WeatherBott

Weather trader on Polymarket

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

My bots best day so far.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

We are so back

50$ in 2 days

The bot is working flawlessly

Now time to add more cities

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

My bot made its first trade while i slept

@Polymarket

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

I am back to trading weather markets on @Polymarket

This time instead of trading manually I am building a weather bot.

First target is 100$ profit

Here we go

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

$60 -> $1000 Challenge

Almost at $400 PnL in under a month on London highest temperature market.

The goal is to get to $1000

The London heat wave last week fucked me over but were back at ATH

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

@BeefSlayer_ Do you trade manually?

[BeefSlayer @BeefSlayer_]

Everyone talks about weather models and forecast skill in weather trading. Not many people talk about the trading side, which I’d argue is almost just as important as the forecast itself. This is something that has helped me succeed in this space.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

@0xMarchyel Most obvious case of insider trading ive ever seen

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

@IceFrosst Whats the tool in the screenshot?

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

Good profits today.
Made back the losses from previous days.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

@GnatykA London.
Its got the most liquidity and the right balance of unpredictability.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

My model is predicting todays metars on the dot.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

@GnatykA Wouldn't you only get rewards if it's within a few cents of the spread?

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

@GnatykA GN

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

@rexxbt1 @GnatykA No they show the same data but earlier.
Wunderground can take over an hour to update after metar is released. Other sites update in a few mins.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

@EthYfii @Polymarket good thing liquidity is coming back

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

This morning London tracked the forecast basically tick for tick with the metar slightly behind.

Then the afternoon happened.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

This heatwave in London has been very profitable.

Take advantage of opportunities like these.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

(7/7)

And the data you're working with is much more vague and less deterministic than an average of the ensembles. But that's the point. everyone sees the same live data. The edge is in how you analyze it.
Who reads the conditions and gets what they mean, faster and better than the next person.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

(1/7)

There's been a shift in polymarket weather strategy nobody's really talking about.

[WeatherBott @WeatherPolyBott]

(6/7)

You adapt as the day develops, buy more temps to hedge, react to live data faster than everyone else. Current temp, cloud movement, how the day's tracking vs the morning forecast.
All of it pulled live from pws data near the station.