NBA PROP #2 🏀
Jaime Jaquez o2.5 FTA
Wisconsin sports will have a day tomorrow. Bucks home opener & Brewers World Series, but you know who else will have a day? Jaime Jaquez at the free throw line. Chicago last game against Toronto gave up 46 free throws. Yes you read that right. Now are the Bucks even close as good as the Raptors? No. However when your a bad free throw team of course there will be disparities in who you play but Milwaukee should still as a team attempt between 15-20 free throws. Especially due to the different lineups that’ll be put together and not being a great shooting team playing at home. Jaquez seems to be the only one consistently driving to the basket attempting 6 free throws in his Bucks debut. 2.5 is too low of a number for him, even last year he averaged 2.9 FTA off the bench. Now he has more opportunities to have the ball in his hands & more minutes as well.
NBA RECORD: (12-7) 🍯
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NBA PROP #3 🏀
Kasparas Jakučionis o13.5 PRA
What’s our rule? If you’re unbiased about your favorite sports team bet on them. So we have another Milwaukee Bucks prop. Jakučionis was shockingly the 6th man off the bench and even closed the game. He was aggressive and not afraid to attack, which shocked me due to his ability to be a good playmaker. Good off the ball & made every Bucks fan forget about why we released Kevin Porter Jr. Due to his strong start he played more minutes than Ryan Rollins, I’m not expecting him to get 26 minutes again (had 21 PRA). Yet knowing if he continues to play good Taylor Jenkins will give him 25-30 minutes is a good sign for coach trust in him. He’s up against a Chicago teams that looks just as bad as Milwaukee. Expect high scoring and youth vs youth (= take overs)
NBA RECORD: (12-7) 🍯
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NBA PROP #4 🏀
Naz Reid o6.5 three point attempts
No Kon Knueppel or Coby White = Reid will let it fly. Reid had 10 3PA in his debut as a Charlotte Hornet and we should expect him to continue having the green light. Even in preseason he averaged 6 3PA in 21.5 minutes. Hes up against an Atlanta Hawks team who looked horrible defensively vs Orlando. They gave up 125 points and 40 3PA, now facing a high paced Charlotte team who’s known for letting it fly from three we can expect similar results.
NBA RECORD: (12-7) 🍯
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NBA PROP #5 🏀
Alex Sarr u14.5 points + assists
This prop is an eye test type of ting. Sarr was not involved in the offense whatsoever, in fact it was so bad that he forced 3 three point attempts. With Anthony Davis starting at the 4 we saw a lot of the offense run around him. Which meant him at the top of the key either going 1 v 1 or designed plays. In those designed plays we saw actions on both sides with it basically being a 5 out base set. This allows guards to great mismatches on the wing/back door cuts/bigs advantage on guards in the post. Issue is Toronto is amazing defensively so all that switching and off ball action isn’t gonna cut it. Assist wise Sarr isn’t getting plays drawn up for him, one of his two assists was from an offensive rebound then quick dish to AD. In fact he had only 2 potential assists on 23 total passes which if you didn’t know is terrible.
NBA RECORD: (12-7) 🍯
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NBA PROP #6 🏀
New Orleans Pelicans ML (-112)
Fun fact ! Pelicans have won eight straight meetings with the Jazz dating back to the 2023-24 season. Another fun fact? Will Hardy is a terrible coach. Without Nurkic he’s clueless how to run the offense and lose a lot of rebounding. Defensively they look out of sorts and both sides of things it looks like chemistry is an issue. Very easy to see in transition getting kilt every chance given. Guard wise it’s so bad defensively they just let Ty Jerome score 45 points, Dejounte Murray + Fears will be eating goooood. Even though New Orleans blew a double digit 4Q lead in my opinion they didn’t look that bad and it was just a collapse.
