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As we head into the new week, the rand is experiencing a sustained break below R15.60/$. China is looking to potentially relax COVID measures, while markets repositioned for slower rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve. The rand starts the week at R15.58/$, R16.73/€, and R19.69/£
The rand clawed back lost ground yesterday, following its dip to R16.30/$. The rapid fluctuations in the local currency are due to global factors impacting dollar demand. The oil price remained elevated yesterday. We start the day at R16.13/$, R16.84/€, and R19.91/£.
Markets anticipate that the aggressive tightening by the Fed will continue as a result, with hikes of 50bps at each of the upcoming FOMC meetings this year. The rand is trading stronger following the slight retreat in the dollar, starting the day at R16.13/$, R16.98/€ & R19.73/£
The dollar is trading weaker ahead of the US inflation release today. Chinese CPI, released this morning, came in higher than expected at 2.1% year-on-year. We will be keeping an eye on ECB President, Christine Legarde’s address today. The rand at R16.09/$, R16.95/€ & R19.84/£.
We are in a bear market because of rising interest rates/inflation. S+P down 15% nasdaq down 25%. If inflation falls <4% in 12m, then we are probably over a large chunk of the correction. At some stage (inflation starts to roll over and oil falls $20+?) we will get chance to buy
Markets start the week on edge. Gold continues to take strain under the strong dollar, while further gains in oil prices were capped by the slowdown of demand from China. The key release for this week is US inflation, due on Wednesday. Rand at R16.12/$, R16.93/€, and R19.81/£.
As expected fed increases by 0.5. Rand quite firm at 15.53. Us bond yields dropped slightly. As happens often the actual event is a non event when fully anticipated by the market
Markets are anticipating a 50bps interest rate hike decision from the Fed this evening. Oil gained 1% as US supply data indicated a dip in supply. Rand gained lost ground yesterday as investors square off positions ahead of the Fed meeting. Rand R15.75/$, R16.57/€, and R19.67/£.