃣ Federal Bank
4️⃣ ICICI Bank

Reason: improving credit cycle + strong earnings.

Read More

⸻

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

Strait of Hormuz tensions are disrupting oil flows

Asia imports most of its crude through this route

Countries with low days cover are most vulnerable

India is particularly exposed:

• ~55% of crude imports come from the Middle East
• Inventory coverage is far lower than China/Japan levels

Translation for markets:

Energy shocks don’t hit everyone equally.

Countries with large reserves can smooth price spikes.
Countries with low reserves face inflation shocks faster.

If Middle East supply disruptions escalate:

Oil ↑
Inflation ↑
Fiscal stress ↑ for import-heavy economies.

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

Crude Oil 🛢️ stocks left by country (Days of consumption)

This chart tells you who can survive an oil shock… and who can’t.

Japan 🇯🇵 → ~254 days
South Korea 🇰🇷 → ~208 days
China 🇨🇳 → ~140 days
US 🇺🇸 → ~200 days of net imports cover
India 🇮🇳 → ~20–25 days (≈74 days incl. strategic + commercial)
Australia 🇦🇺 → ~36 days

Why this matters right now:

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

@KobeissiLetter But NatGas future is down by 4%

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

@KobeissiLetter May be another 5% fall will happen !

https://t.co/lSDCiN4rnr

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

Dubai stock Market - Does it has more downside left? 5900-6000 levels should have some support.. 38% retracement and 50 week moving average support!

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

If the war gets stretched!

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

JUST IN: Goldman Sachs says oil could rise to $100/barrel

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

Hidden truth about Indian markets right now 👇

Nifty is barely ~7–8% below its highs.

But underneath, the real market has already been in a bear phase.

~80% of listed stocks are down from their peaks

Nearly 2/3 of stocks have corrected 30%+

Over 75% have fallen 20%+

This is a stealth bear market most people don’t notice because indices are held up by a handful of large caps.

At the same time, something historic is happening:

India’s mutual fund SIP inflows are now ~₹30,000+ crore every month

Annual SIP contribution has crossed ₹3 lakh crore

Total mutual fund AUM is now ₹80+ lakh crore

Translation:

Foreign investors sell →
Domestic investors absorb.

For the first time in history, Indian markets are being structurally supported by domestic liquidity.

Which means the market regime is changing:

1. Index may stay resilient
2. But stock-level volatility will be brutal
3. Capital will concentrate into fewer quality companies

The index may look calm.

But underneath, the battlefield is ruthless.

Welcome to the new structure of Indian markets.

[Unfiltered Bull @UnfilteredBull]

India gets ~85% of its crude via imports and nearly half of that flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

If the strait is disrupted by war:

• Oil prices could spike globally
• Shipping & insurance costs would rise
• India’s import bill & inflation could increase

Amid these tensions, Russia says it’s ready to help India with energy supplies if disruptions worsen- (Bloomberg/Reuters).

Energy security is crucial.