NBA RECORD: (12-7) 🍯
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NBA DEMON SLIP 🏀
$25 ➡️ $1293.25 🍯
Busy so no breakdown today but feel good about this one. Tail below ⬇️
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https://t.co/cw5NBwSHUd
NBA 10/22 takeaways:
•Jeremy Lin + Ryan Rucco are lowkey a good duo
•Maxey will be in MVP convos
•Aday Mara should start over Hartenstein
•Denver is a play-in team
•Evan Mobley hasn’t made the jump offensively since entering the league
•Mario Hezonja was a great addition for Cleveland
•Peyton Watson stole 88 million from the Cavs
•76ers need to do everything they can to stay healthy
#NBAX
LOCK OF THE DAY 🔒
Austin Reaves o4.5 assists
The greatest white backcourt of all time has entered the chat. Without LeBron we’re gonna see Reaves take over more of the ball handing duties. Against Golden State we saw a lot of this leading the team in passes made & potential assists. After the game Redick talked about Reaves playmaking saying that he runs the show and will continue to try to make easier ways for him to be the best player maker possible. He had 6 assists (31 minutes) in a blowout win against Golden State, and now they’re up against a Clippers team who looks a lot different from last season. Even though they looked great defensively against the Kings so would a G League team. Tomorrow is the real test for the Clippers.
NBA RECORD: (12-7) 🍯
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NBA PROP #1 🏀
Jared McCain o9.5 points
Denver bench is terrible. Julian Strawther is out and Spencer Jones is questionable which means dancing in the backcourt for McCain. He had a team high last game +20 +/- & scoring 20 points vs San Antonio. Spurs have x10 the defensive backcourt the Nuggets have & without Isaiah Joe/Aaron Wiggins/Lu Dort shot opportunities and minutes have gone up. Why else do I like this prop? Using the Moneyball feature on Chalkboard, what is it? 3pt shots count as 4 points. Where does McCain like to shoot? THREES !!!! Until Cason Wallace shows me something I’d rather bet on McCain points line than Wallace.
NBA RECORD: (12-5) 🍯
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TNF PROP 🏈
Drake Maye o0.5 interceptions
Our first football prop in two weeks. Maye has been turnover sober for two weeks but he’s getting that itch. Romeo Doubs and Hollins are inactive along with 4 other offensive lineman hurt. All of this on a short week on the road? Up against a Chicago Bears team who has a returning DB Kyler Gordon back who absolutely killed it last week vs Atlanta. Speaking of the road he’s hit this in 11/17 (65%) career starts & have thrown 6 interceptions in 3 road games this year already.
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LOCK OF THE DAY 🔒
LeBron James u0.5 blocks
BLOCK FROM JAMES !!!! No no no this isn’t 2016. LeBron is 41 years old and doesn’t have the time/energy to be blocking shots like he used to. Don’t believe me?
2025- Hit in 32/60 (53%) games
2024- Hit in 44/70 (63%) games
2023- Hit in 41/71 (57%) games
Cleveland also shoots a lot of jump shots and play a lot of ISO ball which results in less blocked shots. Last year they ranked bottom 5 in opposing BOG.
NBA RECORD: (12-5) 🍯
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Milwaukee Bucks Game 1 takeaways:
•Brayden Burries is the future
•Bucks are still horrendous rebounding
•Tyler Herro was doing MUCH more than just scoring
•Kel’el Ware cannot guard the pick and roll to save his life
•4th quarters are gonna be rough all season
•Kuzma gets too much hate from Bucks fans
•Loved Taylor Jenkins rotations
•AJ Green will be traded by the deadline
This Milwaukee Bucks team is NOT the worst team in the East !!!! #FearTheDeer
NBA 10/21 takeaways:
•Tyrese Haliburton is easily Top 10-15 player
•Will Hardy is a terrible coach
•Steph Curry deserves better than this
•Kyrie’s love for basketball isn’t there anymore
•Buy a New Orleans Pelicans league pass
•Raptors are gonna be a problem (predicted them to win the East)
•Luka complaining to the refs is starting to get really annoying
•Timberwolves are a dark horse to win the West #AntMan4MVP
•Devin Booker changing his number looks weird
•Blazers will be a Top 4 seed
•Cam Boozer mom….. WOW
•Bucks might be bad but at least we’re not the Sacramento Kings
#NBAX