Wilson Zhong

[Mark Ungewitter @mark_ungewitter]

I hate to disagree with PTJ, but upside momentum almost always precedes price.

[The Tennessee Holler @TheTNHoller]

WATCH: “Not even an hour!”

KANSAS Rep. @RogerMarshallMD leaves his own town hall after voters on both sides of the aisle express concern about veterans being fired from their federal worker jobs.

[Wilson Zhong @WilsonZbj]

@CaminoTexas 2月14日共和党最新民调：对于南部边境安全，全部选民中14%认为最重要，27%的川普选民认为最重要，而摇摆选民中有8%认为最重要。

[Wilson Zhong @WilsonZbj]

@zuoyeben 从一个胜利走向另一个，请告诉我哪个胜利是进步。

[Wilson Zhong @WilsonZbj]

现在唯一不能离的原因是还要把孩子送到国外读书，移民也好，镀金也吧，总归这个还不能替代。

[作业本 @zuoyeben]

中国和世界已经离婚完毕。目前唯一需要的可能是Apple产品，这属于离婚过度期。其他产品，已经完全不需要国外了，因为井已经具体形成，他们也叫崛起。

汽车不需要BBA，BBL，有电动爹了，有两万的爹十万五十万的爹也有500万内最好的爹。

电影不需要好莱坞了，有哪吒了。但很在乎哪吒世界票房排名攀升，管这叫插红旗。

穿衣服也不需要时尚快消品牌和大牌，有了各种国产库和更良品。至于奢侈品牌早就山寨完毕，比大牌上市还快。

大牌鞋子更不用说，福建人自己就说，假的比真的质量更高。

Ai更不必提，已经弯道超车并完毕。手机也超越，有三折叠。也体现在充电宝手机壳上。

至于吃的更是，三文鱼鹅肝都能自己大量养殖并大量出口已经说明一切。首饰钻石也是，人工合成不仅超越一切还导致世界钻石市场有苦难言。
……

现在是看不上世界，直接和世界单方面离婚了。

因为世界已经不能给它贡献什么了，日本甲流严重，美国飞机问题，加拿大军事落后，韩国总统关着，晋凉公纵横阡陌……暂时一别两宽。等他们发明点什么玩意后，再蹭蹭。

[作业本 @zuoyeben]

中国和世界已经离婚完毕。目前唯一需要的可能是Apple产品，这属于离婚过度期。其他产品，已经完全不需要国外了，因为井已经具体形成，他们也叫崛起。

汽车不需要BBA，BBL，有电动爹了，有两万的爹十万五十万的爹也有500万内最好的爹。

电影不需要好莱坞了，有哪吒了。但很在乎哪吒世界票房排名攀升，管这叫插红旗。

穿衣服也不需要时尚快消品牌和大牌，有了各种国产库和更良品。至于奢侈品牌早就山寨完毕，比大牌上市还快。

大牌鞋子更不用说，福建人自己就说，假的比真的质量更高。

Ai更不必提，已经弯道超车并完毕。手机也超越，有三折叠。也体现在充电宝手机壳上。

至于吃的更是，三文鱼鹅肝都能自己大量养殖并大量出口已经说明一切。首饰钻石也是，人工合成不仅超越一切还导致世界钻石市场有苦难言。
……

现在是看不上世界，直接和世界单方面离婚了。

因为世界已经不能给它贡献什么了，日本甲流严重，美国飞机问题，加拿大军事落后，韩国总统关着，晋凉公纵横阡陌……暂时一别两宽。等他们发明点什么玩意后，再蹭蹭。

[Dr_Gingerballs @Dr_Gingerballs]

The AI models that “reason” are randomly guessing and checking against some deterministic external model.

Say you want to solve 3x + 9 = 4. A human looks at this, recognizes that numbers symbolically represent numbers and X symbolically represents an unknown quantity, then applies elegant deterministic rules to cheaply solve the problem.

