A.J. Brown managers: don't panic. The data says not to.
3 catches for 48 yards looks ugly. Here's what actually happened.
New England barely had the ball in the 4th quarter. Chicago held it for 12:21 of the 15 minutes.
• Patriots ran 7 plays in the 4th. Bears ran 23
• The league average is 16.5 4th-quarter plays
• Only about 4% of team-games this season have had 7 or fewer
• 49 plays all game, New England's fewest this season
In that tiny sample, Brown still got:
• 91% of snaps, most on the team (76% in Week 6)
• 149 air yards, 53% of the team's total
• Two deep shots, 44 and 47 yards downfield, that just didn't connect
Since he came back from IR:
• 27% target share
• 45% air yards share
• 0.72 WOPR
Only 5 pass-catchers have held a WOPR that high all season: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, DeVonta Smith, Puka Nacua, Carnell Tate and Drake London.
Romeo Doubs is on IR until Week 12 at the earliest. The volume isn't going anywhere.
Miami is a tough Week 8 matchup, so you're buying the rest of the season, not one game. But the usage is a WR1's, and the box score will catch up.
He's still our #1 trade target this week. Buy the panic.
https://t.co/KxzOT1FaFh
Bears 2H o13, finished w 10, doinked FG
Brown longest catch o25.5, dropped a 40 yard reception
Odunze was a bad play. Burden is just that guy.
Also lost ECU 2H in OT.
Rough day it happens, big MNF helps
NCAAF ledger: +$7,632
Only had 1 play on Saturday, $-2500 half point loss 🥶
Need to work on a few things like full game spreads but I already have a few pending for this wknd.
Long season ahead. Happy with the results so far 👍
Updated NFL ledger: +$15,615.
I’ve cooled off on the 2H bets, but I’ve made up for it in full game spreads, teasers & player props.
My style is different than most but I’m confident in my process/reads. Will continue to learn from my mistakes.