GFS 18z forecasting a very significant warming of stratosphere over Siberia and moving that warming into the North Pole, displacing the PV at stratospheric level
That's steps 1 & 2 successfully completed. By 384hrs looks like a split is about to occur. That gets us to step 3...
@IdealWorldTV I've previously contacted #IdealWorld about getting the delivery address wrong Can you do anything about this? the contact us link does not work in the email #IdealWorld have sent ):
@OVOEnergy We finally cancelled the account but we are unable to send a meter reading on your website as your website seems to be "playing up" The screen looks opaque and you cant read anything clearly
@OVOEnergy We are moving out today we've taken a meter reading but your website keeps sending us around in circles so we r unable to cancel our Account Can you help deal please before I blow my top?
Interesting end to the GFS 06z which illustrates how a -NAO can lead to mild weather in the UK (difficult to say where it would go in the following days of course)
GEFS 00z continues to shows warmer than average conditions through the middle third of November. All locations can be viewed here https://t.co/4kPpsDIpWb
TUE 18 OCT 2022:
https://t.co/vleafFNYWR
Confidence on how much lightning occurs is low, but an increasing chance of elevated showers/a few thunderstorms during Tuesday evening and night
The frost forecasts now give air and ground frost probabilities. Select the Frost forecast from the 16 day place or postcode forecasts, e.g. https://t.co/x7Nvkzg0s7
The 16 day forecasts now link to a new "Frost forecast" feature which gives a % chance of air frost for the chosen location for the next 14 days. It uses ensemble and deterministic model data https://t.co/x7NvkyYXq7