The LLM doesn’t know anything. It has no system by which to define any symbols or rules other than how often certain symbols appear near each other. So the only thing the computer can do is hope the question is verbatim in the training data so there is a probability it will randomly select the correct answer. These are what people call hallucinations, which is misleading because they are natural and expected outputs from a stochastic model.

The desire is for the LLM to stop saying wrong answers. To do this, the labs are introducing reinforcement learning, where they take the deterministic model 3x+9=4 and feed the LLM answer into an error function like err = 3x+9-4. From there, the model then tries many values for x and returns the value with the smallest error. As the problems become more complex, you must randomly try more things, and compute balloons rapidly. This is why openAI had to spend massive sums of money to solve ARC-AGI, it was essentially brute forcing guesses against the training data until it got a match or it gave up.

In my world we call this dumb brute force, and it’s what we already use computers for. Throwing an LLM into the mix and trying to brute force every task on earth is one of the stupidest things you can do.

So ironically AI is getting exponentially dumber every day.

The real solution is to figure out how to create a network that can learn and encode symbols into a consistent world model, and do it efficiently. This will involve complete reworks of both software and hardware. And the fact that we are getting further and further away from this with current AI techniques is evidence that no one has any idea how to build it.

[Dr_Gingerballs @Dr_Gingerballs]

SNAP benefits for all poor Americans is about $150B a year.

AI benefits to a few rich assholes is now $100B a year. When it comes time to pay the piper and curtail government spending, don't forget who the true welfare queens are.

[Walter Deemer @WalterDeemer]

During my 60+ years of watching markets I’ve seen a lot of frenzied bursts of speculation in stocks with truly nebulous fundamentals and/or highly-dubious financials – but never in something that has no fundamentals at all. $TRUMP.

[President Biden Archived @POTUS46Archive]

Scripture says: “I have been young and now I’m old yet I have never seen the righteous forsaken.”

After all these years serving you, the American people, I have not seen the righteous forsaken.

I love you all.

May you keep the faith.
And may God bless you all.

[Wilson Zhong @WilsonZbj]

@zuoyeben 蛙生何处是尽头？

[Chris D. Jackson @ChrisDJackson]

It’s a damn shame Joe Biden isn’t getting a second term.

Watch him actually answer questions like an adult with depth—then compare it to Trump’s word salads. The downgrade is almost comical.

[Joe Biden @JoeBiden]

When I took office, the pandemic was raging and the economy was reeling.

From Day One, I was determined to not only deliver economic relief but to invest in America.

We passed legislation to rebuild our infrastructure, build a clean energy economy, and bring manufacturing back to the United States after decades of offshoring.

[Joe Biden @JoeBiden]

After decades of trickle-down economics, we've written a new playbook that's growing the economy from the middle out and the bottom up.

We’ve helped create over 16 million new jobs, achieved historically low unemployment, and seen a record 20 million new business applications.

[New Handle Pending f/k/a MVPolar Bear Pete @EDSdt1234]

Grimace caught Luigi. Doing law enforcement in off season

[Joe Biden @JoeBiden]

The economy created 227,000 jobs in November.
Unemployment has been the lowest on average of any administration in 50 years.

This has been a hard-fought recovery, but we are making progress for working families.

[Nick Timiraos @NickTimiraos]

How does this pair with the idea of creating a “federal” bitcoin “reserve.”

[Indiana Football @IndianaFootball]

Our HC.

[Tennis TV @TennisTV]

He came.
He saw.
He conquered.

Every single championship winning moment in the legendary career of @RafaelNadal 🏆 ✨

[徒步的骑手·刘宗坤 @CaminoTexas]

年末密集发生一系列事件——川普重新当选、香港数十位政治犯被判重刑、中国接连不断的无差别杀人……快速叠加的不确定性让很多人沮丧、焦虑，也给人一个反思自己认知的机会，在反思中调整自己，提高自己，让自己头脑更清晰，内心更坚毅。引用爱默生的话：“英雄并不比常人更勇敢，只是比常人多勇敢5分钟。” 让我们以自己理解和选择的方式多勇敢5分钟，也多快乐5分钟。