Wave Thesis

Independent Market Analysis | Elliott Wave Theory
Mapping market structure, probabilities & key levels.

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

Remember: A decisive break above the green trendline at $82'782 would likely lead to new short-term highs.

#ElliottWave #Bitcoin #BTC #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

The orange scenario is becoming increasingly likely. A break above the green trendline at $81'270 would invalidate the white scenario.
Bitcoin is following the plan...

#ElliottWave #Bitcoin #BTC #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

Solana is correcting as expected in a wave 4. As long as the main support zone between $88.396 and $95.996 holds, SOL could still push higher.

#ElliottWave #Solana #SOL #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

he 50-week MA, along with the daily RSI, suggests that a bearish trend may be developing. However, I wouldn’t rule out one more high before a larger correction begins.

#ElliottWave #Bitcoin #BTC #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

With another move higher, oil could extend into a five-wave structure and complete wave 3. The alternative scenario would be a larger ABC correction.

#ElliottWave #LightCrudeOil #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

Crypto and oil tend to move in opposite directions in the financial markets, which is why oil can serve as an additional indicator for trading crypto.

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

Solana, like Bitcoin, is likely heading into Wave 4. As long as SOL remains below the $106.50–$107.50 resistance zone, I expect the correction to continue lower

#ElliottWave #Solana #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

Ethereum has likely topped in Wave C of Wave A.

#ElliottWave #Ethereum #ETH #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

My primary scenario remains unchanged. I’m also labeling this Wave 4 correction as a W-X-Y formation. If Bitcoin breaks above the B-wave high, the yellow scenario would take over.

#ElliottWave #Bitcoin #BTC #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

The oil chart has probably bottomed in Wave 2. Oil could now be on its way toward the 100% extension of Wave 3, located at $93.18.

#ElliottWave #LightCrudeOil #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

The micro support zone for the Wave 4 pullback is defined between $102.7 and $108.6. As long as SOL finds support within this zone and subsequently turns higher, the primary scenario of a completed or developing Wave 4 remains intact.
#ElliottWave #WaveThesis #Solana

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

Bitcoin is on its way to retest the support zone in a C-wave within Wave 4.
#ElliottWave #WaveThesis #Bitcoin

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

Solana is currently working on its Wave 4 correction. The uptrend would be invalidated if Solana breaks below support at $88.421.

#ElliottWave #WaveThesis #Solana

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

Bitcoin might be pushing lower in a C-wave. Resistance is located between $71,083 and $75,573. The C-wave should form a five-wave move to the downside. A direct breakout would need to break above the $81,250 level, which marks the B-wave top.

#ElliottWave #WaveThesis #Bitcoin

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

The RSI is in all-time-high territory, which makes a wave 4 correction likely.
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[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

Bitcoin is on its way towards the $82'600 area.

A break above the green trendline at $82'857 would suggest that Wave 2 is invalidated and the alternative B-Wave scenario becomes relevant.
#ElliottWave #WaveThesis

[Wave Thesis @WaveThesis]

@Morecryptoonl look at the RSI

[More Crypto Online @Morecryptoonl]

The biggest advantage of Elliott Wave is that it naturally creates asymmetric opportunities. If I can identify a setup where my downside is clearly defined but my upside remains open-ended, I don't need to know the future. I simply need the reward potential to justify the risk I'm taking. That's very different from prediction. That's probability management.