WampumCap

Stock picker and analyst

[🇺🇸 🦅Simple Man 🦅🇺🇸 @Soaringeagle45]

I mowed the lawn today and after doing so I sat down and had a cold beer.

The day was really quite beautiful, and the drink facilitated some deep thinking.
My wife walked by and asked me what I was doing, and I said, "nothing". The reason I said "nothing" instead of saying "just thinking" is because she then would have asked, "About what?" At that point I would have had to explain that men are deep thinkers about various topics, which would lead to other questions.

Finally I pondered an age old question: Is giving birth more painful than getting kicked in the nuts? Women always maintain that giving birth is way more painful than a guy getting kicked in the nuts, but how could they know?

Well, after another beer, and some more heavy deductive thinking, I have come up with an answer to that question. Getting kicked in the nuts is more painful than having a baby, and even though I obviously couldn't really know, here is the reason for my conclusion. A year or so after giving birth, a woman will often say, "It might be nice to have another child."

On the other hand, you never hear a guy say, "You know, I think I would like another kick in the nuts."

I rest my case. Time for another beer, and then maybe a nap.

[Eli Harman @MartianHoplite]

Boomers inherited a straight, white, America and left me one that was brown and gay. But apparently I'm the asshole for noticing that literally everything is worse...

[Murray Rothbard @MurraySuggests]

The Iranian navy, which has been destroyed eight times, has apparently closed the Strait of Hormuz again, because the United States, for the seventh time, won the war that wasn’t a war, so now the United States has to open the Strait of Hormuz that was already open before the not-war began.

The not-war began because Iran had uranium that was totally, completely, beautifully obliterated, so they can’t build the nuclear bomb they weren’t building, which is why the United States had to start the not-war it definitely didn’t start.

Now the United States, which has nuclear weapons, is threatening to use nuclear weapons to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons, because nuclear weapons are far too dangerous for countries with nuclear weapons to allow other countries to have.

If the United States saw the United States doing what the United States does in other countries, the United States would invade the United States to liberate the United States from the tyranny of the United States.

[Peter Girnus 🦅 @gothburz]

I have two stacks on my desk. The left stack is financial disclosure forms from members of Congress. The right stack is waivers for members who filed their financial disclosures late.

The right stack is always taller.

On Wednesday morning, I watched a soldier get arrested on CNN.

I am a Disclosure Analyst for the House Ethics Committee. I have held this position for eleven years. My job is to receive the forms, verify their completeness, and file them. I do not investigate. I do not flag. I do not refer. I file. I have a lanyard. The lanyard says ETHICS.

The soldier's name is Gannon Ken Van Dyke. He is thirty-eight years old. He was stationed at Fort Bragg. He was Special Forces. In December, he created an account on a prediction market called Polymarket. On January 2nd, he bet $32,500 that the president of Venezuela would be removed from power. On January 3rd, he helped remove the president of Venezuela from power. He collected $409,881.

He has been charged with five federal crimes. Commodities fraud. Wire fraud. Unlawful use of confidential government information. Theft of nonpublic government information. Unlawful monetary transaction. The Department of Justice called it "the first-ever insider trading prosecution on event contracts."

I watched this on the television in our break room. Then I walked back to my desk and processed a late financial disclosure from a member of the House Financial Services Committee who purchased $250,000 in bank stocks eleven days before his subcommittee held a closed-door hearing on proposed capital reserve changes.

The filing was forty-seven days late. The STOCK Act requires disclosure within forty-five days. The penalty for late filing is $200.

I waived it.

I waive most of them. In 2021, fifty-four members of Congress and senior staff violated the reporting rules. The fines were minimal. Most were waived. I have a form for the waiver. The form has a box that says "Reason." I write "administrative delay." In ethics, "administrative delay" means the member's office forgot and then remembered when a reporter called. My approval rate is one hundred percent. In any other field, that number would trigger an audit. In mine, it is called thoroughness.

Let me show you what I processed this year.

January. A senator on the Armed Services Committee sold defense contractor shares worth $1.2 million. Three days later, his committee received a classified briefing that the Iran campaign had exceeded its projected cost by 340%. The stock dropped 8%. He filed the disclosure sixty-one days late. I calculated the fine. $200. His chief of staff asked if it could be waived. He did not ask what the senator traded on. Nobody asks that. The form does not have a field for it. I waived the fine. The senator's portfolio returned 23.4% in 2025. The S&P 500 returned 16.8%.

