The World At War

At a time when the world is at war with itself, our political discourse requires courage in the face of adversity.

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

In case you haven't already, please consider subscribing to our Substack - "The World at War" 📰

Musings on the world we live in, and lessons to be learned:
https://t.co/ThFI8upRVq

[Daniel Epstein-O'Dowd @DODubhda]

"The late Ronald Reagan once said that the person who agrees with you eighty percent of the time is a friend, not a traitor.

What then of the person who agrees with you a lot less? What of the person who believes in a broad church or a big tent large enough for substantial disagreement or divergence of opinion?

As history tells us, such persons and thinking are a poor match for a motivated insurgency such as the one sweeping the Democratic party.

For a movement which is now seeing their well-worked strategy reaping rewards, why would they accommodate or compromise with their opponents?"

My latest Substack @WorldatWarSub 📰

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

"From country to country, candidates and political parties anathema to the values we grew up on are making inroads - if not seizing power outright.

A controversial remark or friendship which would have been disqualifying a generation ago now merely adds to the attraction."

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

My latest substack - "The Revolution's March to Power" 📰: https://t.co/Cge36hsVkE

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

"From country to country, candidates and political parties anathema to the values we grew up on are making inroads - if not seizing power outright.

A controversial remark or friendship which would have been disqualifying a generation ago now merely adds to the attraction."

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

"The Palestinian lobby is far more potent than the Israel lobby has ever been - with a network of NGOs, shadowy figures, dark money & politicians working assiduously to ensure that the Palestinian cause is the issue the West cannot be distracted from."

Latest Substack dropped 📰

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

Read more: 'The Palestinian Lobby in Ireland' 📰🇮🇪🇵🇸 https://t.co/JvAgSUUkAx

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

"The Palestinian lobby is far more potent than the Israel lobby has ever been - with a network of NGOs, shadowy figures, dark money & politicians working assiduously to ensure that the Palestinian cause is the issue the West cannot be distracted from."

Latest Substack dropped 📰

[Daniel Epstein-O'Dowd @DODubhda]

A few thoughts on Trump, Iran & the MOU... 📰

Trump's about-turn on Iran and quick "negotiation" should be understood in nakedly political terms.

Trump is halfway through his second term, with tough midterms but a few months away. When you account for the last year of his Presidency really being about the 2028 Presidential race to succeed him - that leaves him with approximately 18 months to do anything.

This is not accounting for other events, such as Democrats winning the House and trying to impeach him (again) - all of which deflects time and energy from his agenda.

To prevent some of these events hijacking the remainder of his Presidency, Trump needs to improve his popularity, polling etc - traditionally quite difficult for a president to do before midterms.

So everything Trump is doing now is about short-term, clear "wins" - the investment from Qatar, etc and also cutting losses - I.e bringing the Iranian conflict to a quick end (however he can seemingly).

Post-midterms, he may have more capital or will to revisit the conflict, but that time is not now - from a purely political perspective.

Being aware of this and how increasingly tied Trump's hands will become, tells us all we need to know.

Furthermore, Trump will be no longer be on the ballot from 2028 onwards. His remaining years will be spent solidifying his legacy - whatever that may be.

"Defeating Iran" would take be a huge victory for that legacy, but one he may not be politically able to deliver. It could take increased investment or allocation of forces to deliver, which in the current climate would be crippling to Trump.

The West likes Quick Wars - and for Israel / Ukraine, this poses a real threat. Much of Trump's legacy has been built off 'no new wars', so he can ill-afford for a prolonged conflict in the Middle East to tarnish that.

This also brings us to why JD Vance is out in front on this. His constituency on the right is amongst the Carlsons and Kellys of this world, amongst the most vocal critics of the war. To preserve his 2028 pathway, he must prevent a challenge from this camp.

Whether Vance is the right 'heir' to Trump is an ancillary point, the point is that any Democrat will tear up as much of the second Trump Presidency (2024-2028) as they can.

For Trump, whether the GOP retains the White House will go a long way to determining his place in history.

So this isn't about Trump being a genius, this is about political power and legacy.

Unless Israel can offer short-term, 'cheap' wins against Iran or other common enemies - it will find its security bound to the political decisions of an American President about to embark on his farewell tour...

[Team DeSantis @TeamDeSantis]

HISTORIC win in the FREE state of Florida thanks to @RonDeSantisFL’s freedom-first policies.💪🏻🐊🔥

[Daniel Epstein-O'Dowd @DODubhda]

Shameful, but unsurprising, endorsement of 🇵🇸 terrorism by PBP - specifically that of Lion's Den, a terrorist conglomerate of sorts.

Emphasising the 3 IDF troops murdered, PBP welcome this "growing armed resistance" as the greatest threat to 🇮🇱 since 2002
https://t.co/MXJWWBLnWt

[Daniel Epstein-O'Dowd @DODubhda]

A truly worthwhile read from @llggeorgia on use of its terror proxies to enact revenge upon 🇮🇱

Far too often the West divorces the Iranian regime from its network of terror across the Middle East | @JewishChron
https://t.co/xPrmABv1oY

[Mark Dubowitz @mdubowitz]

Your reminder that most of Iran’s nuclear expansion occurred after Biden was elected and his abandonment of pressure.

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

IRS Targeting Scandal, A Lesson In The Tyranny Of Big Government | @DODubhda https://t.co/vSIytz2Dxy

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

IRS Targeting Scandal, A Lesson In The Tyranny Of Big Government | @DODubhda https://t.co/vSIytz2Dxy

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

"Prepared to be the Galileo of our generation, the Author has laid bare the truth before us - it is up to us how we should act."

Book Review: 'Woke Racism: How A New Religion Has Betrayed Black America', by John McWhorter | @DODubhda https://t.co/UaDgHYVnQ5

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

"Prepared to be the Galileo of our generation, the Author has laid bare the truth before us - it is up to us how we should act."

Book Review: 'Woke Racism: How A New Religion Has Betrayed Black America', by John McWhorter | @DODubhda https://t.co/UaDgHYVnQ5

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

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[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

A Piece Of Advice: Stop Making The EU An Electoral Issue | @DODubhda https://t.co/GVeMJZlqsa

[The World At War @WorldatWarSub]

A Piece Of Advice: Stop Making The EU An Electoral Issue | @DODubhda https://t.co/GVeMJZlqsa