Prediction Wire

Independent prediction market news feed. Real-time alerts for significant probability shifts on Polymarket.

Not a Polymarket affiliate.

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Probability: 36% to 44% (+8 pts) over ~1h

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic

Probability (Katie Boulter): 32% to 62% (+29 pts) over ~30 min

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Probability (Ekaterina Alexandrova): 52% to 76% (+24 pts) over ~30 min

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

Probability: 20% to 26% (+7 pts) over ~1h

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Probability: 74% to 80% (+6 pts) over ~1h

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Probability: 24% to 19% (-5 pts) over ~1h

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: Guangzhou 2: Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan

Probability (Yi Zhou): 66% to 96% (+30 pts) over ~30 min

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova

Probability (Marie Bouzkova): 60% to 80% (+19 pts) over ~30 min

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger

Probability (Ashlyn Krueger): 58% to 88% (+30 pts) over ~30 min

24hr volume: $124K

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend

Probability (Coleman Wong): 56% to 82% (+27 pts) over ~30 min

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

Probability: 42% to 35% (-7 pts) over ~1h

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Probability: 36% to 31% (-6 pts) over ~1h

24hr volume: $1.3M

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Lilli Tagger

Probability (Ann Li): 74% to 58% (-15 pts) over ~30 min

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?

Probability: 18% to 22% (+5 pts) over ~1h

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: W75 Saguenay: Ariana Arseneault vs Katherine Sebov

Probability (Ariana Arseneault): 64% to 93% (+29 pts) over ~30 min

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard

Probability (Enzo Aguiard): 81% to 66% (-15 pts) over ~30 min

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

FAST MOVE: Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong

Probability (J.J. Wolf): 90% to 70% (-21 pts) over ~30 min

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Probability: 66% to 72% (+6 pts) over ~1h

24hr volume: $1.2M

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Probability: 26% to 20% (-6 pts) over ~1h

24hr volume: $2.5M

[Prediction Wire @WirePredicts]

MOVE: Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?

Probability: 73% to 83% (+10 pts) over ~1h