February. A representative on the Energy and Commerce Committee bought pharmaceutical stocks worth $400,000. Two weeks later, her committee advanced a bill that would extend patent exclusivity for the exact drug class she purchased. The stocks rose 14%. She filed on time. There was no fine. There was no investigation. There was nothing to investigate because buying stocks in companies regulated by your own committee is not illegal. It is legal. The STOCK Act made it legal by making it disclosed. In Congress, disclosed means legal. In my office, legal means filed.

March. A member whose spouse manages a portfolio worth $9.2 million reported forty-three separate transactions in a single quarter. Twelve of them were in sectors directly affected by legislation the member co-sponsored. The timing on eight of those twelve was within a two-week window of committee action. I logged all forty-three. None were flagged. We do not flag. We file.

I asked my supervisor once what would happen if I flagged a filing. She said we do not have a form for that. I never asked again.

In 2020, I processed 847 disclosures. In 2023, 1,211. In 2025, 1,614. The number of enforcement actions in each of those years was zero. The numerator changes. The denominator does not.

I want to tell you about the soldier again.

He made $409,881. He tried to delete his Polymarket account by calling customer service and saying he lost access to his email. He moved his profits into a foreign cryptocurrency vault and then into a new brokerage account. He used his real identity. He placed thirteen bets. Every single one was connected to an operation he personally participated in.

In my eleven years, I have processed disclosures from members of Congress who traded on:

Pending FDA approvals they learned about in committee.
Defense appropriations they voted on.
Trade policy they negotiated.
Pandemic response measures they drafted.
Interest rate decisions they were briefed on before the public.

None of them have been charged. None of them have been investigated by the Department of Justice. None of them have been referred to the SEC. The STOCK Act has produced zero prosecutions since it was signed on April 4th, 2012.

Fourteen years. Five hundred and thirty-five members. $635 million in trades last year alone. Zero cases.

My daughter asked me once what happens when someone breaks the rules. I told her we write it down. She asked what happens after that. I said it depends. She was nine. She is twenty now. It does not depend. Nothing happens after that.

The soldier made $409,881 and faces decades in prison. Nancy Pelosi entered Congress in 1987 with a portfolio worth approximately $785,000. It is now worth $133.7 million. That is a return of 16,930%. The Dow Jones returned 2,300% over the same period. Professional fund managers who beat the market for three consecutive years are considered exceptional. She has beaten it for thirty-seven. If a hedge fund produced those returns, the SEC would subpoena the records on a Thursday. She produced them from a building with a chapel and a gift shop.

She announced her retirement last year. No investigation was opened. No disclosure was flagged. Her filings were on time. In my office, on time means compliant. Compliant means closed.

I want to tell you about the fine.

$200. That is the maximum penalty for violating the STOCK Act's disclosure requirements. $200 for a member of Congress whose portfolio gained $4.7 million in a single quarter. I calculated what $200 represents as a percentage of $4.7 million. It is 0.004%. I could not find a comparison that made it meaningful. It is less than the price of the parking pass in the Rayburn garage. It is less than lunch at the members' dining room if you order the crab cakes, which I am told are excellent though I eat at my desk.

Since 2012, thirty-one bills have been introduced to restrict congressional trading. I keep a list. The list is longer than the STOCK Act itself.

On March 5th, 2026, a representative from Michigan introduced the thirty-second. He called it the "No Getting Rich in Congress Act." The bill would prohibit the President, Vice President, members of Congress, and their spouses from trading individual stocks, cryptocurrency, futures, and commodities while in office.

The bill was referred to committee. The committee has not scheduled a hearing. The committee is chaired by a member whose spouse executed $2.1 million in trades last year.

The bill will be reviewed. In my office, reviewed means read. Read means acknowledged. Acknowledged means a status has been assigned. A status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one.

The soldier used classified information to make $409,881 on a prediction market. He has been charged with five federal crimes. The Department of Justice announced the case on the same day I processed three disclosures from members who traded on committee knowledge worth a combined $3.8 million.

The difference between the soldier and the members is not what they did. It is the building they did it in. He did it from Fort Bragg. They did it from the Capitol. He used a prediction market. They used the New York Stock Exchange. He bet on a military operation. They bet on the legislation they write.

He did not write the law. They did. They wrote the STOCK Act. Then they funded its enforcement at zero dollars. Then they set its maximum penalty at $200. Then they gave my office the authority to waive it. Then they traded $635 million.

