Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋

🌍 🇬🇧🇿🇲🇬🇬🇨🇦🇳🇬 Generalist, complexity, Cynefin, OODA, crisis management, risk & resilience, SRMC/ISRM, BushWars, polyticks. RT≠

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@jameswpen @richarddigard Nope that has been shown to be a folly in most cases

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@jameswpen @richarddigard The system is a command and control system

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@digigreenhouse https://t.co/IOLvhzWV8b

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@digigreenhouse Innovation is an emergent property be very surprised at how you can create the conditions to innovate

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@Osint613 Wondering if the daily smugglers from Iran are still cross the straights to Mussandam peninsula/ Khasab where they had sanctuary during the day and had to dodge IRGC again getting back to Iran with all their white goods etc from UAE.

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

Botnet of 17 Million Devices Dismantled in the Netherlands - https://t.co/96SI1uixzk

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@oldfarmhorace @alasdair_milroy @advocategreen1 @GuyPlummer34449 @richarddigard @ShaneLanglois @drandy_sloan @GuernseyPress @thetimes https://t.co/Ub3IrUVwGV

https://t.co/ZsAgMvVA8I

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@alasdair_milroy How about “perdurability”

https://t.co/f4hujVEu2O

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@alasdair_milroy Anti Fragile have you been reading Nassim Taleb 😉

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@alasdair_milroy Think you are talking about Commissioning of services from 3rd sector .
@antlerboy has some experience/ in this area.

[Jack @jackcoder0]

Two economists just published a mathematical proof that AI will destroy the economy.

Not might. Not could. Will — if nothing changes.

The paper is called "The AI Layoff Trap." Published March 2, 2026. Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Boston University. Peer reviewed. Mathematically modeled.
The conclusion is one sentence.
"At the limit, firms automate their way to boundless productivity and zero demand."

An economy that produces everything. And sells it to nobody.
Here is how you get there.
A company fires 500 workers and replaces them with AI. A competitor fires 700 to keep up. Another fires 1,000. Every company is behaving rationally. Every company is following the incentives correctly. And every company is building a trap for itself.

Because the workers who were fired were also customers.
When they lose their jobs faster than the economy can absorb them, they stop spending. Consumer demand falls. Companies respond by cutting costs — which means automating more workers — which means less spending — which means more falling demand — which means more automation.

The loop has no natural exit.
The researchers tested every proposed solution. Universal basic income. Capital income taxes. Worker equity participation. Upskilling programs. Corporate coordination agreements.
Every single one failed in the model.
The only intervention that worked: a Pigouvian automation tax — a per-task levy charged every time a company replaces a human with AI, forcing them to price in the demand they are destroying before they pull the trigger.

No government has implemented this. No major economy is seriously discussing it.
Meanwhile the numbers are already tracking the curve. 100,000 tech workers laid off in 2025. 92,000 more in the first months of 2026. Jack Dorsey fired half of Block's workforce and said publicly: "Within the next year, the majority of companies will reach the same conclusion."
Nobody is doing anything wrong. Companies are following their incentives perfectly. That is exactly the problem.

Rational behavior. At scale. Simultaneously. With no mechanism to stop it.
Two economists built the math. The math leads to one place.

Source: Falk & Tsoukalas · Wharton School + Boston University ·

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@Selyst @Sandbagger_01 @BUCSIS2 @RBlackPA @haynesdeborah @larisamlbrown @JimGamble_INEQE @UKRinIRL @siralexyounger @FrankRGardner @gordoncorera @KeirGiles @MarkGaleotti @BfV_Bund @TomTuite1 @emin_bred Those MICE can be real RASCALS

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@YvonneBurford @richarddigard is P&R going to look at Failure Demand issues in HSC then ?

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@NigelStaples @richarddigard @drandy_sloan @GuernseyPress @Govgg If SoG starts playing designer then they take on that risk , building contract management 101 🙈

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@NigelStaples @richarddigard @drandy_sloan @GuernseyPress @Govgg Which I would have thought should be down to the contractor or designer costs not SoG , if SoG are paying it would seem appalling contract management IMO.

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@GuernseyPress @LucyGoBag

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

#CHOG and why are we pursuing Net 0 here , make it make sense

[Net Zero Watch @NetZeroWatch]

🚨Tony Blair tells Labour to ditch Miliband's Net Zero targets.

“Are you advising Keir Starmer to rip up Ed Miliband's green energy targets?” he's asked on @TimesRadio.

“Yes, I am.”

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

#CHOG after reading a very stupid idea being presented on the front of the GP today what guarentees do we have that SoG wont be selling our data as a money earner? was this the the real reason behind the EPR project? & looking at the health contexts of an Island community ?

[Dr Steve Taylor @DrSteveTaylor]

PALANTIR? Very bad for our health and data, and yet …. this is on you Wes

[Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 @ViaerFou]

@IndLiving Maybe it has Failure Demand written all over it @JohnWSeddon