@SoapsandSciFi@PollTracker2024 In this district anyway. Not drawing out a proper nashville blue pack for the 2030s would be a tad bit suicidal for the republicans, especially if they want to keep memphis split.
@KenjiHun Being trained under socialism is probably much of the problem. He expected to be teaching the october revolution and the great patriotic war and how the great depression is the beginning of the end for capitalism in great detail.
@Natesaidsumn@demsocsean@Arbitrarymagi Am I completely off-base regarding presidential polling? Or is AOC's base concentrated among black voters? Like there are currently 800 candidates, none solidly above 20%. Am I completely misreading it?
@Natesaidsumn@demsocsean@Arbitrarymagi AOC is not polling above 31% among democrats in general, much less Black democrats. I don't think she would win that much in NYC if the presidential primary was held tomorrow.
@demsocsean And they are especially not voters who would support DSA third party runs or anything like that. That said, a third of the black vote being this obviously open to a more leftist candidate may prove crucial to break the coalition that won Hillary and Biden their primaries.
@demsocsean I think that the foundational brick of the democratic base is getting more comfortable with the label and ideological grouping is good, but yes, these are not voters a DSA candidate can just walk towards and win.
@Natesaidsumn@demsocsean@Arbitrarymagi Yes, but that it's a far larger minority than AOC is polling at among black voters or even Bernie's past results there.
@KenjiHun@clewritess To be fair I lost the "MP is a cringe compilation" war when on 2024 march 15 he started qouting well-known poems with such a wooden affect that would earn you a merciful 2 in 5th grade and he was not laughed out of the room
@clewritess@KenjiHun (I wrote alleged charisma because from the standpoint of results, Peter Hungary is objectively charismatic, but gaaaaaaawwwwwwd I find them annoying)
@clewritess@KenjiHun Oh, it's absolutely a rainbow coalition ideologically, and they will have to find El Dorado to fulfill any of their economic promises, but the opposition to NER and MP's alleged charisma has kept them together far better than I expected them to.
@clewritess@KenjiHun And while I can for example guess that there simply won't be enough money to keep everyone satisfied, the government's decisions will decide where the voters are lost, and I expect that the parties for them will arise from Tisza splits or nonpartisan randos going national.
@FortIS_55 The methodical battle doctrine that would be outplayed something ugly by the Germans in 1940 was probably the bleeding edge of the possible in military theory in 1918. The krauts wouldn't know what hit them.
@FortIS_55 Honestly I think the tactical/operational advancements of those 4 years would really show. In 1914 the Germans had to reinvent indirect fire by trial-and-error; even a year later, every general not called Luigi Cardona could organize a rolling barrage in their sleep.
@clewritess@KenjiHun As for parties, I don't think there really is a way back for the former opposition, so I suspect something that would in some way form as a result of Tisza's contradictions, but because we won't know which side of those MP is on it's difficult to specify the content.
@clewritess@KenjiHun That's currently the whole list of parties, it just should be noted that MP 3 years ago today was the unknown recently ex-husband of a notable minister mired in controversy. 3 years is an eternity in politics.
@A_Colker@KalshiPolitics A few minutes after this somebody dug up a rural Indiana county and that swung 40 to dems. The night was not going to disappoint.