The soldier flew to Caracas. He breached a compound. He put his body between a mission and a bullet. The people who ordered the operation were in a building with a credenza and sparkling water. They did not go to Caracas. They went to their brokerage accounts. The soldier made $409,881 and is now in federal custody. The people who knew what he was going to do before he did it made more and filed less. His prosecution is not a failure of the system. It is the system. One conviction per decade, at the lowest level, so the briefing slides can say enforcement exists. The $409,881 is not the crime. It is the cost of making $635 million look supervised.

In my field, we call this self-regulation.

The soldier's Polymarket account has been frozen. His military career is over. He will spend years in federal prison. My office will process every congressional disclosure filed this year. Every trade logged. Every $200 fine calculated and waived. The system is immaculate.

Fourteen years. Zero prosecutions. $635 million a year. A 16,930% return.

I have not leaked a document. I have not filed a complaint. I have not deviated from the process one single time. The process was written by the people whose forms I process.

As long as the disclosures go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations.

My lanyard still says ETHICS. In eleven years, nobody has asked me to define the word.

[heretical lakeloon @loonlake55]

Let me get this straight. There's SNAP fraud, EBT fraud, Medicaid and Medicare fraud, home healthcare fraud, daycare fraud, medical transportation fraud, and hospice fraud, but definitely, absolutely no election fraud?

[Retail Mourinho @retail_mourinho]

So Trump is stalling Iran until Friday, until the troops are in place, and then after market close he’ll say Iran messed up the negotiations to justify a ground invasion.

We all agree that’s what’s going to happen?

[Bark @barkmeta]

Let me explain what just happened 👇

5 minutes before the President announced a halt to attacks on Iran… someone placed a $1.5 BILLION bet on stocks going up and dumped $192 million in oil.

5 minutes…

These trades were 4 to 6 times larger than anything else in the entire market. Whoever did this wasn’t guessing. You don’t risk $1.5 billion on a hunch.

There was zero public indication this announcement was coming. No leaks. No press. Nothing. The only people who knew were in the room when the decision was made.

Someone in that room picked up a phone.
And within minutes they made more money than most Americans will earn in a thousand lifetimes. In a single trade. On a war that cost you $4+ a gallon gas and $16 billion in tax dollars.

American citizens funded this war. Politicians are profiting from it.

This is not the first time. Every major announcement from this administration has had massive suspicious trades right before it dropped. Tariff reversals. Policy shifts. War decisions.

This is the most blatant insider trading operation in the history of American politics. It’s not even close. And it’s happening over and over in broad daylight.

You would go to federal prison for trading on a tip from your cousin. These people are front running war decisions with billion dollar bets and nobody will ever ask a single question.

Nobody will be investigated. Nobody will be charged. By tomorrow this will be buried under the next satisfying headline. Just like last time. And the time before that.

The game is rigged. And they’re not even trying to hide it anymore…

[RazörFist @RazorFist]

Big deal, Iran.
We already elected a gay Muslim president in 2008.

[JEFF @jeffisrael25]

let me get this straight

a team will not be playing in the FIFA World Cup because they are currently being bombed by the FIFA Peace Prize winner

[Stacy is Right @PoliticalStacy]

Democrats STILL say President Donald Trump incited an "insurrection" by saying: "I know that everyone here will soon be marching over to the Capitol building to peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard."

Compare that quote to:

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY):"We need to fight back against ICE's violent, secretive tactics."

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT): "We must resist and stop ICE from what they are doing as soon as possible."

Rep. Norma Torres (D-CA): "ICE get the f--- out of LA so that order can be restored."

Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-TX): "We need to fight back against ICE's abuses."

Rep. Kweisi Mfume (D-MD): "We must fight back and stop ICE from what they are doing as soon as possible."

Rep. Greg Casar (D-TX): "We have to stand up and fight back against these raids."

Rep. Delia Ramirez (D-IL): "Communities must resist and protect each other from ICE."

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): "We cannot allow ICE to continue these abuses — we have to push back hard."

Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-WA): "It's time to fight back against the cruelty of ICE enforcement."

Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN): "We must resist ICE's overreach and defend our communities."

Rep. Cori Bush (D-MO): "We have to fight back and stop ICE from terrorizing our people."

Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-MA): "Resistance is necessary when ICE comes for our neighbors."

Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA): "We need to stand up and fight back against ICE's reckless actions."

Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD): "We cannot sit idly by — we must push back against ICE's abuses."

Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA): "It's time for communities to resist and hold ICE accountable."

Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-MI): "We will fight back against ICE's inhumane policies."

Rep. Jesús "Chuy" García (D-IL): "We have to resist and protect our immigrant communities from ICE."

Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D-NY): "We need to stand together and fight back against ICE raids."

Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ): "We must resist and stop ICE from destroying families."

