Wasif💎

Covering the intersection of markets, memes & prediction tech

[AshenSoul @0xashensoul]

Polymarket is officially going parabolic

Another month, another ATH. We just smashed volume records for the second month in a row.

October '25 did ~$3B, but November just printed ~$3.6B. That’s a +20% pump.

Back in Nov '24 during the peak US Election hype, volume was only ~$2.6B. We are putting up way bigger numbers now with zero election narrative.

Is $4B volume programmed for December?

We are still early.

[Mr. Buzzoni @polydao]

POLYMARKET’S TV ERA BEGINS NOW

Anderson Cooper is bringing it to @60Minutes this Sunday - with @shayne_coplan giving his first network television interview

Prediction markets aren’t niche anymore

They’re breaking into the mainstream

[Wasif💎 @Was1f_R]

More and more interesting markets every day!

https://t.co/jNKUPbEfyw

GM!

[Lorden @lorden_eth]

Polymarket just hit an all time high in total volume

More people are using markets in daily life, checking odds before news, sharing charts in group chats, and even betting on random events for fun

It’s going to be mainstream all around the world, and it’s wild how fast this is becoming normal

A year ago nobody around me cared, now it feels like half the world is watching the same markets I am

What surprises me most is how natural it feels, markets react faster than any media in the whole world

And that proves Polymarket is becoming the number one information platform

[Wasif💎 @Was1f_R]

https://t.co/kIMNLASHqs

I've heard about the strategy of looking for markets when projects are launched.
Since projects often like to delay their launch, mathematically it is very likely that you will guess most of the bets, because projects really drag out their launch, especially when BTC falls from highs by several tens of percent.

[Breezy 4L @breezyjpg]

2015: @shayne_coplan wrote "billion" in one of his first tweets
2025: the CEO of @Polymarket officially a billionaire on Forbes

> be Shayne Coplan
> email the SEC at age 14 (asking how to create new marketplaces)
> "I did not get a response"

> show up uninvited at Genius HQ at 16 and get hired
> go to the New York University
> drop out in 2017

> try a bunch of crypto projects
> get realised that none work
> still keep building

> launch Polymarket in 2020 (to fix misinformation)
> first market is "when does NYC reopen"
> expand into politics, sports, and culture

> volume explodes
> regulators enter the chat
> CFTC fines him $1,4m + blocks US users (2022)

> FBI raids his apartment (2024)
> seizes some devices
> media calls it "unregistered gambling"

> he calls it "political"
> investigations dropped (2024)
> acquires a CFTC-licensed exchange (one week later)

> Polymarket suddenly on track for full US launch
> July dinner at Manhatta
> Jeff Sprecher (NYSE) in suit

> Shayne walks in wearing t-shirt + jeans + a bagel bag
> Sprecher tries to buy Polymarket on the spot
> ICE invests $2B for 25% (October 2025)

> valuation jumps to $9B
> the college dropout becomes a billionaire at age 27
> blue-eyed, mop-haired kid vs the NYSE

> "american innovation" pic
> billionaires pile in
> even Anthony Kiedis show up to invest

> Shayne is a huge fan of the Chili Peppers
> Polymarket partners with NHL, UFC, DraftKings
> Google Finance + Yahoo Finance integrate PM data

> prediction markets become mainstream overnight
> critics call it "unregulated gambling loophole"
> supporters call it "the next Wall Street"

> institutions prepping to plug PM data into indices
> 5 years after founding
> 1 year after FBI raid

> stands in front of the NYSE
> watches a giant Polymarket banner rise
> "Against all odds"

[Wasif💎 @Was1f_R]

@Polymarket @PolymarketTrade And you can also play it safe by choosing the >$3B option, because under current market conditions, it is unlikely that there will be a large FDV.

[Wasif💎 @Was1f_R]

https://t.co/oZCZIfubj9

Looks like a good gamble!

All because of the condition “If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to ”No.“”

If, like me, you don't believe Lighter will be released by the end of the year, there's a good chance you'll get about 3x your investment.
According to insiders, they won't make it in time.

