Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting

Keeping you, your family, your staff safe in a complex world of risks

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

In 2025 we expect to see some level of containment around numerous conflicts, but geopolitical security risks remain high and we anticipate a broadening terrorism risk in Northwest Africa, Europe and the U.S, increasing the need for travel risk awareness and precautions.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

In 2024 we expect to see a further proliferation in global conflicts with several cascading into wider regions. Travel awareness and precautions are more important than ever with conflict in many regions fuelling criminal activities and often increasing travel risks.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Israel/Gaza: The third hostage in this round has been safely handed over to the Red Cross. Again, this release was also less chaotic, but the usual propaganda prevailed. The first two are already safely repatriated with the IDF.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Iran: Reports of explosions in the vicinity of the Khomeini International Airport.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Significant USAF and RAF activity today above the Mediterranean as more relocations and preparations are made in case of escalation in the Middle East as the Israeli retaliatory strike on Iran is prepared.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Israel/Gaza: Hamas has released two more hostages to the Red Cross with a third reportedly due shortly. Thankfully this release was less chaotic and fragile than the previous release keeping the ceasefire momentum less fragile. Israel will again release significant prisoners.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

DRC: DFAT increases warnings in the Democratic Republic of Congo and now advise do not travel to Kinshasa due to the risk of civil unrest and violence
https://t.co/xkuuDyHMwu

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Australia: Concerns increase regarding planned antisemitic terrorist attacks in Australia after explosives found in Sydney. More antisemitic graffiti overnight on another place of worship.
https://t.co/gzZQhMOBEc

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Afghanistan: Reports two U.S citizens held in Afghanistan for several years have been repatriated. William McKenty & Ryan Corbett were reportedly repatriated after Khan Mohammed was released from U.S custody in exchange.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Yemen: Reports of more coalition airstrikes tonight targeting Houthi militant missile infrastructure in the north. The Houthi militants continue to target vessels in the region and launch ballistic missiles at Israel.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Yemen: CENTCOM report precision airstrikes have been conducted against Houthi targets. This comes after further attempted attacks by the Houthi militias against ships in the region.

[U.S. Central Command @CENTCOM]

CENTCOM Conducts Airstrikes Against Iran-Backed Houthi Missile Storage and Command/Control Facilities in Yemen

TAMPA, Fla. - U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces conducted precision airstrikes against a missile storage facility and a command-and-control facility operated by Iran-backed Houthis within Houthi-controlled territory in Sana'a, Yemen, on Dec. 21 Yemen time.

CENTCOM forces conducted the deliberate strikes to disrupt and degrade Houthi operations, such as attacks against U.S. Navy warships and merchant vessels in the Southern Red Sea, Bab al-Mandeb, and Gulf of Aden.

During the operation, CENTCOM forces also shot down multiple Houthi one way attack uncrewed aerial vehicles (OWA UAV) and an anti-ship cruise missile (ASCM) over the Red Sea.

The operation involved U.S. Air Force and U.S. Navy assets, including F/A-18s.

The strike reflects CENTCOM's ongoing commitment to protect U.S. and coalition personnel, regional partners, and international shipping.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Yemen: Further reports of coalition airstrikes tonight in Yemen, including targeting Houthi targets in the capital Sana'a.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

U.S: Initial reports regarding fatalities appears inaccurate. Further collation suggests 2 fatalities, others seriously injured.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

U.S: Reports of a mass shooting around a nightclub in Queens, NYC. Initial reports of at least nine fatalities and many more injured.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

U.S: Reports of a mass shooting around a nightclub in Queens, NYC. Initial reports of at least nine fatalities and many more injured.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

And so it begins, the first of likely waves of terror attacks in the U.S and Europe this year. At least 15 fatalities after a truck ramming into a crowd in New Orleans, reportedly related to ISIS.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

In 2025 we expect to see some level of containment around numerous conflicts, but geopolitical security risks remain high and we anticipate a broadening terrorism risk in Northwest Africa, Europe and the U.S, increasing the need for travel risk awareness and precautions.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Several injured, driver deceased in the vehicle explosion in Las Vegas. Explosive materials found in truck, Joint Terrorism Task Force investigating. Looks like this Tesla truck contained most of the explosion.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Syria/Iraq: Reports of fast air low over Iraq/Syria border region tonight. Some reports of an airstrike in the Deir Ezzor region. USAF CAPs have been up tonight as routine. ISIS likely target?

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Syria: The regime is in trouble, Damascus is mostly surrounded, slowly suffocating. There are reports opposition forces are at the Sednaya prison negotiating with prison staff about handover and releases. It’s just a matter of time now for the regime 👀

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Syria: With HTS and other opposition forces now taking towns and securing key roads south of Damascus and likely to take Homs in the coming hours it’s likely Syrian President Bashar al-Assad will be on the move and a regime implosion will follow 👀👀

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Syria: USAF F15Es have been up with RAF on CAP rotations too out of RAF Akrotiri. ISIS movements have been occurring amongst the mass militia movements in Syria this week. RAF Typhoon FGR4 Eurofighters
en route now with Voyager refuelling.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Germany: Thankfully initial reports on fatalities appears inaccurate. Much lower in latest reports.

[Warren Risk, Crisis, Intelligence Consulting @WarrenRisks]

Germany: Reports a lone individual rammed into people with a car at a Christmas market in Magdeburg causing at least 10 fatalities and 50 plus injuries. Reports Police believe attack was terrorism related.