We're still a ways out - but some of the coldest air of the upcoming season looks to be on the way somewhere around the October 8-10 timeframe.
No guarantees at this point - but I wouldn't rule out the possibility of some mixed rain/snow showers during this time period.
But it's just far too early to know at this point. Some models have the heaviest rainfall staying south of Albany. We'll see - we're talking early next week here.
This will be the last update for the night. Thanks for following along - great to be back! See ya' in the AM.
12:20 AM EST Hurricane Ian updates ...
* We're now down to a Cat 1 with sustained winds of 90 MPH.
* Still moving slowly NNE at 8 MPH.
* Storm is over the Orlando area now. Continues to weaken. I think it'll still make it back over the Atlantic as a Tropical Storm.
Cont ...
* There is some uncertainty on where it goes from there. As of now, it looks to hit the Carolinas as a Tropical Storm and then proceeds north.
* As far as the Capital Region is concerned, we'll see what happens. It's possible you'll see some breezy conditions and rain from this
* Still moving slowly NNE at just 8 MPH. Will continue to weaken over land.
* The city of Orlando will see the worst of it within the next few hours.
* Once again - cell phone service is scarce in the affected areas. So it may take some time to reach family/friends.
10:05 PM EST Hurricane #Ian updates ....
* We're now at a Cat 2 with maximum sustained winds of 100 MPH.
* Nearly 2 million people without power, according to FPL (Florida Power & Light). That number will continue to grow.
Cont ....
* Multiple reports of wind gusts of 130+ MPH earlier today.
* Storm is headed toward Orlando now. Long night ahead.
* Unfortunately, you'll see some photos and videos of catastrophic flood and wind damage tomorrow.
7:35 PM EST Hurricane Ian updates ....
* Now a Cat 3 with winds of 125 MPH.
* Slowly moving NNE at only 8 MPH.
* 1.7 million currently without power. That number will continue to rise. Will probably come close to doubling it when this is all said and done.
Cont ....
Hurricane #Ian updates ....
* Landfall was made at 3:05 EST as a Cat 4 with 155 MPH winds.
* Over one million without power. That number continues to grow.
* Catastrophic flooding and wind damage.
* Punta Gorda, Fort Myers, and surrounding areas are being hit the hardest.
Just know that it's extremely difficult to try and pinpoint exactly where these clusters are going to pop and when. Just keep an eye on your radar apps tomorrow. I use RadarScope. It's been a long time since I've downloaded it but I think it's a one time fee of $9.99.
Additionally, some showers and embedded t-storms may linger into the late evening hours. The main threats are damaging wind gusts, heavy rain, small hail, and cloud to ground lightning.
It's the afternoon and evening hours where there will be more widespread t-storm coverage, with clusters of them popping up at any point after 12 PM. The 18Z 3km NAM is quite impressive in showing strong to possibly severe t-storms in the immediate Capital Region between 2-4 PM.
Happy Monday Capital Region! Quick heads up on the timing of the t-storms tomorrow.
Some of you (mainly north of I-90) may be dealing with some showers and thunderstorms during the early morning hours tomorrow. Thinking those will be fairly scattered though.