Stan’s 3 part equation I apply before I take any trade.
- What’s the trend of the market? Negative? Then, little to no buying should be taken place as it lowers your probability of success.
- Which theme or sector is acting the best? 2 equally bullish charts will act completely different if one is from a bullish sector while the other breakout is in a bearish group.
- Now after determining the market is bullish and sector “x” is acting the best technically .. then you can hone in on 3-5 charts that look the best within that sector.
FinTwit has its pros and cons. A ton of great info and talented traders here but can also negatively impact your mindset and decision making. Stepped away for a few months to focus on refining my process and ended up being one of the best decisions I’ve made in my trading journey
If you do regular people stuff you’ll be stuck with regular people life.
Break that pattern .. take that risk! Do what most won’t and you’ll live how most can’t
$SPX $SPY lowest close of 2026 and the first weekly close below the 30 week ema since March 2025. At the same time .. short term breadth (% of stocks above their 20 dma) has fallen into clear oversold territory .. reaching its weakest level since the April lows.
$QQQ bulls stepped in to defend the 150 dma today printing the second highest daily upside volume of 2026
The only day with stronger upside participation came on March 3rd showing continued demand at this key ma
Emotional trading is expensive.
My goal is to get to a point where trading is almost automatic. I see my setup, I take the trade, and I manage the risk. No hesitation. No second guessing.
Don’t marry a name. Stocks don’t care about your opinion, your research, or how much you “like” the company. If the trade works .. great .. let it work. If it doesn’t cut the loss and move on.
Professional traders treat trades like probabilities not personal convictions. Every position is just another bet within a larger system.
Detach from the outcome of any single trade. Follow your process and manage risk.
If it works it works. If it doesn’t exit and look for the next opportunity. The market will always give you another trade!!
Having an end in mind is no guarantee that you’ll reach it, but not having one is a guarantee that you won’t.
In trading, it’s important to clarify your intentions. What we’re truly seeking is freedom. The money is just a bonus. Freedom from having to clock in and out. Freedom to do what you want, when you want. Freedom to enjoy life the way it’s meant to be lived.
When your efforts aren’t directed toward a defined purpose, how will you know what to do day in and day out? How will you know what to say yes to and what to say no to? How will you recognize when you’ve drifted off track or when you’ve actually reached your goal .. if you never took the time to define it?
No one knows how the markets will react to the Iran conflict and that’s the truth.
Our job isn’t to predict headlines or guess outcomes. Our job is to react to what the market is actually giving us
Follow price. Manage risk. Ignore the rest
The reaction to the report matters more than the report itself.
$NVDA delivered a stellar quarter and still sold off ~5%. That tells you everything you need to know.
Good news + price up = strength
Good news + price down = distribution
Bad news + price up = accumulation
Bad news + price down = weakness
Price is the final vote. Always listen to it.
$QQQ showed weak participation from the bulls today with volume coming in light as price tightens into a VCP right beneath the short term moving averages.
With $NVDA earnings tomorrow, this setup is primed for resolution. Either a bear flag breakdown that sends price toward the rising 200 near ~$584 or a catalyst driven push back above the declining MA's.
Sitting in cash the last month has saved me so much mental capital.
My goal isn’t to trade every day .. it’s to trade when the environment is in my favor
When the indexes are back above key MA’s, leadership is expanding and breakouts are holding I’ll be ready to deploy capital
A trader who barely understands TA but respects position sizing, cuts losses quick, and follows risk rules will outperform a TA wiz with no discipline every time. You don’t blow up from bad charts, you blow up from bad risk management. Protect capital first, profits will follow