William Strapazzon

📊 Professional investor and entrepreneur since 2010
Founder @targen

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

The market will test every “this is simple” assumption over the next 12 months. We’ll see if things are really that simple.

[Frank @FrankAFetter]

My bitcoin strategy: buy below the true market mean and wait a year.

It really is that simple. $BTC

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

In real life, market returns are never the average, they are always the specific outcome. Also, five observations are not statistically significant.

[Bitcoin Teddy @Bitcoin_Teddy]

LAST 5 TIMES BITCOIN RSI HIT THIS LOW, BITCOIN WENT UP 100%

$140,000 INCOMING 🚀

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

Why we sold Bitcoin in May https://t.co/HPxzkrf5x4

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

I don't believe this rotation is happening. On-chain sales are below the 1-year average. This does not explain why the market is falling this much.

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

Remember when Bitcoin was supposed to move exactly like Nasdaq? Exactly like M2? Exactly like SaaS companies? Now it’s still supposed to follow exact 4-year cycles. These easy-to-understand patterns don’t tend to last.

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

Maybe this is being mocked because it’s not a theory that makes much sense. It lacks clear cause-and-effect relationships. After all, there are only four historical observations — which is not statistically significant — and like every other known pattern, it will eventually break.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Plenty of narratives to justify why Bitcoin is dropping right now, but it often drops into June of midterm years.

I know the four year cycle view is mocked frequently, but it has been far more accurate than every other theory put out there.

[Targen @TargenInvest]

https://t.co/bYwGMW0Bay

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

FLUXO LÍQUIDO DOS ETFS DE BITCOIN FICA NEGATIVO NO ACUMULADO DE 2026 https://t.co/eLyo9k8S2n

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

Hoping to see where all those correlation stories went, now that everything is in negative territory — including the USD!

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

@MisesVsCerize Dá tempo dos dois negativar.

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

https://t.co/nlwFvaMY8S Our latest substack post.

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

@MisesVsCerize Vai dar ruim para nós. Inacreditável essa janela de tempo. Em 2 meses ainda dá tempo do ibovespa devolver toda a alta mas é apertado

[Targen @TargenInvest]

From the outside: ‘a great opportunity.’
From the inside: 🔥📉💸
But sure… it’s just a perception issue.

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

Not all of us. We checked the affirmations and wrote articles about how this was misleading.

[Quinten | 048.eth @QuintenFrancois]

Remember when we all 100% believed the Bitcoin - global liquidity correlation?

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

@PedroSoyer_ Sim mas o FED faz isso exatamente para evitar o problema que você disse estar acontecendo. Estamos distante de reservas amplas e distante de crise de liquidez também com spread em 0.

[William Strapazzon @WillStrapazzon]

@grok @TrendingBitcoin Brazil is not friendly on Crypto issues.

[Trending Bitcoin @TrendingBitcoin]

SEC Chair Paul Atkins: 🇺🇸“All U.S. markets will be on chain within two years.”