This is K9 Valor. He saved 47 soldiers. He survived a suicide bomber, then went on to stop three more, fighting tooth against knife. In the end, he placed himself between an explosion and his handler.
The blast shattered half his face. He lost his left eye and ear. He was flown to Germany, where surgeons worked to rebuild his jaw.
At the Pentagon, he was honored with a standing ovation that lasted over eight minutes.
A true American hero.🇺🇸❤️🇺🇸
Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears
This situation is the Patrick Mahomes/ Andy Reid with a playoff ready roster dynamic. Another example is Big Ben and the Steelers, where a first-round quarterback was set up for success at an extreme level.
I was early on Mahomes because I understood that what he did well (out of structure wizard) paired perfectly with what Reid would provide (create margin with what he did in structure). I bought Mahomes rookie cards while he was sitting his rookie season just like I did with Aaron Rodgers when he was young, hit a 50-1 MVP ticket that I bought when the market opened that offseason, etc, because I understood the ceiling case. It’s very rare when things line up like this, but I bet on it every time that it happens.
Caleb Williams is more talented than Patrick Mahomes.
Williams has a long way to go to be better than Mahomes, but the combination of things this guy can do, Mahomes, Allen, Rodgers are the only guys I’d put in that list, and Williams has more raw speed and evasion abilities than all of them.
This is not a new thought, I wrote about the Bears at length virtually every week this season because what this kid can potentially become, was the most interesting thing in the league this season.
I thought Ben Johnson was a very good hire, but the way in which he rolled out his offense this season genuinely exceeded my expectations. He had a quote where he said he was glad the team he a bye early in the year because it would give him a chance to evaluate everything early, is one of the most situation aware things I’ve ever heard a coach say.
There were a few calls throughout the year where it was a goal to go situation that given the Bears OL and run game, they were, to me, very obvious run situations, yet Johnson would call passes in several of them, in my opinion, because he was developing Caleb because he knows that if Williams can get to a point where he masters the offense and plays more consistently, this guy can carry games.
Most of the offline throws I saw from Caleb Williams this year were about being a hair off with timing. Some of them that looked very offline, again as someone that has watched an obscene amount of football the last decade, if you watched every Mahomes throw over the course of a season, he blows way more layups than you realize.
Some of them with Williams were definitely bad, but I’ve seen Allen, Mahomes, Stafford miss throws they should hit by a lot. Rodgers doesn’t really miss throws, he’s the exception for guys that can move, but all the other ones, I can think of half a dozen throws off the top of my head where Mahomes has thrown a smoke route five yards short into the ground.
And the bottom line is, when was the last time you saw a quarterback that made breathtaking throws look routine, have accuracy issues long term? I cannot think of one, so I’m comfortable betting on that aspect of things getting tightened up with the Williams/ Johnson marriage sooner than later.
The ceiling case is Williams gets to a point where he’s more consistent and has mastery of the offense, and plays weapons free all the time within the structure of the offense. That is essentially the path of Mahomes, and again while there is a long way to go to reach those heights, it’s on the table here.
Now, the late game heroics are interesting because they are both not sustainable from a volume standpoint, but guys like this do not make the plays they do by accident, so it’s not a fluke, either. So, on that front, I still expect that Caleb Williams will storm down the field late in games and snatch victory from the jaws of defeat throughout his career, just not at the clip he did last season in terms of raw volume.
That said, I do think the Bears offense will be more consistent, and ultimately better right from the jump next season, barring injuries. So, I expect that to counteract some of the one score game regression.
Additionally, Chicago was down their two top corners for most of the season. When they were back, the defense was significantly better. You throw a Maxx Crosby on this team, with those corners, there is a world where the Bears have the league’s highest scoring offense next season, with a top 10 defense.
Injuries are a thing that changes seasons in the NFL, but if the Bears can add another difference making pass catcher, I think we see a monster year out of them in at least one of the next three seasons.
