Xp Weather

We are experience Weather Enthusiasm and Analyser.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

oh Ben @BenNollWeather what did you say! many of my X (formally Twitter) friends will be one of the sleepless nights. 😬😬 i am not able to get any issues for being become very strong or super el nino this time and may break all records regarding intensity. #elniño

[Ben Noll @BenNollWeather]

El Niño was sparked by a Kelvin wave that shifted huge amounts of warm water from west to east across the undersea Pacific since April.

And now, a new Kelvin wave is forming.

Yet more warm water will move toward the eastern Pacific and El Niño forecasts may trend even stronger.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@rushtropicalwx el nino, la lina event isn't just name but effects to the global, it's already effecting maximum global as el nino. so why we need to wait until 5 month moving average? that time when they will declare the event, it would have effected at least 50%.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@rushtropicalwx that's what i have to say, there is not necessary each year to be similar, so the standard criteria set by the particular event isn't good way to measure. You have to move fast according to situation and i think it should be varried. Sometimes atm can change and act faster.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@rushtropicalwx with sst, the atm is also showing coupling for last 90 days which is well known for removing variability. Everything is myth in weather cause nature doesn't care what is our criteria is. and more ever the coupling isn't going away soon, so not to worry about 5 month myth.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@rushtropicalwx not necessarily to be for 5 month, it's a criteria made for removing uncertainty and variability by high frequency waves and others, but the standing or low frequency formed over CENTER/EAST Pacific is making everything clear.

cause atm is responding to the warm water.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@zaff1262 @greatgamerbhai @RainTracker You can't compare 2023 with 2026. 2023 el nino superstructure was westward shifted which induced normal monsoon. only IOD can't drive, sometimes strong el nino act as to make little positive side of IOD but that's situation IOD becomes invalid.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@rushtropicalwx @PaulRoundy1 @AndyHazelton this year el nino already cool down wpac and MC compared to 2023, which will impact in bigger this year than 2023 as el nino. and look an extremely classic event pattern. So the solution should be widely compared can be only way to understand but not only by particular Index.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@rushtropicalwx @PaulRoundy1 @AndyHazelton so we can't take index as measurment how much the effective the event will be. It's a wide area process which can impact thrle atm. Like @PaulRoundy1 sir said many time that 2023 el nino could not cool down the Maritime and Wpac as el nino did so the impact of that nino was diff

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@rushtropicalwx @PaulRoundy1 @AndyHazelton of the el nino in the global not in it's strength. the effects of el nino will be reduced compared to past but this el nino forcing and strength is much stronger than others, cause it fighting with climate warming not only again la lina.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@rushtropicalwx @PaulRoundy1 @AndyHazelton teleconnection? and what el nino doing is extremely strong effort than other el nino, which mean the today el nino actually stronger than last cause during that time it was easy to cool down western pac than today. that's why i said RONI should be useful to determine the effects

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@PaulRoundy1 @AndyHazelton @rushtropicalwx and most importantly the climate change effect are more in extra tropical rather than tropics. Tropics are more likely influenced by both ENSO phases. when the tropics is very minor warm in climate, then why we removing mean? where the minor effect cames from ENSO itself?

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@PaulRoundy1 @AndyHazelton @rushtropicalwx was the enso3.4 region warm in recent climo and compared to climate change? actually El nino regions cooled down in recent climo than previous. so why the global tropic mean removing to measure only enso3.4? global tropic mean should be removed to understand the effects of Nino.

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@AndyHazelton with such as warm water under the deep surface. Definitely it won't vanish like Magic! 😶😶

[Xp Weather @WeatherXp]

@AndyHazelton forgot about those weenies (they are tracking el nino 1s time), some of guys are actually tweeting due to engagment! They can't understand the basic that what is belonging to sub surface can't be fully ignored! And we are heading at least 2.0 value el nino is pretty confidence..

[Sausiuswx @Sausius_wx]

25 years ago today one of the most brutal monsters to ever prowl the oceans, the 1991 Bangladesh cyclone made landfall. As is so often the case it was the devestating storm surge of more then 6 m that likely killed the majority of its 138,866 (!) victims and injured as many.