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🔥 #GOLD REBOUND: Next Stop $4,600?
StoneX analyst Matt Simpson says COMEX gold futures could push toward $4,600/oz, as fading bearish momentum and above-average volume point to a potential shift from bears to bulls
“I am on guard for at least a cheeky bounce towards $4,600,” Simpson says
#XAU current price trades around: $4,429 (€3,819/oz)
📊 Technical Analysis:
🔹 Gold has found support around the 200-day EMA and the weekly Volume Point of Control, while a small bullish candle suggests bearish momentum is fading
🔹 Above-average volume also points to a potential shift from bears to bulls
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The trigger behind #gold’s weakness is now clear 🚨
The selloff may not last
#XAU current price trades around: $4,433 (€3,819/oz)
Gold’s latest pullback came after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signaled the Fed will “have work to do” if policymakers lack confidence that inflation is moving back toward the 2% target
Spot gold held around $4,454.68/oz during Asian trading Tuesday, after touching its lowest level since Aug 19 in the previous session
Key drivers to watch:
🔹 U.S. labor data
🔹 Nonfarm payrolls
🔹 US-Iran tensions
Gold remains caught between two forces:
📉 Higher rate expectations → pressure on gold
📈 Geopolitical risks → support for gold
📊 Gold Intraday Technical levels
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50
📍 Pivot point: $4,503
🔻 Above: look for $4,553 → $4,583
🔺 Blow: target $4,395 → $4,365
Key takeaways:
🔹 Strong U.S. jobs data → higher rate expectations → pressure on gold
🔹 Weaker labor data or rising geopolitical risks → buyers return
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Is the #gold dip a red flag or a temporary breath? 📈📉
#XAU current price trades around: $4,437 (€3,830/oz)
Despite the recent pullback, RHB Research stays bullish on COMEX gold, pointing out that short-term pullbacks are forming a healthy consolidation zone
RHB’s 3 Key Bullish Signals
🔹 Selling Pressure Exhaustion: Downward momentum has tapered off near the consolidation zone.
🔹 RSI Turning Upward: Relative Strength Indicator is curbing its dip and pivoting back into bullish territory.
🔹 Moving Average Alignment: Both 20-day and 50-day SMAs remain in upward trends, reinforcing structural support.
Key Technical Levels to Watch 👇
📍 Resistance: $4,700: The immediate breakout level. A decisive breach opens the door toward $4,900
📍 Downside Support: $4,500: Immediate support zone holding the short-term structure intact.
📍 $4,300: Major support and active stop-loss threshold
💡Strategy & Outlook:
RHB maintains its active long position entered on Aug 5 at $4,273.30, keeping the trailing stop-loss at $4,300.
While technical indicators favor another leg higher, traders are awaiting a confirmed daily close above $4,700 to validate the next major rally
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🚨 #Gold is down: #XAUUSD falls as markets await Jackson Hole
#XAU current price trades around: $4,623 (€3,967/oz)
Spot gold fell 0.3% to $4,588/oz in Asian trading as traders turned cautious ahead of Fed Chair Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole
📉Technical outlook:
RSI remains below the neutral 50 level, while gold trades below its 20-period and 50-period moving averages (at $4,602 and $4,606 respectively)
📌 Key drivers:
• Fed outlook: A balanced tone from Warsh at Jackson Hole could support gold, while hawkish comments may lift bond yields and pressure the precious metal.
• Geopolitical risks: A higher-rate environment typically weighs on non-yielding assets such as gold.
Gold intraday: Bearish bias toward $4,518
📍 Pivot point: $4,640
🔻 Below $4,640: targets $4,518 / $4,487
🔺 Above $4,640: targets $4,692 / $4,722
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🚨 1H Spot #Gold Drops Below $4,600 on Aug 26
Spot gold rebounded 0.5% in Asian trading to $4,617.78/oz, recovering after a 1.5% drop on August 26 that saw prices close at $4,591/oz and temporarily break below the $4,600 support level.
#XAU current price trades around: $4,623 (€3,967/oz)
📌 Key Drivers:
🔹Dollar Debasement Trade: Strong institutional demand for fiat hedges continues to attract buyers on dips, providing a structural floor for prices
🔹Economic Resilience: Sticky PCE inflation and robust economic data have reignited fears of a year-end Fed rate hike, putting short-term pressure on non-yielding assets
📊 Key levels to watch:
🔹MACD is above its signal line but in negative territory
🔹The price stands above its 20 period moving average (4,601) but below its 50 period moving average (4,623)
📍 Gold intraday : 4,553 expected
📍 Pivot point: 4,665
📈 Above 4,665: look for 4,717 and 4,748
📉 Below 4,665: target 4,553 and 4,522
For gold, the next Fed decision may drive short-term volatility, but the longer-term story still comes down to inflation
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⚠️ #Gold Price Warning: PCE Inflation Data & Jackson Hole Ahead
#XAU is holding strong near three-month highs near $4,652, but the market is on high alert
Current price trades around: $4,646 (€3,977/oz)
📌 Key Drivers:
- Macro Backdrop: #Oil is pulling back as Iran & Oman discuss a temporary Hormuz corridor, while the IMF warns of worsening global fiscal concerns
- US July PCE Report (Today)
📊 Execution Plan:
📍 Gold intraday : The upside prevails as long as $4,619 is support
📈 Above 4,619: Target 4,736 - 4,767
A softer PCE print validates lower yields -> Watch for a clean breakout expansion toward futures highs
📉 Below 4,619: Expect 4,567 - 4,536
A hot PCE print triggers a spike in DXY/Yields -> Prepare for a sharp pullback/liquidity sweep off resistance
⚠️ Don't front-run the macro data! Wait for the PCE print confirmation before taking position risk
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📷 Gold rejected at $4,700. What’s next for #XAUUSD?