[Atlantis liquidity @Atlantislq]

Polymarket user curve going vertical

> Oct 2023: 40k users
> Oct 2024: 188k users
> Oct 2025: 1.4M users

Still early. prediction market supercycle

[AshenSoul @0xashensoul]

How to find insider wallets on Polymarket?

Finding smart money used to mean scanning thousands of transactions. Now I use @Polysights Insider Finder.

Key Features:
▫️Radar Score: Their AI analyzes wallet behavior and assigns a probability score. High score = high likelihood of being an insider.
▫️Detailed Entry Data: See exactly when they bought, at what price, and position size.
▫️Market Filtering: My go-to workflow is filtering by specific market to see the YES/NO insider ratio immediately.

Example Workflow:
▫️Pick a market (e.g., "Maduro out 2025")
▫️Filter for that market in Polysights
▫️Check insider count on YES vs NO
▫️Analyze high Radar Score wallets for conviction (size + holding time)

This is how you can see smart money flow before the market reacts.

[haeju.eth @JeongHaeju]

BREAKING: Polymarket just pushed its second app update in 4 days, after zero updates for 4 months.

The new update quietly adds a U.S. waitlist + referral system that lets you move up the list by sharing your link. Seems like the app is ready for use, just need to have access like the beta testers. Just like the 2.0 update earlier this week, this slipped completely under the radar.

With the CFTC approval, a full UI overhaul, a new intro video, and now a U.S. waitlist system, all in the last 5 days, U.S. launch is clearly imminent.

Yet the market is still pricing “Polymarket US live in 2025” at 74%

A lot has changed in the last 5 days and all signs point in one direction.

[Forward @Forward_inv]

If you could only choose one?

Polymarket or Polymarket?

[Mikita | PredictTime @mikita_crypto]

november goals:

> 2k followers
> at least 200 replies per day
> respect from CT
> get @PolymarketTrade badge
> 3 posts daily
> at least 3 videos per week

wish me good luck🫡

[Wasif💎 @Was1f_R]

GM with bullish news!

A new era in finance: Google Finance launches AI-powered Deep Search + data from Polymarket prediction markets - now you can directly search for probabilities of future events (e.g., GDP growth rates) and incorporate the collective wisdom of the crowd into your decisions

Bullish signal: when big players get access to real-time predictive data and AI responses, it's a powerful tool for those who want to stay ahead of the market.

[Polymarket Bros @BrosOnPM]

1200 today?!

[Argona @Argona0x]

$200 → $1,000 Polymarket Challenge | Day 2

new position opened

Houston vs UCF (NCAA Football)
• $20 on Houston at $0.53 (potential return: $37)

https://t.co/5KEkyHVJUx

$110 left in free balance

why houston

the fundamentals lean houston :
• 7-2 record vs ucf's 4-4
• balanced offense, fewer turnovers
• ucf just got destroyed 3-30 by baylor last week
• houston's defensive unit controls time of possession

the smart money is clear
• houston traders: Smart Score 6.89
• ucf traders: Smart Score -1.89

one whale caught my attention
$740K position on houston with 8.29 Smart Score
>$1M in PNL he only trades sports and wins consistently

im sticking to the strategy → fewest trades, highest conviction

daily updates continue
lets see if this one hits

[Said @said116dao]

gm gm

I just gained my first 1,000 followers!

I am in the top 15 of mindshare Polymarket.

THANK YOU ALL FOR YOUR SUPPORT!

Do you think it's realistic to gain another 2,000 followers by the end of the year?

[PolyMax 💎 @Maximilian_evm]

Get ready to predict the future.😉

Polymarket in the US 🇺🇸 — VERY soon.

[Argona @Argona0x]

took a break from posting

came back yesterday with polymarket content

80k views in one day
337 new followers

polymarket is what ct wants right now → and most people are sleeping on it

the timing couldn't be better
election season → prediction markets are having their moment

everyone's looking for edge and analysis on these trades

i'm back and doubling down on this
more polymarket breakdowns coming

[Wasif💎 @Was1f_R]

GM to bulls!