Everyday you make 3000 decisions.
50 of these will be wrong.
This is because of how your brain is wired.
Use Obama's Razor and others to reduce error 🧵
@GoldK85@Elorac911@ErinGri47222762@imgrund Thanks for that very helpful account of several of your friends that all likely had mild Covid. Your name literally speaks volumes
@DSinthe613 @Kiki03828129@imgrund They have their own restrictions and policies that will remain despite provincial mandate changes. I know that my hospital will continue to require masking
@drmwarner Many of us ICU physicians and our entire staff outside of GTA have still only received one dose of vaccine and await a second at the 4 month interval. All are prepared for deployment, but partial undetermined immunity certainly adds anxiety to the situation.
Long-term outcome of elderly (≥ 80y) #COVID19 pts admitted to #ICU: 6-month mortality ➡️ 72% (likely underestimated) at upper end of recent literature on older critical pts. Data supporting more informed goals-of-care decisions for this #SARSCoV2 cohort?https://t.co/mIKNxNpdC8
@jkwan_md Would also be nice to see second doses provided to the highest risk health care workers in ICUs, ERs etc whom work outside of the GTA and are currently on the 4 month interval. But absolutely for the groups you mention
@AJEAppleton This strategy also focuses solely on the acute need for ICU level care. Should our hospitals also keep 1/3 of medical ward, complex care and rehab beds open to accommodate survivors, or do we simply saturate all ICUs with no disposition strategy.
@CleverLeviathan @gbhb81@NoFoxGiven74@drsimonegold I definitely do not dispute some of your points. I’m not American so it is challenging to fully appreciate that aspect of this whole situation. I respect your opinion. Both sides need to find the common ground: Lockdowns are too damaging; work together to avoid at all cost
@CleverLeviathan @gbhb81@NoFoxGiven74@drsimonegold Lower and upper respiratory disease are caused by many bacteria, viruses, for fungi, mild spores etc. We are talking about a single virus that is new and that is easily spread worldwide and that is adding mortality to that already high health burden of resp illness.
@CleverLeviathan @gbhb81@NoFoxGiven74@drsimonegold SARS CoV2 being a pandemic strain does not dispute that respiratory illness is important every year. It simply describes the way this virus behaves and the ease of spread worldwide.
@CleverLeviathan @gbhb81@NoFoxGiven74@drsimonegold Upper and lower resp infections are a a major cause of morbidity/mortality and should concern people every year. Hence the yearly public education efforts for influenza vaccinations, pneumococcal vaccinations, preventive measure Etc.
@CleverLeviathan @gbhb81@NoFoxGiven74@drsimonegold I am not mad and I have no problem with the CDC data. A pandemic is a worldwide phenomenon, so if you want to dispute a pandemic you need to post worldwide data sets and not simply US figures.
COVID Update September 6: This bug is beatable.
I talked to 3 lab directors, the FDA, 2 former FDA commish, 3 epis, 2 virologists & a senior White House scientist so I could give you a consensus on what we know. 1/
Yes, the mortality curve is flat and the young are the biggest source of cases unlike before. But hospital beds in these states are filling. And there's too little testing and tracing to find cases and isolate them from the general population.