This may be because cornerstone participation reflects committed demand at the offer price, while first-day returns depend more directly on whether additional demand above that price exceeds the shares available for trading.
One counterintuitive observation from looking at Hong Kong IPOs: if the goal is to capture short-term IPO gains, the cornerstone lineup should not be treated as a strong standalone signal.
Momenta, for example, attracted a star-studded group of cornerstone investors, yet finished its first trading day flat. Conversely, many companies without big-name cornerstone investors have still delivered strong debuts.
But after reviewing more deals, I have not found a strong relationship between how prestigious the cornerstone investor lineup looks and first-day returns.
I am still exploring what is driving this IPO wave, whether it can last and what it means for financial institutions. I would be glad to exchange views with others following Hong Kong’s capital markets.
The Hong Kong IPO market has been particularly active recently: 24 companies listed in June, followed by another 16 in the first half of July. So, what types of companies are actually driving this IPO wave?
Second, it provides a financing channel for unprofitable companies. Hong Kong’s Chapter 18A and 18C regimes create a viable listing pathway for loss-making biotech and technology companies, many of which would struggle to meet the requirements of the A-share market.