Jaag Pir

Jaag Pir of Woke Sharif.

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

What's your excuse?

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

Kamran Bukhari the chootiya anal-ist

[Kamran Bokhari @KamranBokhari]

In intelligence analysis and strategic forecasting, we’re taught to think about the next war(s) even while the current one is still underway.

The Iran war may be creating a couple of new strategic normals/baselines:

1️⃣ Intermittent strikes become routine.

Even after the current war ends, the U.S. and/or Israel may periodically strike Iranian targets whenever Tehran is seen rebuilding capabilities or engaging in hostile moves.

In other words: the threshold for kinetic action against Iran may now be permanently lower. Iran could become a theater where episodic strikes are treated as an extension of deterrence, rather than an escalation to full-scale war.

This trajectory would unfold unless:

• Tehran cuts a deal with Washington & the U.S. doesn't need to end the war unilaterally

• Or the regime becomes consumed by post-war internal instability.

2️⃣ War itself becomes normalized in Tehran.

Iran has now directly experienced war with the U.S. and Israel. Should the regime survive, hardliners - and even some of their middle of the road allies - may internalize a dangerous lesson: Yes, the war was devastating. But the regime endured.

That conclusion/perception could produce greater strategic risk tolerance in Tehran, rather than lower it.

But survival in the immediate aftermath doesn’t guarantee long-term stability.

Recent history is instructive: The Saddam regime in Iraq survived the shock of the 1991 Gulf War, yet the system ultimately collapsed in 2003. The point is not the analogy itself, but the broader pattern: wars frequently weaken regimes in ways that unfold over time. The immediate survival of regimes after major wars often masks longer-term systemic erosion - setting in motion slow-burn internal stresses that play out years later.

Still early days. But the outlines of the post-war strategic environment are already taking shape.

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

Liars

[Al Jazeera Breaking News @AJENews]

BREAKING: Araghchi: Trump 'killed' Iran's promise to not attack neighbhours by using regional bases to launch attacks against it

🔴 LIVE updates: https://t.co/Zi5i6j160s

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

Heartbroken! What did this poor soul did to Iran? Indiscriminate bombing results in loss of innocent lives. How are they different from US/ Israel targeting civilians?

[Dubai Media Office @DXBMediaOffice]

Authorities confirm that debris from an aerial interception fell onto a vehicle in the Al Barsha area, resulting in the death of a Pakistani driver.

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@cpaschyn The IRGC made the Irani President look like a clown 🤡

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@cpaschyn All 3 alerts in last 2 hours turned out to be wrong.

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@cpaschyn Did you mourn similarly about the 150+ school girls killed by US/ Israel?

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@mazdaki Saray Afghnados tere jese madarchod aur bachaychod hi hotay hain

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@dactar2b Mine is 55

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@waqarkhan اس کتی کے بچے لیڈر نے بھی یہ ہی کیا تھا کچھ سال پہلے

https://t.co/vUl1ywOloe

[Imran Khan @ImranKhanPTI]

Let me make clear to people here & abroad: Our govt only took action against TLP under our anti-terrorist law when they challenged the writ of the state and used street violence & attacking the public & law enforcers. No one can be above the law and the Constitution.

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

Afghan troops? Afghan cockroaches you mean

[Kamran Yousaf @Kamran_Yousaf]

Breaking

Pakistan Army just confirmed that 23 soldiers were martyred last night during clashes with Afghan forces. The statement also says based on intelligence reports more than 200 Afghan troops were killed in response to Pakistan's retaliation.

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

Pakistan should flatten the already flattened Afghanistan!

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

یہ سارے ڈالر خور حرامزادے ملک سے باہر بیٹھ کر بکواس کرتے ہیں ان کا پاسپورٹ کیوں نہیں کینسل ہوتا؟

[Shahid Aslam @ShahidAslam87]

خارجہ معاملات اور پاکستان!
ایرانیوں سے لڑ لیا، انڈیا سے لڑ لیا اب افغانیوں سے بھی لڑ لیا پیچھے اب چین رہ گیا ہے پاکستان کی ہمسائیگی میں۔

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

اس جنگ میں اس کنجر کا کچھ نقصان ہونا چاہیے

[Ahmad Noorani @Ahmad_Noorani]

افغانستان کا پاکستان کے مختلف شہروں پر حملہ اور بہت سے پاکستانیوں کی ��ہادت ہماری دفاعی تاریخ کا شرمناک باب ہے۔

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@Matiullahjan919 بس یہی دعا ہے اگلی بار استاد تیری کھول کر چیر دیں اور کسی کوڑے میں پھینک دیں

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@saqibbashir156 @Matiullahjan919 اپنے بچوں کو تحریک انصاف اور طالبان سے کمائے حرام ڈالر کھلا کر پالنے والے سب جہنمی ہو تم لوگ۔

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@Matiullahjan919 Andar le lo jamhooriyat Taliban ki najaiz aulaad ho tum Mati

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@jamil_shanza @MrZainRaza Now I'm leaning towards complete annihilation, no matter what weapon used.

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@thealiwarsi @am_manduck @saqibbashir156 @JBaghwan @etribune Saqib Bashir sb kab k firqa e youth mein shamil ho chukay hain

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

Kill these Afghan cockroaches.

[The Khorasan Diary @khorasandiary]

ALERT: An exchange of fire has been reported by Pakistan and Afghanistan border forces near Ghulam Khan, North Waziristan district. [First Report]

[Jaag Pir @Woke_Pir]

@ZantashaK_ 🤭