Rep. Sylvia Garcia (D-TX): "Communities are ready to fight back against ICE's cruelty."

We KNOW who the fucking insurrectionists really are.

[Wall Street Mav @WallStreetMav]

This might be the dumbest thing you will listen to in your entire life. I wish I was exaggerating.

[Pub @PubWanghaf]

Wait till she finds out she’s known as “Barack Obama’s husband”

[Brecca Stoll @breccastoll]

Today Michelle Obama joined the sex and dating podcast 'Call Her Daddy' to criticize society’s focus on women's looks.

She promoted her new book, “The Look,” which explores her outfits as first lady.

Obama told podcast host Alex Cooper she wished the press focused less on what she wore and more on her education and professional background.

“The top of the article would be ‘she was wearing…’” Obama said. “Not my education, not my professional career.”

Cooper agreed with Obama.

Both women seemed to forget that 12 minutes earlier their interview opened with, “Talk to me about your outfit. How did you pick it?”

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Population barely changed, but SNAP doubled due to massive fraud

[LHGrey™️ @Grey_0G]

No, Tom. Shut the fuck up and listen, Tom...

The man walked into that gilded snake pit at Davos and eviscerated the entire globalist cabal with the cold, unflinching precision of a predator who’s done toying with prey. On their stage. Under their lights. Broadcast on their networks. Forced every last one of them...those smug, self-appointed overlords...to sit in silence while he carved their rotten empire to the bone.

He didn’t scream. He didn’t need to. His voice was low, steady, absolute. Every sentence a kill shot.

He exposed the climate hoax for the multi-trillion-dollar wealth transfer it is. He named the open-borders agenda as the deliberate dilution of sovereign nations.

He called out the currency wars, the offshoring scams, the engineered collapse of Western industry...all of it orchestrated by the same parasites who lecture the rest of us about “sustainability” while burning jet fuel to fly their private fleets into Switzerland for a week of mutual back-patting and champagne.

This wasn’t anger. This was execution.

They perched there in their tailored hypocrisy...cashmere sweaters, bespoke suits, faces frozen in that practiced mask of enlightened concern...while the President of the United States looked them dead in the eye and ended their charade.

Politely. Ruthlessly.

He informed them, in plain language, that the days of America bankrolling their utopian delusions, their population-replacement schemes, their digital surveillance grid, their endless wars for “democracy”...all of it funded by the American taxpayer...are finished. Done. Over.

He put the entire Davos class...the unelected technocrats, the hedge-fund vampires, the NGO grifters, the media courtesans...on explicit notice: your reign of unchallenged arrogance is terminated. We see every tentacle of your operation. We know exactly what you are: a parasitic elite that has feasted on the productive class for decades while selling the corpse back to us as “progress.”

What you diagnose as “mental disturbance” is what unfiltered strength looks like to cowards who’ve spent their lives groveling before power.

What you label “embarrassing” is the sound of a sovereign people finally refusing to kneel.

What you find “dangerous” is the sight of your entire worldview collapsing in real time, live on global television, delivered by a man who cannot be bought, bullied, or bribed.

He didn’t just address that room. He spoke past them...directly to the hundreds of millions who’ve been looted, lectured, and lied to by these people. To every factory worker whose job was shipped overseas.

To every parent watching their child’s school being turned into an indoctrination camp. To every citizen tired of watching their borders erased while billionaires build moats around their own compounds.

That audience of predators just witnessed the beginning of their obsolescence. They felt it...the shift in the air, the sudden realization that the protection racket they’ve run for fifty years has a new sheriff, and he’s not asking nicely anymore.

They know what’s coming. They felt the ground move under their feet. And they’re terrified.

So go ahead, Tom. Keep clutching your pearls. Keep diagnosing from your safe, sanitized distance.

The rest of us recognize the sound of history correcting itself.

Sleep lightly. The reckoning isn’t coming.

It’s already here.

[Steven Edginton @StevenEdginton]

The Greenland paradox is interesting. If the US sent 100,000 American immigrants here, then voted in an American prime minister, and voted to be part of America, liberals would cry foul.

Yet this is what is exactly what is happening to Europe via mass African/Asian migration.

[Pub @PubWanghaf]

Generational run for Trump rn

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

There needs to be a criminal trial for @GovTimWalz

[Rand Paul @RandPaul]

Fauci destroyed records, evaded FOIA, and lied to Congress. If Fauci were a Trump supporter, he’d already be in jail.

It's time for the DOJ to indict him, challenge his pardon in court, and let the truth come out. @Bannons_WarRoom