#Gold failed to break above the $4,700 level and saw a sharp pullback, trapping some late buyers as sellers stepped in.
Current price trades around: $4,638 (€3,982/oz)
📊 Key levels to watch:
📈 Momentum remains positive
🔹 RSI is around 70, indicating strong buying momentum
🔹 MACD remains in bullish territory, supporting the short-term upside trend
📍 Resistance: $4,640, then $4,650–$4,655
📍 Support: $4,618–$4,608
🔹A breakout above $4,625 could open the way toward $4,640 and higher
🔹A drop below the $4,608 support zone may signal renewed selling pressure
Don’t chase the move. Watch where liquidity builds and wait for confirmation before taking a position ⚠️
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📈 #Gold Breaks Above $4,600/oz!
Spot gold has surged above $4,600/oz (now around €3,942/oz), hitting its highest level since May 15.
The latest rally marks a renewed push higher for gold, with investors closely monitoring the next market developments.
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#XAUUSD surges more than 4% as gold reaches $4,500, heading for a third consecutive weekly gain
Current price trades around: $4,552 (€3,890/oz)
📌Key Drivers:
Treasury yields fell & The US national debt hits $40 trillion
Treasury buys bonds ▶️ bond demand rises ▶️ bond prices increase ▶️ bond yields fall ▶️ gold became attractive
📊 Technical Levels to Watch:
📍 Key support lies in the 4500-4510 range.
If price holds above this zone following a pullback, the bullish structure remains fully intact.
📍 Resistance is around 4550-4560.
A clean breakout above this level opens up further upside potential.
⚠️Downside Risk:
A sustained break below $4,000 on a pullback would disrupt short-term bullish momentum and trigger a deeper market correction
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🚨 BREAKING: #Gold broke through $4,500 resistance on the 4H chart around Aug 19, 10 PM UTC
This surge reflects a broader macro repricing across US Treasuries, real rates, the US dollar, and renewed stagflation risk
Current price trades around: $4,489 (€3,845/oz)
💡 Key Drivers:
• US Treasury Buybacks:
Expanded capacity from $2B to at least $4B, easing long-end yield pressure and lowering the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold
• Stagflation Risk:
July Fed minutes hinted at potential future rate hikes if inflation stays sticky, while elevated energy costs continue to pressure margins and consumption
📊 Technical Levels to Watch:
📍 Resistance: $4,550 — a sustained daily close above strengthens bullish momentum.
📍 Support: $4,380 — a breakdown below signals a deeper market correction.
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#Gold is not breaking out, but it’s not collapsing either
Current price trades around: $4,335 (€3,741/oz)
#XAU remains trapped in a neutral zone as traders wait for the Fed minutes.
Over the last 5 sessions, daily movement has averaged just ~1%, down significantly from the 3%+ swings seen in recent weeks.
🔹 Why the slowdown?
- 10-year Treasury yields staying above 4.7% keep bonds attractive, while USD strength caps upside demand.
Key Levels to Watch 👇
📍 $4,500 - Crucial Resistance:
a sustained close above shifts the market structure bullish
📍 Current Neutral Pivot Zone: $4,378
📍 $3,984 - Critical Support:
a breakdown could revive bearish momentum
📊 Technical Check: RSI is flattening out, #MACD is hugging the zero line, and futures volume has cooled.
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#XAUUSD 1H update: Gold enters a key decision zone
#Gold price is now testing a critical confirmation area.
The rebound from $4,310.31 to $4,435.01 remains intact, with the higher-low structure still holding
However, after rejecting the $4,435 zone, gold slipped below $4,405.58, signaling weaker short-term momentum
Current price trades around: $4,393 (€3,795/oz)
👇 Key support zones:
📍 $4,387 – $4,392
A key support zone combining Fibonacci 38.2% and trendline support. Holding this area could keep the rebound structure valid
📍$4,405 – $4,411
The first recovery zone. A move back above this range could ease short-term selling pressure
🔴 Breaks below 4,387: downside levels to watch 4,372 → 4,358 → 4,337
🟢 Reclaim above 4,411: could bring 4,420→ 4,435 back into focus
📊 MACD is also showing some cooling momentum, with a bearish crossover above the zero line, suggesting a short-term pullback rather than a confirmed trend reversal
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