Daytime: Senior Manager at a Mag7
Nightime: Chief Investment Wizard @ WallStreetholics
Opinions are my own, not associated with my employer
#notinvestmentadvice
$RKLB ripped +34% in a single session on Q1.
Now look at the consensus:
17 analysts. 12 Buys, 5 Holds, 0 Sells. Average price target: $87.56 to $105.47.
Wall Street is bullish. Wall Street is also $18 underwater on its own targets.
Either the Street is slow or the crowd just bought a near-perfect outcome at a 62× sales multiple.
Full DCF, peer comps, scenarios, and the options trade plan in the report 👇
https://t.co/pKgv11aShk
To make it accessible to as many as possible, its priced at only $1.50 to cover my costs.
Bernstein says $IREN is worth $26.
Roth says $94.
Bull case says $125.
Wall Street disagrees by 5x on the same stock.
I spent hours figuring out who's right.
DCF, comps, scenarios, options strategy and complete trade plan
To make it accessible to as many as possible, its priced at only $1.50 to cover my costs.
https://t.co/JAfB1z02n7
🚨 UK 10Y Yields Hit 5.10% — Highest Since 2008 Financial Crisis 🇬🇧
UK government bond yields have surged to 5.10%, marking a multi-decade high as markets price in persistent inflation and higher-for-longer rates. With yields up ~58 bps over the past year, this is tightening financial conditions fast and putting pressure on equities, housing, and borrowing costs.
#UKEconomy #BondYields #Gilts #InterestRates #Inflation #Macro #FixedIncome #Markets #FinancialConditions
$SOFI at $16.26 is the best large-cap fintech CSP setup available in April 2026.
The Muddy Waters short attack has done the rare thing: elevated IV on a fundamentally excellent business, creating premium collection yields that are disproportionately high relative to the actual business risk.
Trade Plan: Sell the May $13 put, collect 37-52% annualised yield, wait for April 29 earnings to clear the cloud, then plan the LEAP entry at lower IV. This is multi-trade sequencing at its finest.
💳 $AXP Has A Hidden Setup — But One Policy Risk Controls Everything
My Trade Plan below ⬇️
Like 👍 • Share 🔁 • Follow 🔔
AXP is a rare case where DCF screams undervalued while the market stays cautious. Massive free cash flow, low capex, and consistent fee growth drive high intrinsic values, but cyclicality and regulation keep multiples grounded.
What matters:
• $72B revenue with only ~$2–3B capex = elite capital efficiency
• DCF shows $330–$370 base, far above current pricing
• Market holds at ~19–20x P/E due to credit cycle risk
• 10% rate cap proposal = biggest downside trigger
• If it fails, bull case dominates
🎯 Catalyst:
• Apr 23 earnings
• Strong affluent spending trend could drive a beat
💡 Trade angle:
• CSP at $270 sits in “too cheap” zone
• Berkshire’s 22% stake acts as a sentiment floor
Bottom line:
This is not about fundamentals — it’s about policy risk vs execution strength. Remove the policy overhang, and AXP rerates fast.
#AXP #AmericanExpress #Financials #CreditCards #DCF #Investing #OptionsTrading #Earnings #ValueInvesting #StockMarket