Some perspective for Bears fans
1. Yes, Caleb needs to play better. No question
2. Ben’s offense is also complex. Per Ben, it’s MORE complex than what he installed in DET in 2022
Consider this:
JARED GOFF, circa 2022
🔸 Then a 7 year vet
🔸 Initially developed by McVay
🔸 Played in a Super Bowl
🔸 Already in DET a full season. Knew players & Ben, who was TE coach & passing game coordinator in 2021
🔸 Goff also knew his OL and had been playing behind most of them for a year already. He had thrown to most of same WRs & TEs as previous year
Goff’s first six games in Ben’s offense:
➡️ Completion % by game
🔸 W1 56.8%
🔸 W2 58.8%
🔸 W3 61.0%
🔸 W4 66.7%
🔸 W5 54.3%
🔸 W6 80.8%
🔸 Average W1-W6 62.3%
➡️ Other stats
🔸 Pass yds/gm: 263.8
🔸 Rush yds/gm: 15.3
🔸 Pass TD/INT: 11/6
🔸 Rush TD: 0
🔸 Sacks: 12
🔸 W/L Record: 1-5
CALEB
🔸 In 2nd year
🔸 Rookie development suboptimal with two OCs
🔸 Didn’t know Ben
🔸 Ben made major changes to his mechanics & where he took snaps
🔸 Caleb is playing behind only one OL from rookie year right now. Half of his WRs & TEs are new
First six games in Ben’s offense:
➡️ Completion % by game
🔸 W1 60.0%
🔸 W2 63.3%
🔸 W3 67.9%
🔸 W4 59.5%
🔸 W5 58.6%
🔸 W6 57.7%
🔸 Average W1-W6 61.1%
➡️ Other stats
🔸 Pass yds/gm: 225.2
🔸 Rush yds/gm: 17.7
🔸 Pass TD/INT: 9/3
🔸 Rush TD: 2
🔸 Sacks: 11
🔸 W/L Record: 4-2
3. My point in sharing this is not to make excuses for Caleb.
His performance has been up & down, and in the past three weeks we’ve seen his completion rate drop.
He’s not yet as productive or accurate as Ben, he or Beans fans would like him to be.
At the same time, we need to remember that Caleb is also making/needed to make/was asked to make MANY MORE changes to his footwork, under center more, left foot forward, etc and has a MUCH bigger learning curve on pre-snap procedure, reading NFL defenses, incorporate running motions & shifts, and making adjustments at the line than Goff did in his Y7 in the NFL with Ben.
In some ways, Caleb is not only learning Ben’s offense — again MORE complex than Ben initially installed for Goff in 2022 —but also getting a rookie-level re-education in his mechanics and basic skills in operating and adjusting an NFL offense.
In short, the task is harder and he is more green.
And Goff, for his level of experience in 2022, was up and down too.
Even Goff, who wasn’t known for accuracy struggles and has an over 70% completion rate now, had a completion rate that was only 1% higher than Caleb’s is now through 6 games with Ben. In part because Ben’s offense is so complex & precise in how it operates and there is a big learning curve.
Goff was throwing more yards per game, again not entirely unexpected as a W7 QB who had done it many times before.
But Caleb’s total TDs are the same as Goff’s. His INTs are 50% lower than Goff’s. And he has one less sack than Goff.
So his stats aren’t far off from Goff’s, with the exception of passing yards per game. And he’s had a tougher task, is less experienced, and a much steeper learning curve.
We are all anxious for more progress with Caleb. Let’s just keep in mind this analysis too — vs. just comparing him to Drake Maye or Jayden Daniels from last season.
This, right now, is a more relevant benchmark. It’s only been 6 games with Ben. Let’s realize that his development timeline may take a bit longer and look different.
It doesn’t mean Caleb shouldn’t be playing better. He should.
It also doesn’t mean Ben isn’t making progress.
As Ben said from his first press conference, growth isn’t linear.
And get comfortable being uncomfortable.
He was more aggressive in how uncomfortable he’s made Caleb because that was the best thing for his development.
It’s just going to take more time. Which, through this lens, is more understandable
Your latest Bears mailbag is here on a Tuesday morning. As is tradition. In this one, we discuss:
- Colston Loveland's present (and future)
- Rome Odunze's hot start (can he sustain it?)
- Dealing with Jayden Daniels (and Commanders run game)
https://t.co/5wP7s3ypBh
Tyler Dunne's article paints Caleb Williams as a diva rookie who tanked the Bears. I read the whole damn thing and I'm calling BS. Here's the full takedown, with facts that actually hold up.
DEEP DIVE:
https://t.co/HLgZd47JRG
As a Packers fan, you should be worried. The Bears' offseason moves—trading for elite guards Joe Thuney and Jonah Jackson, signing center Drew Dalman, and adding defensive linemen Dayo Odeyingbo and Grady Jarrett—show they're serious about dominating the trenches. Chicago's building a wall on offense and a wrecking crew on defense. This isn't just another offseason; it's a statement. Historically, the Bears-Packers rivalry has been brutal—think Packers' 49-0 blowout in '62—but Chicago's moves could shift the balance. Brace for a tougher fight in 2025.